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Forums » Real Estate Deal Analysis and Advice » Operating Expenses Estimate Too High?

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When I find a promising multi-unit rental property, I usually assume that 50% of the gross rents is what I'll have after operating expenses to pay my mortgage. The listing sheets have a breakdown of the operating expenses; should I go by what they have or assume it's 50%? I don't want to overestimate the expenses too much.


Real Estate Investor · Las Vegas, Nevada


Definitely go with the 50%. You should certainly look at theirs but understand that they will try to make it look like less than it really is. You can use it and compare their figure to the 50% assumption.

8)



Thanks, Rehab. Does that 50% estimate include property management? I haven't been including it in my number-running. I've been subtracting 15% of the gross income to allow for a property management company.


Real Estate Investor · Las Vegas, Nevada


50% does include all typical expenses, I would include property management in the 50%

8)



50% does include all typical expenses, I would include property management in the 50%

SWEET!



Would you include taxes and insurance in with the 50%?


Real Estate Investor · Las Vegas, Nevada


Taxes and insurance would be included. Your mortgage payment would not be.

8)


Real Estate Lender


This might be obvious to most but its worthy of repeating...

Using the 50% average approach is fine when trying to qualify deals that you potentially want to participate in, but it is not meant to replace due diligence.

Regards,

Scott Miller


Real Estate Investor · Austin, Texas


Originally posted by Mark Beekman
When I find a promising multi-unit rental property, I usually assume that 50% of the gross rents is what I'll have after operating expenses to pay my mortgage. The listing sheets have a breakdown of the operating expenses; should I go by what they have or assume it's 50%? I don't want to overestimate the expenses too much.


50% is a perfect screen test and is easy to do in your head. It is generally closer to 45% if you include management, capex set-asides, maintenance, economic vacancy, etc. Most of the broker submissions are coked up fantasy-world assumptions. Take their submission with you to the bathroom in case you run out of toilet paper.

It always baffles me to see someone with CCIM or some other high-brow designation after their name passing off some crapola underwriting example for a complex. These people should be immediately stripped of their designation IMO. I am all for them working on the behalf of their clients and trying to get top dollar for the asset, but outright bsing on the financials is borderline fraudulent in my book.

Small_bullseye_capital_logoBryan Hancock, Bullseye Capital Real Property Opportunity Fund
E-Mail: b.hancock@bullseyecap.com
Telephone: 1-800-577-0401
Website: http://www.bullseyecapfund.com
I help busy people profit from real estate


Real Estate Investor · scranton, Pennsylvania


In my market, one of the few I've found you can get cash out each month, here's my basic formula:
Total rents
-30% for Maintenance and Vacancy
-10% for management (even if I'm doing it, it has value)
-$100/month profit PER UNIT
- all hard costs (except mortgage)
The remaining number is how much I can spend on a mortgage...and therefore gives me the value of the property


Real Estate Investor · Atlanta, Georgia


Originally posted by Bryan Hancock
Most of the broker submissions are coked up fantasy-world assumptions. Take their submission with you to the bathroom in case you run out of toilet paper.


Absolutely! I like to ask to see the owner's previous two years tax returns, which invariably will indicate operating expenses much higher than the pro-forma they give you.

In which case, it's fun to ask, "Are you lying to me on the pro-forma or are you cheating on your tax returns?"

J Scott, Lish Properties, LLC
Telephone: 770-906-6358
Website: http://www.123flip.com
http://www.123flip.com


Real Estate Investor · Los Angeles, California


Always try and get at least three years of operating statements on the property if they are available. Most brokers will have that ready to go since they are hungry to do a deal. Use an artificial cap of 7-8% and a 1.25 DSCR and take the lower of the two on a 65-75% lever.


Mobile Home Investor · Spanaway, Washington


Going in you want to expect the worst and use this to negotiate a lower price. After taking over - increase your income and reduce the expenses and turn it into the proverbial "cash cow".


Real Estate Investor · Las Vegas, Nevada


can you Identify what DSCR is and get in \to the the details as much as you can.

I did look into as best I could and found that
DSCR is a lenders number and determines the credentials of the property


Landlord · Seattle, Washington


Originally posted by Anthony Larson
can you Identify what DSCR is and get in \to the the details as much as you can.

