Hello,
I'm based in Az and the investors I've been working with try to get short sales at 60-65ltv. Just curious what are the trends in CA, let me know.Thank you
Hello,
I'm based in Az and the investors I've been working with try to get short sales at 60-65ltv. Just curious what are the trends in CA, let me know.Thank you
I saw another post talking about California REO's... It was saying banks were not accepting any less than 90% of the current list price.
Seems too high to me...
Hi Eric,
I think they're fluffing the numbers as it stands AZ is in high demand and you can get REO's or shorts at 65-75 ltv. I would venture a quess at 75-85 ltv. Of course shorts me be going to be higher on average, but REO have a chance of meeting a smaller ltv.
I thought 90% was quite high...
But what they also said is that amount is based on the new lowered (depreciated) values... So homes may have been selling at 100k more only a year or so ago.
Still... Today's value is what they are worth... Not 2 years ago value...
So 90% still seems way up there to me... Especially when some are saying California has not reached the bottom yet.
Heck, I can't remember the last time I bought ANY house at 90% of its value!
Take care!
Asking about values in CA isn't a good question. CA is a LARGE state with a lot of very different markets. Where I live in the Palm Springs area, the market is in total free fall. I'd feel comfortable offering a lender 40% here if I had cash money. I've seen a number of properties that were traded from one lender to another 3-4 months ago and are now on the market for 60% of what that lender paid. And that's what they're asking. Many properties here, newer homes built in the last 6 years, are now listed at 45-50% of what they sold for 12-18 months ago. On the other hand, some areas in CA are still appreciating in value.
75%-85% sounds about right.
Also if the have a loan that is 80/20.
Usually the 20 will be forgiven and the 80 could become 75.
maricelaLugo :superman:
When talking discount percentages, it is my experience that some folks confuse current values with the payoff amount, which is based on past values. We are assuming that prices have fallen, so past values were higher than today.
I'm finding banks willing to accept about 80% of CURRENT value. Which may actually be only 60-70% of loan payoff (assuming an original 100% loan).
It's in a free fall cause it's a second home for most people. People can't really afford a second home in the Bay Area, it's usually out of the Bay Area, like Stockton, Los Banos, where you see a lot of forclosure. Median home price in Santa Clara County is 750K.
I'm seeing about 75-80% current value also. They're going off the BPO, so if you get a pessimistic broker, you can do well.
This is coming from a short sale company I'm networked with which is doing quite well right now. They're auctioning off the properties and getting 90-95% value pretty regularly, surprisingly enough. Getting a 10% margin on a property here in Los Angeles is totally worth the effort.
EDIT: I meant to add, in most places ~65% is pretty unrealistic. Though I think it would be doable in the places that are really struggling, esp. Stockton. I'm not sure you could find a buyer, even with such a discount.
Tracy and John-- I agree with you both.
Short sale pricing is tricky, though the banks DO try to accept 90% CV, 90% CV at the beginning of negotiations isn't the same as 90% CV 3-4 months later because of the steadily declining market. You'd do well to put in a clause in the contract that drops the offer by a certain percentage each week the property is on the market.
IMHO that's why CA is so broke as a state. they are too high on their horses to let this market take its course and go through what it must go through in order to recover.
as a "bulk buying bottom feeder", were paying over 50 cents in CA. it makes sense that buying 1 or 2 at a time would put you in the 75-80 range.
as an investor, i say hold in CA. don't buy yet. their crap smells as bad as anyone else in GA and OH and their market will still get rocked.
jeff
Banks sell short at 80-90% of current market value. The trick is to get the bank to sell it for 80% of distressed value and resell it for 90% of retail value.
You know the value is determined by the BPO agent. I know the "GURUS" talk about being there for the BPO and influencing it if possible.
Well, the BPO is the most important factor. BUT here's what the GURUs don't tell you.
The hard part is influencing the BPO agent to value the property as a distressed 30-60 day value. There is a lot of pressure on the BPO agent not to use distressed properties (REOs/Foreclosures) in their comps. If they do, they are guaranteed a "Quality Control" audit. They are scored on their work and may not get more BPOs from the clearing house if they do not maintain a certain score.
What can you do about this?
Maybe nothing just be aware of it.
Try talking about the home owner's hardship and how they REALLY need this deal to go through. You've got to give the BPO agent a reason to buck the system.
*******************************
BIGGEST TIP OF THE DAY........
If you wait till the BPO agent arrives at the property to try to influence the valuation,........ You're too LATE!
She has already got comps and has formed an opinion about the property's value.
You've got to tell the bank to have the BPO agent call you 24-48 hours before. Talk to the BPO agent, build rapport. Ask how many BPOs they do. Ask for an email so you can use their service in the future. SEND her a friendly email ASAP and enclose some area comps for her convenience.
Good Luck!
It will be interesting to watch these bank discount numbers in the upcoming months. Foreclosures have hit recent record numbers and with 10.2% unemployment most experts agree there is shadow inventory building with the banks. Also, well documented data on outstanding specific types of mortgages indicates likely high default numbers thru 2012.
In SoCal areas (LA & OC) most properties under $417,000 are selling at, above or close to list price. The banks are listing properties quite low and attracting multiple offers...unless the places is a real dump and no bank will loan on it. Honestly, I don't see that many deals. I think most people buying single units are owner-occupied, not investors. I think the only real deals are when you can get them directly from the bank but you've got to have very deep pockets and buy in bulk.
Also, the BPO is KEY! I just had a deal get rejected because the agent who did the BPO was on drugs or something and gave the bank a value way too high.
Hi Shari-- You are completely right. Last time I checked the list to sale price for OC it was at 97%. Ridiculous!
I have to agree that in (OC,IE) the shortsales go for 75-80% current value.
I work for a company that does short sale flips and we get good money for 15-20% margins
What the lender will accept is determined by the investor holding the paper; i.e Freddie, fannie, HUD or private. That percentage varies from around 80-91% net to the lender/servicer of the BPO value. If it is privately held (or the bank actually keeps the loan on their own books, which is rare in the overall scheme of things), they can do whatever you can negotiate with them. Unless they change the regs, that won't take less than what the regs say they have to get, no matter how long it takes or how unrealistic it may be in the real world. But banks don't think. They are slow moving bureaucracies and creative thinking is discouraged at every turn.
All the reasons I stay far away from this area of the market. I spent 4 years in loss mit and don't want anything to do with them. It just isn't worth it to me. There are better ways to make money in RE IMHO. Others say they do better than those numbers but I don't see how. The regs are the regs. Things can change though. But it happens very, very slowly in the bank world.
Best of luck
Mike C
If you are in California, check out Senate Bill 1737 which makes it illegal and a possible suspension of a RE license if the agent inflates the BPO with the hope that it will go to REO and they will get the listing. It is also illegal for the agent to send anyone who is NOT licensed to just take pictures for them and then submit their report as their own BPO. If either is the case, you can challenge the BPO and get a new one. Good luck! Mike- interested in a negotiator position earning more, using your loss mit experience?