BiggerPockets

Commercial Real Estate Investing

Tuesday, May 31

http://www.rcanalytics.com/article/1285/RCA--Deloitte--RERC-Collaborate-on-2011-Outlook-Report-for-Commercial-Real-Estate-Sector.aspx

Twitter: The Commercial Real Estate Barometer

Sunday, May 30

Latest Whitepaper:

"Twitter: The Commercial Real Estate Barometer - Getting a Read on Markets from the Online Public Square"  

Those who have been in the commercial real estate industry for any amount of time know it lags the business cycle. Nobody gauges the economy by what commercial real estate is doing. Commercial real estate brokers, investors, and principals watch the economy, knowing that whatever happens there will be coming down the pike a year or two later for commercial real estate. It’s a frustrating way of life, but commercial real estate professionals have learned to deal with it.

Savvy commercial real estate investors always seek advice and counsel when it comes to making investment decisions. That said, all “experts” are not created equal – Those investors who have access to better, more timely information provided by more sophisticated advisors simply have an edge. So here are a few questions to ponder: How broad is your sphere of influence? Who are the “experts” you’re seeking advice from? What if I told you that you could have real-time, 24-7-365 access to the world’s best practitioners in every aspect of commercial real estate, and that this unfettered access was free – would you be interested?

<!--more--> Want to get a better idea of economic trends? How about finding out which assets are receiving the most attention from buyers? Want to know which projects are getting financed, or better yet, who’s financing them? What about which geographic markets seem to be out-performing national trends? Want to know what’s happening on Capitol Hill or which tenants are looking for space? All this information is readily available from trusted sources – the real players making things happen and not the wannabes just spewing more tired rhetoric.

Wouldn’t it be invaluable to have an inside track on information from the industry’s best thought leaders, pundits, analysts, advisors and practitioners? Imagine being able to listen in on what industry leaders are saying and doing as it’s actually happening? If your idea of business intelligence is listening to some unheard of “expert” and doing what he or she says, news flash - There is a better way.

Most of you reading this have heard of a website taking the world by storm. You heard about it during the Iranian elections. You heard about it during our elections. You may have heard something during the widespread devastation in Haiti. The website I’m talking about it Twitter.

Why spend time talking about Twitter in a commercial real estate white paper? Because Twitter is changing the way the world communicates, and more importantly, the way the world does business. Twitter is not a website for teenagers to tell the world what they are having for lunch. It’s not merely another way to say hi to old friends. It’s a way to reach and understand the world, as things occur in real time. When you see a story break on CNN or FOX, it’s already old news on Twitter. In a recent USA Today article titled, “Twitter Power: Learning from Ourselves, In Real Time,” Twitter is described as, “a real-time barometer of people's reactions to events and products, and as such it is causing all manner of folks to pay close attention.”

Twitter is business intelligence. Twitter is business news as it happens. It is real-time industry knowledge and therefore, it is inexcusable for any serious investor to not be plugged in. Twitter is a social media platform full of advisors, brokers, investors, tenant-reps, attorneys, architects, and many other commercial real estate professionals. Listening to individuals who specialize in one sector of commercial real estate gives the investor the intelligence he or she needs to make wise decisions. It allows an individual to get more than just a “feel” for what is happening around the country. It allows a person to know what is happening.

Not only can Twitter give the commercial real estate professional a read on what the industry is doing, it provides real-time information on what other industries are doing. The industries that affect commercial real estate…everything from capital markets, economics, breaking news, retail, government legislation, natural disasters, and the list goes on. Twitter is teaming with individuals from every walk of life, describing their little corner of the world. And this is what makes Twitter invaluable.

You may be convinced that Twitter is an invaluable tool. But you ask, “How can I leverage its power…How do I use it to guide my business practices?” The answer is not a short one but the main thing is to just get started. Start off by studying the website and how it works. Become comfortable with how it operates and how to use it. Following are some basic and helpful guidelines on getting started and using Twitter:

