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Forums » Real Estate Deal Analysis and Advice » Commercial deal - 22 apts, 9 stores..will this work?

Commercial deal - 22 apts, 9 stores..will this work? Subscribe to Commercial deal - 22 apts, 9 stores..will this work?

27 posts by 6 users

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Homeowner · Weare, NH


Hi all,

I am currently looking at a commercial property in NH. Three buildings which include 22 apartments, 9 retail storefronts and a vacant theatre.

Annual Gross income is $252,000
Annual Operating Expenses are $75,000
Assume a 5% vacancy (-$12,600)
Leaves a Net Operating Income of $163,000
Asking price is $2,500,000

All units are rented except the theatre, it needs work and is what I ultimately want to renovate and reopen. For now, I'd be happy if the rest of the property paid for itself.

What kind of financing would be possible on a property like this? Given the numbers above, how much could be financed and remain cash positive?

Any help or advice on this deal would be appreciated!
Thanks,
Joe


Real Estate Investor · Wheat Ridge, Colorado


What kind of leases are in place with the commercial tenants? Are they NNN leases? If not, the expenses look low.

If you put 20% down, and get a loan at 9% amoritzed for 20 years, you're looking at annual payments of $216,000. Seems like a loser even if the expenses are correct.

Jon

Small_flying-phoenixJon Holdman, Flying Phoenix LLC


Homeowner · Weare, NH


Hi Jon,

Thanks for the response. Leases are not NNN. Expenses are as stated. I've got a max of 10% to put down and was hoping to not exceed 2.3 mil on the property.

Is a commercial 30 year possible? I haven't researched the finance angle much at all, just beginning the process now. Any help in this regard would be appreciated.

Thanks,
Joe


Homeowner · Weare, NH


The city has their tax records online. I have found out that the assessed value of the property is 995K which makes sense given the tax rate of $15 per thousand and the current taxes being paid.

I know the assessed value is not the fair market value but I don't think there should be that much of a disparity. Given the previous information about expenses and income, what would you say the property would be worth?

Thanks,
Joe


Real Estate Investor · Wheat Ridge, Colorado


Joe,
Commercial properties are usually valued based on their income. Commonly, this is based on a " cap rate" or capitalization rate:

Cap rate = annual NOI / purchase price

For yours, cap rate = 6.6% = $163,000/$2,500,000

That tells you what return your money would get if you paid case. That's equivalent to thinking about putting money into bank CD's.

From what I've seen, that's a pretty common cap rate. Maybe on the lower end, but not out of line with lots of other properties listed on places like loopnet.

Other ways to determine values are the comparable method (like is used for SFRs) and the replacement cost method. The income approach seems most common for commercial properties.

Now, does this make it a good deal? Personally, I think a 6.5% return is too low for this sort of investment. You could get 5% at a bank with zero risk. So, why would you sign up for all the hassle and risk for an extra 1.5%.

Of course, its not that simple. You can leverage your investment, and get a much higher cash-on-cash return, if the numbers work right.

For one thing, this is just a snapshot of the existing situation. Maybe the rents are low and can be raised. Maybe there is reason to believe there is significant future appreciation. On the other hand, maybe there is a major expense coming up or there is a lot of deferred maintenance.

I am not very familiar with retail expenses. Expenses on the apartments, though, will run you 45-50% of the rent, including vacancy allowance. The numbers you quote are 35% of the total rents ($87.6K / $252K). You might want to see details for each part of the deal. Ask for tax returns for the past several years. If expenses truly have been this low, I'd be concerned with deferred maintenance. At best, I think those expenses are optimistic.

I have heard recently its possible to get a 90% commercial loan. Getting a 90% 30 year loan at a decent rate may be a challenge. If you get the property at $2.3 mil, and get a 90%, 30 year loan at 8%, your annual payment is still $182,000. That means you're in the hole for $230,000 (down payment), plus closing costs (non-trivial on a commercial property) and losing $1500/month.

