5/25/12 IMPORTANT ANNOUNCEMENT: MAJOR BP Update Next Week!

Hide this

Jump to Category View All

Click a category below to view different forum categories.

BiggerPockets

General Info

Rss10 BiggerPockets Q&A, Site Questions, & Announcements

1001 topics, 8197 posts — Last Post 05/25/12, 06:26PM

Rss10 BiggerPockets Exclusive PRO Area

12 topics, 81 posts — Last Post 03/23/12, 03:25PM

Rss10 New Member Introductions

4596 topics, 26506 posts — Last Post 05/25/12, 04:49AM

Rss10 BiggerPockets Success Stories

152 topics, 1813 posts — Last Post 05/25/12, 10:22AM

Rss10 BiggerPockets Real Estate Investing Summit

87 topics, 1549 posts — Last Post 05/07/12, 02:13PM

General Real Estate

General Real Estate

Rss10 Buying Real Estate

1318 topics, 10387 posts — Last Post 05/25/12, 02:33PM

Rss10 Selling Real Estate

320 topics, 2544 posts — Last Post 05/08/12, 07:34PM

Rss10 Renters

202 topics, 1618 posts — Last Post 05/25/12, 11:34AM

Rss10 Get Foreclosure Help - Help Stop Foreclosure Forum

221 topics, 1747 posts — Last Post 05/18/12, 08:38PM

Rss10 Home Owner Association (HOA) Issues & Problems Forum

111 topics, 719 posts — Last Post 05/08/12, 06:37AM

Rss10 Do it Yourself

328 topics, 2841 posts — Last Post 05/25/12, 09:10AM

Reviews & Feedback

Rss10 Real Estate Deal Analysis and Advice

1625 topics, 12979 posts — Last Post 05/25/12, 06:56PM

Rss10 Real Estate Guru, Book & Course Reviews and Discussions

700 topics, 7128 posts — Last Post 05/23/12, 02:16PM

Rss10 Ask About A Real Estate Company

330 topics, 4781 posts — Last Post 05/10/12, 10:31PM

Real Estate Investing

Real Estate Strategies

Rss10 Wholesaling

2588 topics, 19948 posts — Last Post 05/25/12, 12:14PM

Rss10 Rehabbing and House Flipping

1622 topics, 14297 posts — Last Post 05/25/12, 03:24PM

Rss10 Real Estate Development

202 topics, 1123 posts — Last Post 05/19/12, 07:40AM

Rss10 Pre-Construction & New Home Construction

90 topics, 600 posts — Last Post 05/05/12, 11:02AM

Rss10 Innovative Strategies

377 topics, 2935 posts — Last Post 05/25/12, 02:00PM

Rss10 Tax Liens, Notes, Paper, & Cash Flows Discussion

477 topics, 2850 posts — Last Post 05/25/12, 02:54PM

Rss10 Rent to Own a.k.a. Lease Purchase, Lease Options

355 topics, 2229 posts — Last Post 05/25/12, 03:12PM

Rss10 1031 Exchanges

62 topics, 342 posts — Last Post 04/29/12, 08:09PM

Foreclosure Investing

Rss10 General Foreclosure & Pre-Foreclosure Forums

1156 topics, 7084 posts — Last Post 05/24/12, 06:30PM

Rss10 HUD, VA, and Tax Sales

216 topics, 1327 posts — Last Post 05/25/12, 01:59PM

Rss10 REOs

948 topics, 7884 posts — Last Post 05/23/12, 05:04PM

Rss10 Short Sales

1254 topics, 10440 posts — Last Post 05/23/12, 01:58PM

Landlord & Tenant Forums

Rss10 Rental Property Questions & Landlording Issues

3183 topics, 28801 posts — Last Post 05/25/12, 04:53PM

Rss10 Land & Farm Investing

118 topics, 736 posts — Last Post 05/25/12, 01:27PM

Rss10 Mobile Homes & Mobile Home Park Investing

416 topics, 3071 posts — Last Post 05/24/12, 05:40PM

Real Estate Dealmaking

Rss10 Make Deals, Find Partners, Mentors & BirdDogs, etc.

