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Brendan O'Brien

Landlord Tenant

Getting Tenants in Tough Times

by Brendan O'Brien | November 17, 2009
Thumbnail image for Getting Tenants in Tough Times

The U.S. rental vacancy rate is now the highest it has ever been, at 11.1%.  This is not at all what we expected when the housing market crashed and mortgage companies started going out of business in record numbers.
At that time, the prediction was that landlords would actually benefit, because people who weren’t able to [...]

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Landlord Tenant

Getting “The Rent I Need”

by Brendan O'Brien | November 2, 2009

I was astonished to hear these words coming from a seasoned investor – somebody I respect a lot.  “I need to rent the place for at least $1,200,” he said.  “I won’t rent it until I can get at least that.”
The rental unit in question had been sitting vacant for about six months.  It wasn’t [...]

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Real Estate Investing

Investing in Real Estate Overseas: The Really Big Leap

by Brendan O'Brien | October 17, 2009

English: Illuminatable Earth globe, Columbus, ...A couple of years ago, I was talking to a customer for my property management software who was based in Ulan Bator, Mongolia. “Mongolia!” I said. “Holy cow! Why are you investing out there?”

My customer wasn’t from Mongolia, and he wasn’t particularly concerned with the fascinating and exotic nature of the country, although he appreciated it. (Mongolia once controlled almost all of Asia, and was ruled by colorful figures such as Genghis Kahn.) No, he was in Mongolia to make a profit.

I thought of my Mongolia friend the other day when I saw another real estate pundit talking up the virtues of Cyprus and Spain. Does it really make sense to invest overseas? Does it make more sense now than a few years back?

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Real Estate Market

Maryland and Virginia Real Estate Markets Show Promise

by Brendan O'Brien | October 5, 2009

Welcome to Virginia.  Stay a while.  Stay FOREVERLast week, I started looking into the Washington, DC Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA), which consists of the District of Columbia, Northern Virginia and parts of Maryland. Given the growth in the federal budget over the last few years, I wasn’t surprised to see that the DC MSA was “the most educated and affluent metropolitan area in the United States,” according to Wikipedia.

The District of Columbia itself has made great strides in recent years, including greatly reducing the rate of violent crime. You may recall that it was known as America’s murder capital during the crack-filled 1990s. However, the city’s unemployment rate is actually fairly high, at 11.1%.

Maryland and Virginia, on the other hand, are very prosperous. Both are among the most economically successful states in the country.

Maryland’s Doing Pretty Well…

Maryland, DC’s (mostly) northeastern neighbor, has seen fairly consistent population increases and has a well-below-average unemployment rate of 7.2%. It actually has the highest median household income of any state, although this can be deceiving – the cost of living is also very high there. (The second highest median household income is in New Jersey, which is not currently an economic paradise.)

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Real Estate Market

How is the Washington, DC Real Estate Market?

by Brendan O'Brien | September 26, 2009

Washington DC real estate marketNote to readers: I’ve been criticized for some blunt statements about real estate markets in the past.  You can disagree with me, but I ask that you not doubt my integrity.  I have no real estate interests outside New Hampshire and am not representing anyone.

When I started researching the Washington, DC real estate market, I was impressed by the stability of institutional markets in general and astonished by the growing disparity between federal government and private industry employment.  Put bluntly, the federal government has become the best employer in America.  It is the most stable, with a headcount that grows annually and essentially guaranteed salary increases.  It also offers the best benefits and salaries, except for the very top (the government’s CEO, President Barack Obama, makes $400,000 per year – a nice paycheck, but lower than that for almost any CEO in the Fortune 500).

As you might imagine, having the biggest employer in the country in your back yard is a good thing.  When that employer can always be counted on for a raise, that helps.  Partly as a result of that, the DC real estate market is looking pretty darned good.

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Commentary

Government America vs. “Real” America

by Brendan O'Brien | September 14, 2009

Researching the Washington, DC real estate market, I came upon some facts that shocked me.  I started looking at federal government employment, knowing that the government is the biggest employer in the Washington Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA). 

In fact, the federal government is the biggest employer in the country, with about 1.8 million civilian employees. While times get tougher for those of us who don’t work for the government, life for those in government continues to be pretty peachy.  In fact, things have gotten a lot better over the last ten years.

The growing discrepancy between the government economy and the “real” economy is causing many problems, but one is a growing disconnect between the government mindset and the private industry mindset. 

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Real Estate Market

Big Institutions Mean (Mostly) Stable Rental Markets

by Brendan O'Brien | September 8, 2009

02c General Hospital - Entrance (E)Many landlords are attracted to markets with a large institutional presence because they offer stability. Hospitals, universities and government agencies rarely make major cuts in employment, and they very rarely close. That means your prospective tenants are not likely to leave.

This also used to be the case for military bases. Years ago, career soldiers could build very comfortable nest eggs by buying a home in every base where they were stationed, and keeping it when they were transferred. They would always be able to find other soldiers to rent their homes. That’s changed to some extent because of the number of base closings over the last couple of decades. However, the largest bases will remain active for many years.

Are these markets really stable?

Big institutions almost never make up more than half of the employment in any market, meaning those markets are still subject to other private industry employment losses and gains.

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Learn Real Estate

Save Your Sanity, Learn Your Building

by Brendan O'Brien | August 29, 2009

A while back, I mentioned my project installing a bathroom ceiling fan as an example of something automated systems wouldn’t help with – a dirty, uncomfortable job I had to do myself.

That doesn’t mean the job had to be nearly as difficult as it was.  I could have saved a huge amount of time if I had taken some steps to learn the building beforehand.