If you intend to open a single screen movie theater, you'll have to play to a niche audience. Multiplexes will take most of the business. Here in Denver, there are exactly two single screen theaters for the whole city. They both play offbeat films. Movie theaters are a very low margin and cut-throat business. If you mean live performances, its probably even worse. Most performance theaters require significant private and public contributions to stay afloat.

Jon

Small_flying-phoenixJon Holdman, Flying Phoenix LLC


Homeowner · Weare, NH


Jon,
Thank you for your very thoughful reply. At this point, I'm probably going to pass on the deal unless I can get it at a much lower price. I suspect I could make it work if the price were closer to 1.5m but I doubt the owner would consider selling at that price.

I've walked through the property and can tell the owner has definitely not put much in to the building over the past few years. Latest major expense was a new roof a few years ago. The heating system is servicable but really needs to be upgraded/replaced. The apartments are in decent condition

There is some room to raise the rents but I think the revenue from that would be offset by improvements needed to the building.

The theatre space used to operate as a 5 screen movie house but is way below today's standards. Its only hope for seeing use again is to return it to its original use as a live theatre space. Easier said than done I know. I have worked in and run many performing arts buildings in my career. It is a very tough business to survive in.

Personally, I don't see anyone making a play for this property. Me, I'm a theatre person and would dearly love to see this gem of a theatre resurrected. I can't do that if the cash flow is negative though.

If I could somehow wrangle the price down to 1.5m and assumed the operating expenses were closer to 45-50%, I think that would work, no?


Real Estate Investor · Wheat Ridge, Colorado


Joe,
I sort of sensed from what you said this might be a live theater, and you really wanted to see it open. Sounds like you have good knowledge of the business, so maybe you can put that to work to make it a success. Don't let me be a dream killer. Conversly, don't let your dream drag you into financial ruin.

Real estate is a numbers business. It sounds like you are seeing deferred maintenance. That lets the current owner make the NOI look better, but creates a lurking nightmare for the next owner. That said, the new roof is good thing. Plan realistically for the needed maintenance and for ongoing expenses, and you might get this to work.

How desparate is the seller? If they are really wanting to move on, you might have some room to negotiate. Ask about seller financing, at least for some chunk. Maybe good terms, like deferred payments for a year or two. I think I saw Scott (aka EZLoans) mention in a posting recently he had lenders would would do a 95% CLTV structured as 75%/20% owner carry/5% down. Might try to look into any economic development funding that might improve the deal, too. See if there is an existing loan that you could assume. Commercial loans are often assumable. Assuming the existing loan and doing an owner carry for the remainder might be an approach. A master lease with an option to purchase might be another approach. Just lock in the purchase price so you don't have to pay for the improvements you make.

If I look at the numbers at $1.5M, 45% expenses, 90% loan at 8% with 30 year amortization, you should be cash flow positive to the tune of $1700/month. You'd have to put $150K plus closing costs and immediate improvements into the deal. At 100% financing (i.e., paying yourself the same return on your down payment as you're paying on the loan), its right at break even. I'd say that the absolute max you should pay, and it would be better to be down toward $1.2M.

Another caveat is that commercial loans often have a balloon payment or a time when the interest rate adjusts. A loan with terms like " 30 year amortization, due in five" means the payment will be as if its a 30 year loan, but the outstanding balance will be due after five. Rates will vary based on the time until its due or the time the rate is fixed.

Jon

Small_flying-phoenixJon Holdman, Flying Phoenix LLC


Homeowner · Weare, NH


Jon - Many thanks for the advice. Don't worry, you aren't a dream killer. I don't mind risk but am definitely trying to stay away from certain financial doom. This may be a case where it wasn't meant to be but you've given me lots of potential avenues to explore before passing this one by.

Thanks,
Joe



Hi Joe,

Where was this located?