3703 topics, 13611 posts — Last Post 05/25/12, 06:57PM

Rss10 Promote Your Real Estate Buyer's List

160 topics, 689 posts — Last Post 05/02/12, 05:54AM

Rss10 Property Wanted

635 topics, 3041 posts — Last Post 05/19/12, 07:44AM

Rss10 Seeking Financing, Money, or Loans

1245 topics, 7437 posts — Last Post 05/21/12, 10:41AM

Rss10 Tax Liens, Notes, Paper, & Cash Flows Dealmaking

277 topics, 1909 posts — Last Post 05/23/12, 06:40PM

Rss10 Bulk REO Discussion and REO Dealmaking

843 topics, 5906 posts — Last Post 02/02/12, 04:20PM

Investor Basics

Rss10 Starting Out

4197 topics, 30898 posts — Last Post 05/24/12, 03:17PM

Rss10 Investor Psychology

298 topics, 4486 posts — Last Post 05/04/12, 09:01PM

Rss10 General Real Estate Investing

3145 topics, 21840 posts — Last Post 05/25/12, 03:22PM

Rss10 Real Estate Investor Marketing

910 topics, 7482 posts — Last Post 05/25/12, 10:26AM

Commercial Real Estate

Rss10 Commercial Real Estate Investing Forum

743 topics, 3995 posts — Last Post 05/23/12, 08:46AM

Rss10 Multi-Family and Apartment Investing

219 topics, 2013 posts — Last Post 05/25/12, 11:11AM

Rss10 Office Investing

3 topics, 36 posts — Last Post 11/15/11, 02:42PM

Rss10 Industrial Property Investing

4 topics, 14 posts — Last Post 05/04/12, 06:44AM

Rss10 Retail Property Investing

10 topics, 77 posts — Last Post 05/25/12, 10:15AM

Rss10 CRE Financing and Lending

26 topics, 247 posts — Last Post 05/23/12, 05:27AM

Rss10 CRE Syndication and Fundraising

26 topics, 236 posts — Last Post 05/20/12, 04:52PM

Rss10 CRE Property Management & Leasing

2 topics, 12 posts — Last Post 05/18/12, 12:34PM

The Business of Real Estate

Real Estate Technology and the Internet

Rss10 Technology, Social Media, Real Estate & The Web

269 topics, 2277 posts — Last Post 05/25/12, 07:40AM

Rss10 Real Estate Blogs & Blogging

24 topics, 293 posts — Last Post 05/16/12, 09:29PM

Business Basics

Rss10 Goals, Business Plans & Entities

428 topics, 4273 posts — Last Post 05/24/12, 09:08PM

Real Estate Finance & Legal

Financial, Tax, and Legal

Rss10 Tax, Legal Issues, Contracts, Self-Directed IRA

1349 topics, 9465 posts — Last Post 05/24/12, 07:35AM

Rss10 Credit & Credit Repair

182 topics, 1484 posts — Last Post 05/22/12, 06:06PM

Rss10 Property Insurance

135 topics, 850 posts — Last Post 05/25/12, 03:36PM

Rss10 Bankruptcy

21 topics, 113 posts — Last Post 05/21/12, 08:25PM

Loans, Mortgages, Credit Lines

Rss10 Private & Conventional Lending Discussion

1346 topics, 8087 posts — Last Post 05/25/12, 02:20PM

Rss10 Creative Real Estate Financing

659 topics, 4285 posts — Last Post 05/24/12, 10:58AM

Real Estate Professionals

Real Estate Professionals

Rss10 Real Estate Agents

639 topics, 3562 posts — Last Post 05/24/12, 07:47PM

Rss10 Bankers, Lenders, and Mortgage Brokers

355 topics, 1268 posts — Last Post 05/04/12, 01:18AM

Rss10 Contractors

122 topics, 668 posts — Last Post 05/25/12, 06:21PM

Local Real Estate

International Real Estate

Local Real Estate

Rss10 Local Real Estate Networking

612 topics, 3434 posts — Last Post 05/24/12, 02:08PM

Rss10 Americans & International Real Estate

139 topics, 505 posts — Last Post 05/20/12, 02:00PM

Rss10 Foreigners Buying in the USA

56 topics, 288 posts — Last Post 05/02/12, 07:54PM

Rss10 Canadian Real Estate

26 topics, 130 posts — Last Post 03/19/12, 05:58PM

Marketplace

Real Estate Marketplace

