Does anyone have any work sheets for analyzing commercial properties?
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Does anyone have any work sheets for analyzing commercial properties?
That's a good question because I am interested as well in learning how to evaluate apartment buildings to determine the bottom lines. Example: 60 units, asking price: 4,100.000.00, Cap Rate: (Potential) 8.77%, Price paying (Per Sq. Ft.): $48.45, Price per unit: $68,333.33, Gross Rent Multiplier: 5.96, Expenses per unit: $5,475. Expense to Income ratio: 47.73%, Income per unit (Monthly): $955.93, Average Sq. Ft. (Per Unit): 1410, Debt Service Coverage: 1.52, Cash Flow (BT): $122,793.41: ROI YR.1 (BT): 14.97%. Can someone explain what these numbers mean and if this would be considered a solid income property. Thanks in advance for your input.
The most important figure is [size=18]Net Operating Income[/size] (NOI) The amount remaing after total operting expensee (excluding interest payments) are deducted from effective gross income. In short this figure show what the property is making and should come from the tax returns. (The higher the better.)
Debt Service coverate ratio = Annual net operating income divide by annual principle and interest payments (mortgage payment). A DSCR of 1.52% means that the property is making 52% a lender normally requires 1.25% This figure depends on loan amount, interest rate and loan term.
CAP rate = Purchase price or Value divided by net operating income.
What a CAP rate should be is determine by market and property type.
The numbers have to be verified from tax returns. Cash income or unverified income is worthless.
Oh, oh, good one, I love math. I have to be a smart aleck on the obvious ones.
60 units - number of tenants to give you trouble.
asking price: 4,100.000.00 - what someone dreams of getting for the place.
Cap Rate: (Potential) 8.77% - NOI (below) / asking price - the return you would get if you paid all cash. Potential means they're calculating a " proforma" number that assumes things will be better than they are now. You can use words like " pretend" or " made up" instead of proforma for all you really care.
Price paying (Per Sq. Ft.): $48.45 - purchase price / total square feet. Sometimes broken down by gross square feet and rentable square feet that deducts our common areas. Not sure which this is.
Price per unit: $68,333.33 - average cost for each of the 60 units.
Gross Rent Multiplier: 5.96 - Total annual rent / purchase price.
Expenses per unit: $5,475 - Total expenses / # of units
Expense to Income ratio: 47.73% - expenses / rent. Expenses / total scheduled rent is the " 50% rule" that gets beat around here a lot. Not sure if this is total scheduled rent, or rent after deduction for vacancies plus addition of other income (laundry, utility billback aka. RUBS, or something else.)
Income per unit (Monthly): $955.93 - average rent per unit
Average Sq. Ft. (Per Unit): 1410 - average unit size
Debt Service Coverage: 1.52 - annual debt payment (P&I) / NOI. Lenders will want to see this over 1.2 or some such. You have to take this with a grain of salt because its probably based on a high down payment, long term, and a unrealistically low loan rate. Aka DCR for Debt Coverage Ratio or DSCR for Debt Service Coverage Ratio. This will be a key number to the lender.
Cash Flow (BT): $122,793.41 - Total rent less vacancies plus other income less expenses less loan payment. Annual number. BT is before tax.
ROI YR.1 (BT): 14.97%. - Return on investment. Cash flow / total cash invested, I would guess. Who knows exactly how they're calculating this. Might be " total return" / total cash. The total return value includes the principal paydown included in your payments.
A key number that's missing is NOI - net operating income. They also don't break out the details of the rent, vacancies, and other income. Nevertheless, we can do a simple analysis with some assumptions.
Total scheduled rent: $687,900 (annual, I'm backing this out of the quoted GRM)
Total expenses: $343,950 (using the 50% rule, which includes vacancies)
NOI: $343,950
Asking price: $4,100,000
Assume 100% financing. We can't actually get this, but it allows to evaluate the deal. Assume 7% with a 30 year amortization.
Payment: $327,328 (annual, $27,277/month)
Cash flow: $16,630 (year)
Cash flow/unit/month: $23
Cap Rate: 8.4%
Since that cap rate is pretty close to what they quote, I think these calculations are close. Doesn't seem like a great deal to me. Only $23/unit/month cash flow. MikeOH's goal is $100/unit/month. So, lets see what it takes to get there.
Price: $3,400,000
Payment: $271,443 (same assumptions)
Cash flow: $72,516 (annual)
Cash flow/unit/month: $101
Cap Rate: 10.1%
Yea!
Now, put in the down payment. Assume 20% down, and 3% closing costs
Price: $3,400,000
Down payment: $680,000
Closing costs: $102,000
Total cash invested: $782,000
Payment: $217,154
Cash flow: $126,805
Cash flow/unit/month: $176
Cap rate: 10.1% (not affected by financing)
Cash on cash return: 16.2% (cash flow / cash invested)
So, you can work through whatever numbers and assumptions you want.
Jon
Any excel wiz's on this site? We should come up with a great excel model to analyze deals.
I work with Excel and Argus extensively. I am a former appraiser and mm buyer for a large company. I have developed excellent formats for presenting and analyzing investment real estate. I use Argus on complex properties, then export the output to my Excel worksheets. These formats are the result of many years of building and refining.
I am now working independently - marketing and valuation analysis. I like to team up with investors or sellers needing help. I am very responsive and reasonable. My analysis can be as detailed and crystal clear as you wish.
I have a couple of programs for something like this - PM me and I'll give you the info.
If you are planning to concentrate on commercial investments as your long term investment strategy (not just one deal), I would highly recommend taking a few CCIM classes. The CCIM designation (Certified Commercial Investment Manager) is designed for commercial real estate brokers, but you don't have to be a broker to take classes. A couple of the core classes focus on valuation and provide you with the software you need to run the numbers. The classes run about $1,000 for non-members, but worth it. Good luck with your deal! The web site is www.ccim.com
Here's another great resource - Steve Berges is a former high level financial analyst now running his own development company, he has a site called TheValuePlay.com where he sells analysis software at a very reasonable price.
The " Income Analyzer" is his multifamily tool and while not perfect, is somewhat customizable and outputs good data.
The program is Excel based, not overly demanding of computer resources, and is one that will get you thinking of the correct ways to analyze properties.
Please advise if you see any glaring errors. Also note there are tabs at the bottom for future numbers and financing.
That's a great spreadsheet, thanks for sharing!
Anyone know if there are any free spreadsheets floating around for analyzing IRR of a deal?
I've got a MFH analysis spreadsheet, as well. PM me if you want it.