A Hugely Annoying Day

Like most bathroom ceiling fans, the Broan 678 actually attaches to ceiling joists.  This means that to install it, you really want to work from above.  It’s pretty darned difficult in a building like mine because there is no easy access to the attic.  I knew of three possibilities:

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Commentary

Building Value vs. the Bubble Mentality

by Brendan O'Brien | August 25, 2009
United States housing bubble
Image via Wikipedia

One of my favorite economics bloggers, Megan McArdle, wrote a post recently on the Washington, DC real estate market, extended to the state of the market overall. It appears to her that the single-family residential market has bottomed out, while multifamily still has a way to go.

Megan also posed the question of when, and if, a boom will begin again. Possibly, in her view, there won’t be a boom. After all, the last nationwide (really, worldwide) boom was driven by a couple of unusual factors: historically low interest rates, and a big, competitive market for subprime loans.

Megan is one of the smartest economic bloggers, and a lot of what she wrote here makes sense. Still, the post bugged me, because it focused on macro-economics, which is not the world in which most of us live.

We know that real estate investing success comes from a million factors, only one of which is the boom-bubble-bust cycle. Outsiders don’t see a lot of difference between real estate investing and stock market investing, but there is a huge difference. In stock market investing, there are really only three factors:

  1. You decide which stock or mutual fund to buy
  2. You decided when to buy it (what price)
  3. You decided when to sell it (what price).

All those apply, in a sense, to real estate investing. You have to decide what and where to buy, pick one or more properties at what seems to be an appropriate price, and figure out when to offer them for sale, at what price. But there are also these factors:

Price Factors Exclusive to Real Estate

  1. What can you do to cut ongoing costs?
  2. How are you going to treat the tenants?
  3. How can you renovate the property to make it worth more?
  4. What can you add to the property to increase the income it generates?

You can probably think of a few more. The point is that in between the buying and the selling, most stock market investing is essentially passive. Once you own it, you’re waiting for the right time to sell it. You really have no say over how the company is run.

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Commentary

Can you Scratch your Way to Success?

by Brendan O'Brien | August 15, 2009

homeless shelterTo start this game of let’s-pretend, take all the money out of your wallet except for $25. If you have less than $25, put in the additional cash to get to $25. If you don’t have the additional cash anywhere, skip to the end of this post – you don’t need to play this game.

$25 is actually a pretty useful amount of money. You could fill the gas tank of a small car, buy a couple of pizzas, or take your honey to the movies, complete with popcorn. $25 feels pretty comfortable in the old wallet.

However, you can’t afford to have fun with your $25. You have to live on it. It’s all the money you have in the world until you can make some more. What’s more, nobody’s going to loan you any money. You don’t have a credit card or any friends or family members you could squeeze for a few extra bucks.

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Landlord Tenant

Landlords: More Details on Transferring Utility Costs

by Brendan O'Brien | August 11, 2009

FOLLOWING CARBON FOOTPRINTS TO YOUR BANK--CAP ...Last year I had a gas bill for $1400. That was almost one-third of my entire rent for that property for the month. This year, however, I could get bills that are even higher. Meteorologists are predicting the coldest and snowiest winter for the Northeast in years.

In this property, I currently pay for heat (natural gas) and water/sewer. The water/sewer bills aren’t actually that high around here, although they are the lion’s share of utility costs for many property owners in Western states. Regardless of location, however, utility costs are killing landlords. They are rising much faster than inflation. Rents, on the other hand, are rising much more slowly than inflation, if at all.

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Real Estate

A Simple Test for Entrepreneurial Success

by Brendan O'Brien | August 1, 2009

Small Businesses 3I took a test once where I had to score 100% to pass.  This was to become a licensed EMT, and there was a good reason for the 100% standard.  Since I was being measured on my knowledge of lifesaving emergency medical care, they wanted to be sure I knew every subject on the syllabus perfectly.

There’s also a 100% test for entrepreneurship, and it has three subjects.  If you pass, you have a chance of success.  If you don’t, you don’t.  The subjects aren’t hard, but you need to have perfect scores.  The scores have to be perfect because the real test is much harder than this one.

Now, don’t panic!  You can still be successful without passing all three subjects.  However, you should never try to become your own boss in a for-a for-profit enterprise.  Find another course in life.

The Entrepreneurship Test

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Real Estate Investing

Transferring Utility Costs – Opportunities and Challenges

by Brendan O'Brien | July 25, 2009

Electric meterRising utility costs are one of the many challenges we multifamily landlords have been facing in this “perfect storm” economic climate.  Landlords who traditionally paid for utilities are searching for ways to transfer those costs to tenants.

If your utility costs are worse in the winter, as they are here in New Hampshire, now is the time to look into a submetering or RUBS (ratio utility billing services) system.  Of course, any benefits from transferring utility costs will begin as soon as you implement the system.

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Commercial Real Estate

Commercial Tenants in the Driver’s Seat

by Brendan O'Brien | July 18, 2009

Nine years ago, my employer (a software company in Burlington, Mass.) was nearing the end of the 10-year lease term for its headquarters building.  This was just about the time that the software industry was beginning to decline, for two reasons: all of the Y2K bugs had been resolved, and investor money was no longer [...]

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Commentary

Michigan: On a Collision Course with Reality

by Brendan O'Brien | July 11, 2009

Recently the Detroit News ran a series on Michigan’s extraordinary net out-migration problem.
Net migration is the difference between the number of people moving into a place from other equivalent places, and the number of people moving out.  In this case, it refers to movement from state to state within the US.
109,000 more people left Michigan [...]

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