Rss10 Mortgages & Lending

392 topics, 1757 posts — Last Post 05/20/12, 03:10AM

Rss10 Residential Property, Land, & Farms For Sale

760 topics, 1463 posts — Last Post 05/24/12, 06:58PM

Rss10 Real Estate Events & Happenings

118 topics, 505 posts — Last Post 05/07/12, 10:07PM

Rss10 Commercial Properties for Sale or Lease

224 topics, 671 posts — Last Post 05/25/12, 08:42AM

Rss10 Domains & Website Reviews

48 topics, 391 posts — Last Post 05/25/12, 07:07AM

Rss10 Classifieds - Promote your Website, Newsletter, or Product

595 topics, 2801 posts — Last Post 05/23/12, 06:42PM

Off-Topic

Off Topic

Rss10 Off-Topic

1866 topics, 19997 posts — Last Post 05/25/12, 08:12AM

Rss10 Housing News & Real Estate Market

666 topics, 6615 posts — Last Post 05/09/12, 03:11PM

BiggerPockets Resources

Forums » General Real Estate Investing » How to determine ARV

How to determine ARV Subscribe to How to determine ARV

27 posts by 17 users

Signup


Hey guys,

I was wondering how someone can determine the after repair value of home. I know most people say that they look up the sold comps on the MLS for similar properties. What if you are a beginning investor like me and don't have access to the MLS?

Thanks


Real Estate Investor


You can find sold listings on Trulia.com and zillow.com to compare with. Just keep an eye on the dates of the sale, and make sure you are using actual sales numbers, as apposed to zestimates.

I found I was pretty accurate this way prior to getting MLS access.


Real Estate Investor · Dearborn, Michigan


Best advice would be get in touch with a realtor that is investor friendly. You could also pull public records on properties that have sold within the last few months that are in your target area. This could help however, it is a much longer task then just getting a realtor on your team.

On a side note I have recently seen an improvement in trulia.com with the site updating the newest listing from the mls within a day or two. This could get you in the ballpark but I would not commit to a deal based on their values.


Real Estate Investor · Kalamazoo, Michigan


I've seen wide variation in prices on Trulia and Zillow, that don't reflect actual value. I'm sure you can ask a Realtor to run some comps for you, especially if you might buy or sell through them. That's definitely the easiest and most accurate.


Real Estate Investor · Charlotte, North Carolina


the values on trulia and zillow may be way off, but there will be actual sold comps that you can use, just as marc said..i use it


Real Estate Investor · Altus, Oklahoma


Recent sold comps from the MLS. Make sure they come close to the actual property's attributes(ie size,style,# beds/bath)


· Georgia


About how far should you look out? 1 mile, 2 miles?? I am a new investor and this is the part I am having issues with. If there are no comps in the subdivision, how far should I look out?


Real Estate Investor · Altus, Oklahoma


As close as possible. If not a mile try 2 so forth and so on.


Rehabber · Chandler, Arizona


About how far should you look out? 1 mile, 2 miles?? I am a new investor and this is the part I am having issues with. If there are no comps in the subdivision, how far should I look out?

If you are surrounded by like neighborhoods, then you should not have to go too far. If you are not, then you may be better off going further back in time and discounting the values.