Homeowner · Weare, NH


Hi Chop,
Why, you interested in it? I haven't quite given up on it yet so am reluctant to say where it is just yet. Hope you understand.



Hi Joe.......not interested myself. Just curious where stuff is happening in the state. I am more interested in multifams...but I am just getting started.

On a side note, have you attended the NHREIA meetings in Bedford?


Homeowner · Weare, NH


I think it could be figured out if someone were really interested. The property is the Colonial Theatre in Laconia.

I visited the NHREIA web site just the other day. I may show up at one of their upcoming events. I still have to decide whether my interest is only in a single property with the purpose of having a theatre of my own versus general investing for its own sake.



Right on. I just passed through Laconia on Sunday. Would love to see an independent theatre in this part of the state. Wilton's Town Hall theatre seemed to do expecially well when we lived down in that part of the state.

Good luck!


Homeowner · Weare, NH


I've been mulling this over for a couple of weeks now. Nothing ventured nothing gained so I'm going to see if the owner will come down to reality and sell for closer to 1.25mil. At that price and with the right financing I'll be cash positive. If the owner isn't willing to consider it then I'll shelve plans for this property.


Real Estate Investor · Wheat Ridge, Colorado


Excellent! Maybe it will work, or the owner will come up with a creative way to make it work (e.g., you pay $100 a month until you know where freezes over.) Let us know.

Jon

Small_flying-phoenixJon Holdman, Flying Phoenix LLC


Homeowner · Weare, NH


:mrgreen: $100 a month, that would work for me. I think the 1.25 price is about right for the property, minus the theatre. Of course splitting the theatre out of the deal takes away one of my main incentives for having the property. I'll see if the owner will take a second, with very good terms for me of course. Maybe an additional amount to kick in if/when the theatre is able to reopen. Percentage of theatre revenue as an option?


Real Estate Agent


Does the annual gross income include the projected theatre income or is the actual income? If it is projected, then the sales price is way off.
How much more income would the theatre add if rented or you were operating it?

Also, who manages the apartments? If it was the owner, then there is a good chance that they left out that expense. Make sure to include this cost in your expenses. Even if you plan to manage them yourself the lender will include the expense in their NOI calculation.

When negotiating with the seller, you may want to negotiate on terms as well as price. If you can get seller financing you could keep more in your pocket for the rehab.

Dominic Enea
Commercial Agent


Homeowner · Weare, NH


Good questions Dominic! The theatre income is not included in the projections. Owner included it at $78k annual but I took it out to run my calculations. If i can get it open and generating income that would be great but I am not counting on it at all to make this deal.

Apartments are owner managed and I would take that over myself. I did project 3% of gross income as a property management expense.

Yep, seller financing with very good terms would be great, I'd like to keep as much in my pocket as possible. To some degree, the price can go up if my debt service costs go down. If I can go into the deal with a decent positive cash flow then I would be happy. It would allow me to do what i truly love, working in theatre. I'm not crazy though and would definitely keep the day job!


Real Estate Agent


From all the information you have provided, I would say that getting in for 2M or under would be a good deal. That would be more than an 8 CAP with upside.

I would try to structure it this way.
70% 1st 5yr Fixed/30yr ammortization $1,400,000 @ 8% = $10,300
15% 2nd 5yr Balloon $400,000 @ 10% (5+5)= $1750
10% Down $200,000

DCR of 1.13 is on the riskier side, but if your fairly sure you can get the theatre going it would jump to a very healthy 1.47.

You would have a cash flow of over $1500 per month with a potential to earn over $5000/month.

The seller get 1.6M now for a property that is not selling, but still gets fair value.

If you can get a lower price, all the better.

Dominic Enea
Commercial Agent


Homeowner · Weare, NH


I'd like to thank everyone for the very helpful information provided. I just got off the phone with the owner and the news is not good. She is unwilling to budge from her asking price. I'll keep an eye on the property, I don't think it will move the way she has priced it.




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