I did look into as best I could and found that
DSCR is a lenders number and determines the credentials of the property

DSCR is the debt service ratio which is equal to

annual net income divided by annual debt service cost

This is important to know the higher that number is the greater the cushion that is built in the property. Most commercial lenders require at least 1.25. Personally 1.25 is tighter than I want to be on a commercial deal.


Real Estate Investor · Ohio


50% is a perfect screen test and is easy to do in your head. It is generally closer to 45% if you include management, capex set-asides, maintenance, economic vacancy, etc.


Not true. It is in the range of 45% to 50% - NOT generally closer to 45%. Furthermore, cities and states are broke all over the USA and are seeking to correct this problem with new taxes and fees. For example, there is a new 3.8% Medicare tax on unearned income - from the new Obamacare (healthcare) law. This is just ONE of a myriad of new taxes and fees that may/will affect rental property owners. In my opinion, the 50% Rule could certainly become the 55% Rule in the near future as the government attempts to cover our massive debt.

In my market, one of the few I've found you can get cash out each month, here's my basic formula:
Total rents
-30% for Maintenance and Vacancy
-10% for management (even if I'm doing it, it has value)
-$100/month profit PER UNIT


If your maintenance and vacancy expenses are 30% - YOU'VE GOT A PROBLEM!

More importantly, you've only accounted for THREE of the expenses (maintenance, vacancy, and management). What about taxes, insurance, legal fees, utilities (if only during vacancies), entity maintenance, evictions, lawsuits, capital expenses, etc, etc, etc???

Real Estate Investor · Austin, Texas


@Mike

Do you intentionally try to pick fights with everyone? It is nice to get a lecture once in a while, but I have been underwriting HUNDREDS of real estate transactions for a very long time buddy....as have my mentors with 35+ years of experience. Just because you buy broken down dilapidated buildings in Sticksville doesn't make your underwriting "THE way to do it." I see you on here castigating people for a divergent viewpoint.

45% plus or minus 2% is THE number verified by THE INSTITUTE OF REAL ESTATE MANAGEMENT AND (!!!!) THE NATIONAL APARTMENT ASSOCIATION. Are you claiming to have better data than those guys buddy?! I can provide links if you need them.

Please leave the political diatribe to the politicians too. Property taxes are used to confiscate wealth to pay for items where there are laws that MANDATE balanced budgets. If you want to throw stones throw them at the Feds who have a wreckless agenda.

Whatever you do please do more listening (watching) and less preaching. There are other smart people in the world too that don't share all of your OPINIONS masquerading as FACTS.

QED

Small_bullseye_capital_logoBryan Hancock, Bullseye Capital Real Property Opportunity Fund
E-Mail: b.hancock@bullseyecap.com
Telephone: 1-800-577-0401
Website: http://www.bullseyecapfund.com
I help busy people profit from real estate


Mobile Home Investor · Spanaway, Washington


Charles:

I have to agree with you on the Debt Service Coverage Ratio being too high on commercial properties. It has come about due to some people who end up walking away from properties after they have mismanaged it or hired a mismanagement company to do it for them. This hurts those of us who really want the investments. It used to be only 20% was required for a down payment on a new purchase. Now banks want to see 35-50% down. This really eats away at your buying power!


Real Estate Investor · Phoenix, Arizona


I was evaluating some apartment complexes (200+ units) last year in Texas and Florida and found that their expenses were around 55% to 60%. I am not sure if they were particularly poorly managed as I did not end up buying them. The ones in Texas may also have had higher expenses due to the higher property taxes there.

In any event, I think assuming 45% (or 50%) without doing your due diligence on the specific property can be dangerous.


Real Estate Investor · Austin, Texas


50% is a good screen test. You obviously need to evaluate each investment to see whether or not the data still makes sense given the actual expenses. If rents are too low and there is a waiting list that could skew the data significantly. If rents are too high and there are vacancies a "50% rule" could also be very inaccurate.

I can understand being conservative and being frustrated that newbies underestimate expenses, but Mike has taken this to a whole new level. Blind belief in some magic ratio takes on a religious fervor! THIS IS NOT A RULE!!! It is a great guideline and a very useful starting point, but it doesn't apply in all cases.

All you need to have is ONE counterexample to disprove a RULE. That is exceedingly easy in this case.

Small_bullseye_capital_logoBryan Hancock, Bullseye Capital Real Property Opportunity Fund
E-Mail: b.hancock@bullseyecap.com
Telephone: 1-800-577-0401
Website: http://www.bullseyecapfund.com
I help busy people profit from real estate




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