Small_wh_logo_full_1600_350_black_cJustin S., Wheelhouse Properties
E-Mail: wheelhouseproperties@gmail.com
Telephone: 4806780446
Website: http://www.wheelhouseproperties.com
Realtor, Re-modeler, Cash Buyer


SFR Investor · Orange County, California


Originally posted by Eduardo Austin
About how far should you look out? 1 mile, 2 miles?? I am a new investor and this is the part I am having issues with. If there are no comps in the subdivision, how far should I look out?

If there's nothing within the same subdivision, finding comps is a little tougher. Like you, I try to look for sold comps within the same development rather than go strictly by proximity. But once you venture outside a subdivision, all bets are off if you go simply by distance.

For example, we live in a tract of homes that run along the west side of a creek and spans about 1 mile in length. Using comps anywhere in this development allows me to compare similar models with each other. However, there are several homes lying just over the ridge less than 1/4 mile from our house that are completely in another city and zip code! What those homes sell for tells me very little about the value of our own. Even 1/3 mile away, there are several homes, but they are on the other side of the creek and main boulevard in another tract. Homes further away, but in our same development make for better comps than many homes that might be physically closer.

So what do you do if there aren't any sold comps in the same tract? I look at other tracts with similar characteristics. That's not very hard to do in the relatively newer parts of SoCal because developers pretty much took a cookie cutter approach to most projects. About 1.5 miles away, my parents live in a tract of homes very similar to ours, just built a few years earlier. Many of their models share striking similarities to ours. And the amenities of the area, i.e., school districts, proximity to shopping and jobs, etc. are all the same. Basically, figure out what makes one group of homes attractive to a buyer/renter and see what other neighborhoods offer the same living experience.

It's not perfect, but it's better than a SWAG (Scientific Wild A$$ Guess). :mrgreen:


Real Estate Investor · Southern, California


Try to keep your comps within the last 3 months; oftentimes trulia and zillow are not recent and can be deceiving. You can only get an idea, but at that they are not what you want to rely on for comps.

There is a site in many major cities across the US called redfin. (unfortunately its not everywhere). I love redfin, and it has 10 comps at the bottom, but even better than that, you can pull up a map and go directly to handpick your comps.

1. Try to stay in the same neighborhood like many have said here, but if there isn't enough comps, stay within a mile if possible.

2. Try to only go back 3 months; if there aren't enough try 6

3. Stay within 1 bed and 1 bath, and try to stay the same if possible

4. Stay within 500 square feet; the close in size the better

5. I like to use 10 comps, but try to use at least 5 (the more the better). I like to be conservative because usually the appraisers are.

6. Do not use listings; use sold comps

7. Calculate the cost per square feet for each .

8. Remove the highest and lowest PER SQUARE FEET values

9. Take the remaining prices per square feet and find the average.

10. Multiply that number by the square footage of the property you are comping.

If I'm doing a rehab on the property requiring more than $25K, I usually subtract $10K from the ARV only because our market in my area is still declining slightly, and that will usually take 3 months. You can talk to a realtor in your area to find out the market trends for your city; or you can look in the paper in the real estate section; there is usually a section that talks about the trends.


Real Estate Investor · Southern, California


Try to keep your comps within the last 3 months; oftentimes trulia and zillow are not recent and can be deceiving. You can only get an idea, but at that they are not what you want to rely on for comps.

There is a site in many major cities across the US called redfin. I love redfin, and it has 10 comps at the bottom, but even better than that, you can pull up a map and go directly to handpick your comps.

1. Try to stay in the same neighborhood like many have said here, but if there isn't enough comps, stay within a mile if possible.

2. Try to only go back 3 months; if there aren't enough try 6

3. Stay within 1 bed and 1 bath, and try to stay the same if possible

4. Stay within 500 square feet; the close in size the better

5. I like to use 10 comps, but try to use at least 5 (the more the better). I like to be conservative because usually the appraisers are.