1. Creating your account: Always use your most used email account when creating your Twitter profile. This will ensure you are updated whenever anyone reaches out to you. Also, put thought into your username (or as it is in Twitter lingo, your “handle”). I would suggest using your full name, if for no other reason than preventing another person with the same name from beating you to the punch. If you decide to use something other than your personal name, make sure your username is something that will catch people’s eye. So if you are a REIT professional, an example of a username could be, “REITPro.” This will show on Twitter as @REITPro.
2. Selecting who to “Follow”: Twitter is all about whom you follow and who follows you. You will see what is said by those you follow and those who follow you will see what you are saying. Why it’s so important to follow the right people is that others on Twitter can see who follows who. This gives you great exposure. Also, most people are inclined to follow those who follow them. This can cause instant business relationships as well as a tap on great industry knowledge. By following professionals in your area of industry or those in industries you want to know about, you expose yourself to this industry. One great way to find people to follow is by using the website, www.wefollow.com. People are categorized and listed in order of “influence.” This means that those listed are most likely people who have established themselves as legitimate and people are listening to what they are saying.
3. What to say: This is where most people call it quits with Twitter. They get a profile established, follow some people, and then freeze. This is a fatal mistake. What you say on Twitter is what is going to grab people’s attention. If you are engaging people, they will be more likely to communicate with you. This can help with obtaining very specific knowledge of an industry. As an example, a multifamily investor is not about to disseminate what he or she knows about their market for the world to see. If you are interested in what this person knows, and you contact this person, they may or may not see you as someone they are interested in communicating with. If you reach out to this person and ask how their market is doing and he or she sees you have nothing to offer, they won’t give you a moment’s notice. However, if you use Twitter to give helpful tips, provide news, and establish yourself as an expert, others will be inclined to offer their knowledge. And yes, even saying what you had for lunch can be helpful. It lets people know you are human and more relatable.
4. Monitor, monitor, monitor: Twitter is useless if you don’t ever visit and search the site. Make use of the search features to see what people are saying. Say for example, you are looking for an investment opportunity in the form of a freestanding net-lease property. Search for it. You may find exactly what you are looking for and if you do, you have a point of contact or even an established relationship, as opposed to just a phone number on a listing. Using the search tool on Twitter is, by far, the best way to search for what you want to know and find. Even Google is tapping into the power of searching Twitter. Again, just to ingrain it, Twitter is real-time. Your searches are going to give you what people said one second ago! Any savvy investor should feel their heart begin to race after reading the last sentence. They know timing is everything and knowing what’s going on right now is something people have wished they could do for centuries. If you are not monitoring Twitter constantly (i.e., every half-hour to an hour) you may miss an opportunity or piece of knowledge that could put you farther ahead than whatever else you were doing you say is more important.

These ideas are revolutionary. Many compare the current “Social Media Revolution” to the Industrial Revolution because of what it has done for business. Even more specific, Twitter is revolutionizing the commercial real estate industry. It is closing the notorious gap between commercial real estate and the business cycle. Investors, brokers, and others are beginning to be able to plan ahead by keeping an eye on Twitter. Make use of this tool. It’s free, it’s fast, and it will continue to give people success, whether you think it’s a waste of time or not. Please feel free to contact me with any questions you may have on how Twitter can help move your business ventures forward. And don’t forget to follow me on Twitter at @tvincentccim.

CRE Lending Remains Constricted, but Loosening for Office and Retail

Friday, May 28

This CoStar article was posted mid week and although grim in some regards, is hopeful in others, but essentially good description of our current economic condition:

On an absolute level, commercial real estate lending remained depressed through the first quarter of 2010 and loan portfolio credit quality further weakened. However, there were significant variations between lenders, property types and borrowers.

Overall, first quarter commercial and multifamily mortgage loan originations were 12% higher than during the same period last year. But they were 26% lower than during the fourth quarter of 2009, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Quarterly Survey of Commercial/Multifamily mortgage originations.

The 12% overall increase in commercial/multifamily lending activity during the first quarter was driven by increases in originations for office and retail properties. When compared with the first quarter of 2009, the increase included a 98% increase in loans for retail properties, a 29% increase in loans for office properties, a 5% decrease in loans for multifamily properties, a 28% decrease in loans for industrial properties, a 46% decrease in hotel property loans, and a 68% decrease in health care property loans.

Among investor types, loans for conduits for CMBS saw an increase of 657% compared to last year’s first quarter. There was also a 131% increase in loans for life insurance companies.

On the downside, commercial bank portfolios saw 4% decrease in loans year-to-year, and the dollar volume of loans for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac saw a decrease of 49%.

Click HERE to read the remainder of the article, which also includes a break-down on credit quality and selected bank CRE lending snapshots.

Retail: Good News, Bad News

Friday, May 07

ChicagoRealEstateDaily.com recently reported on the vacancy rate for local retail properties and a rise to 12.1% in the first quarter, up from 11.9% — its highest level since at least the mid-’90s.

The bright spot: “…in a sign that the woes of the retail real estate market may be easing, landlords’ average asking rents rose by a penny during the first quarter, the first such increase in six quarters.”  Even though they are still about 1/3 off their peak, “…the smallest increase in rents may be a sign that the market is poised for a recovery.”

The article recognizes a “better feel” in the market, yet poses the circulating speculation of the possibility of a “double dip recession.”  To continue reading this story, which includes some recent trends in the Chicago market, click HERE.

Recent trends in the Chicago market:

Overdue commercial mortgages rise in Chicago

New single-family sales grind down to 16-year low

Same store travails: Retail vacancy up again

Double the trouble: Level of distressed local property jumps