6. Do not use listings; use sold comps

7. Calculate the cost per square feet for each .

8. Remove the highest and lowest PER SQUARE FEET values

9. Take the remaining prices per square feet and find the average.

10. Multiply that number by the square footage of the property you are comping.

If I'm doing a rehab on the property with more than $25K in repairs, I usually subtract $10K from the ARV only because our market in my area is still declining slightly. You can talk to a realtor in your area to find out the market trends for your city; or you can look in the paper in the real estate section; there is usually a section that talks about the trends.


Real Estate Investor · Wheat Ridge, Colorado


5. I like to use 10 comps, but try to use at least 5 (the more the better). I like to be conservative because usually the appraisers are.

I want to see ALL available comps, whether there are 3 or 30. If you're working with an agent, don't let the agent just pick out a few comps and show you those. Its too easy to cherry pick comps to show whatever you want. You want to see all of them because you don't know what an appraiser might choose.


7. Calculate the cost per square feet for each .

8. Remove the highest and lowest PER SQUARE FEET values

9. Take the remaining prices per square feet and find the average.

10. Multiply that number by the square footage of the property you are comping.

I do not believe this is an accurate method. Its not what an appraiser will do. If you have a fair number of comps, more than half a dozen or so, look at the $/sq.ft. If they're all very close, then this method may be accurate. They probably won't be.

An appraiser will apply an adjustment to the comps to adjust for difference in per square foot prices. That adjustment is probably about a third of the $/sq.ft. sales price. If your house is 1100 sq.ft. and the comp is 1000 sq.ft., and house are about $100 per sq.ft., then the appraiser will add about $3,000 to that comp to adjust for your extra 100 sq.ft. I assure you an appraiser will not add $10,000. Same if your house is smaller. For a 900 sq.ft. house, the appraiser will subtract something more like $3000 than $10,000. If beds and baths are the same, finishes and condition are the same, adding an extra 100 sq.ft. is much, much cheaper than the overall price.

Also compare your house only to ones with the same style. Ranch with basement, two story, tri-level, etc. Ground floor footage is worth the most, upper floors less, and basement much less. You need to know your area and how an appraiser will treat the different square footages.

Small_flying-phoenixJon Holdman, Flying Phoenix LLC


Real Estate Investor · Springfield, Missouri


As to comps and range. First you look in the subdivision, then move out within 1 mile, then within 3 miles, then within 5 miles, then over 5 miles. Taking all the comps in the same subdivision takes into consideration the maturity of the subdivision and per centage of the built up lots. In a mature subdivision you can do that and when there are sufficient homes to ensure that three sale do not skew the analysis.

For example, in a new subdivision, where 4 out of 30 lots were built and sold are not good comps for the 5th house, 2 comps in that subdivison might be used with another from the neighborhood.

A neighborhood is not necessairly a subdivision, it is a generally more of the soci-economic area identifed by similar attributes. It is very common for values to be significantly different from one neighborhood to another or one subdivision to another. These factors must also be considered as to the desirability (which reflets on marketability) from one area to another and such assumptions can usually be shown in the market. Failing to identify these differences will skew your analysis as valuation is not strictly a math formula of square footage costs and adjusting for amenities.

These influences will be magnified as you move further away from the subject property. For example, while a house may have a similar price, the proximity to a hospital or shopping area may be different than one close r to an industrial complex.

It's an art as much as a science. Study it as an art and you'll get the science.


Real Estate Investor · San Antonio, Texas


Daniel,
All of the above is good to go. I am not a big fan of Trulia or zillow for comps...too much room for error.

Think of this...if you buy this property what will you exit strategy be? Flip it? Will you use a realtor? Will you ever use a realtor to sell a property? If the answer is yes...then there is incentive for a realtor to do whatever you ask of them....for example pulling comps for you.

You should have realtors on your team. they can be a wealth of knowledge and a source of great leads....

All youhave to do is know how to TAKE CARE OF THEM...they work for commission so just make sure they have a way to make money. They will respect you for respecting them and they will do everything they can to make sure you have success because they will have success.

It's nice to be able to pick up a phone and say hey so and so I am thinking of buying this house can you run comps for me real quick.

Hope that helps you....go do it now so you can get on with this deal and make some money!!!!!! Good luck!

Amigos,
Mark


Real Estate Investor · Southern, California


Originally posted by Jon Holdman
I do not believe this is an accurate method. Its not what an appraiser will do. If you have a fair number of comps, more than half a dozen or so, look at the $/sq.ft. If they're all very close, then this method may be accurate. They probably won't be.

Hmm, I've always gotten within 3-10K of what the appraised value is this way... always has worked for me like a charm here in Southern CA, and every time my value was less than the appraisers because they only take 3-5 comps, and you do never know which ones they'll take; but here in LA area, if you took all the comps you'd have 100s of them at times depending on how dense the area is. I always do take ALL the comps within the immediate area that are within 500 square feet (or less) though, as they do not use comps that are too big or too small , ever.

Updated: 01:35AM, 04/20/2011

*clarifcation... when I say same area, I mean the neighborhood the home is in.


Real Estate Investor · Southern, California


Love your info Finanance Examiner. It also depends on your area. If you're in an area where there are postage size stamp lots with many homes like the general LA, Orange and San Bernardino areas of CA, an appraiser will never go past 1.5 miles unless it is a more rural area. This is good to know about sparsely covered areas though, I did not know an appraiser would ever go out as much as 5 miles!

Originally posted by Financexaminer
As to comps and range. First you look in the subdivision, then move out within 1 mile, then within 3 miles, then within 5 miles, then over 5 miles. Taking all the comps in the same subdivision takes into consideration the maturity of the subdivision and per centage of the built up lots. In a mature subdivision you can do that and when there are sufficient homes to ensure that three sale do not skew the analysis.

For example, in a new subdivision, where 4 out of 30 lots were built and sold are not good comps for the 5th house, 2 comps in that subdivison might be used with another from the neighborhood.

A neighborhood is not necessairly a subdivision, it is a generally more of the soci-economic area identifed by similar attributes. It is very common for values to be significantly different from one neighborhood to another or one subdivision to another. These factors must also be considered as to the desirability (which reflets on marketability) from one area to another and such assumptions can usually be shown in the market. Failing to identify these differences will skew your analysis as valuation is not strictly a math formula of square footage costs and adjusting for amenities.

These influences will be magnified as you move further away from the subject property. For example, while a house may have a similar price, the proximity to a hospital or shopping area may be different than one close r to an industrial complex.

It's an art as much as a science. Study it as an art and you'll get the science.


Real Estate Investor · Atlanta, Georgia


For reference, over the past dozen or so sales I've done to FHA buyers, I've noticed the appraisers are happy to go back to near 12 months and out to about 1.5 miles to find non-foreclosure comps.

Certainly, they prefer comps that are newer and closer, but they appear to be loosening up their standards in the face of the current market.

At least that's been my experience over the past several months...

J Scott, Lish Properties, LLC
Telephone: 770-906-6358
Website: http://www.123flip.com
http://www.123flip.com


Real Estate Investor · Southern, California


I know some states have passed laws that forbid appraisers to use REOs and short sales in their reports. would LOVE to see that here in CA in some cities that are so overriden with REOs that it absolutely derails property values!

Originally posted by J Scott
For reference, over the past dozen or so sales I've done to FHA buyers, I've noticed the appraisers are happy to go back to near 12 months and out to about 1.5 miles to find non-foreclosure comps.

Certainly, they prefer comps that are newer and closer, but they appear to be loosening up their standards in the face of the current market.

At least that's been my experience over the past several months...


Real Estate Investor · Springfield, Missouri


That's good news Jason! As the limit is one year and they are moving further out. FHA and VA need to see comps within 3 miles and when one goes out within 5, there is alot of jsutification as to why they went so far out. So your observation is good news that lenders might be getting a little bolder.....if you could call that bold underwriting....LOL




Sign up