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Commentary

Commentary

First Time Home Owner Tax Credit Likely To Stay; But Current Homeowners Still Face Uncertain Future

by Charles Feldman | October 7, 2009

As the, so far, jobless recovery continues, the White House is reportedly hunkered down trying to figure out what to do next. Obama administration officials are taking note of programs that have worked and those that have not done as well.

Among the programs that apparently fall into the “success” column is the $8,000 tax credit for first time home buyers.

The tax credit for first timers was part of the $787 billion dollar stimulus program and is being credited with helping the real estate industry stage a modest comeback—at least among first time home buyers.

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Commentary

Attention Real Estate Investors: “Youth Magnet Cities” Are Pulling You In!!!

by Charles Feldman | October 1, 2009

Attention real estate investors: Want to know where the markets of tomorrow are? (And, who wouldn’t considering how terrible the markets of today are for the most part!)

Okay then….listen up: Follow the 20 something crowd!

Seems urban planners consider some cities to be “youth-magnet cities”-and these tend to change from one generation to the next.

The Wall Street Journal put together a panel of experts to come up with a list of the next youth-magnet towns and here is what they came up with:

Believe it or not, Washington, DC ranked number one!!!

If you guessed this might have something to do with Mr. Obama, you’d be right. Apparently, the experts feels that many 20 somethings will flock to D.C. because they think Obama is soooooooooooooooooo awesome, chill, cool, whatever—and also figure that there may actually be some jobs in government since there don’t seem to be many in the private sector.

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Commentary

Why You Need To Stop Acting Rich…

by Jason Hanson | September 30, 2009

Do you act rich? Do you flaunt your wealth, or pretend to be rich by driving a car you can’t afford?

Well, you need to stop. Thomas Stanley who’s the author of “The Millionaire Mind” (which was fantastic) has a new book out called “Stop Acting Rich and Start Living Like a Millionaire.” Now, I have not read this new book yet, but I do have some advice which could save you thousands of dollars in the long run.

Why Not To Buy A BMW

I started investing in real estate in college and was able to make some decent money in my early 20’s. Then again, any money in your early 20’s is decent. And I ended up wasting a lot of it by doing immature things. For example, I had a BMW. I only had it for a short time because I realized it wasn’t me and I felt stupid driving the car around. I’ve also wasted a good amount of money on going to Atlantic City and Las Vegas.

Yes, I certainly believe in having fun, but you need to be smart and save your money–at least 10 percent of it. However, I’m not writing to you to try to get you to save your money. That’s common sense. The reason I want you to stop acting rich is to protect your assets and keep yourself from being a target of fraudsters.

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Commentary

Drop that Extra Burden On Your Path to Success

by Justin Pierce | September 27, 2009

The Burden
There is a widely accepted but rarely named enemy that pervades our culture and handicaps our people. I hereby resolve to name it and identify it in defense of those with the capabilities which this enemy stifles. I want to give cover to all of you who have thought it but were afraid to speak it; to those who have muttered it but where silenced by the shrill cries of indignation. I will scream it in proud defiance atop the rock of natural law. Simple common sense and cause and effect will be my shield and my sword though I know they have proven useless against the squishy formless subversive weapons of the warriors of the enemy. I will be called greedy, heartless, and hateful by the merciless minions of the enemy but I will bare it as a patriot to the cause of productivity.

This enemy is guilt. Its weapon of choice: charity. Its result is the abdication of our free will to think, to speak, and to act in our own best interest. Guilt is the weapon that turns our strength against us. The more successful you are the more reward that natural law endows upon you and thus the more guilt you are expected to feel. In the end the most successful among us are left questioning their own rewards and sabotaging their own business by questioning whether they deserve to make so much money.

In turn the enemy is shameless. He comes with indignant scowl on his face with hand extended demanding his share of any profit. He grins and turns his back when a deal loses money as if saying, “That’s what you get.” Never would the enemy consider giving back a portion of what he took from the last deal. His interest seems to lie in taking from those who are successful and keeping down those who are in need.

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Commentary

The New Real Estate Niche

by Tom Koziol | September 25, 2009
Real Estate
Image by Thomas Hawk via Flickr

After you read this post you will realize the “new” is really the “old” but, in the end, who cares. At least according to me.

We’ve all seen headlines that read: Existing home sales dip in August or words to that effect. Truth is, those headlines aren’t news anymore. They used to be but used to be has become the norm or maybe I should say the numb.

To add more numb to this post, we all have read articles telling us real estate practitioners and investors are expressing frustration with what they consider slow action from banks. That is, banks aren’t releasing inventory fast to satisfy the demand.

My question boils down to what do they really expect from institutions that have moved, on a historical basis, extremely slow. It is merely business as usual.

On the other hand, given a red-hot market has poked its head out of the ground we should expect business not to be usual. We should demand those institutions with a home inventory to get off their duffs and start moving the product. A home is no different than any other retail product, other than the sales price. When demand flares up, release the inventory and satisfy the demand.

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Commentary

The Dramatic Increase In Mortgage Fraud: SubPrime Crisis Brings Out The Worst In People; Would The Death Penalty Stop It?

by Charles Feldman | September 23, 2009

WASHINGTON - SEPTEMBER 16:  Federal Bureau of ...If you harbored any notion that the current economic crisis would somehow bring out the best in people–as we all come together like one of those old, warm and fuzzy “I’d like to buy the world a Coke” commercials, I’m afraid I have some very bad news for you. Well, actually, the FBI has the bad news, but I will pass it along.

A few days ago, FBI director Robert Mueller told the Senate Judiciary Committee that mortgage fraud cases that are being investigated by his agency are up roughly 63% just from a year ago! That’s sixty-three percent!!!!!

“The scheme have evolved with the changing economy, targeting vulnerable individuals, victimizing them even as they are about to lose their homes, ” said Mueller, as quoted in a New York Daily News article.

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Commentary

Will Appraisers Stunt the Housing Recovery?

by Justin Pierce | September 20, 2009

appraiser HVCCAfter the financial meltdown last year lawmakers and regulators were determined to discover who was responsible for the debacle. Yes, the very people who drafted the laws governing mortgages and yes were also responsible for oversight of them went out to determine who was responsible for the melt down. The first culprit, of course, was the lenders. I think we all know how that played out. The next group on the chopping block was the appraisers. If they wouldn’t have appraised the homes then the lenders would not have lent on them, so goes the finger pointing. From that came sordid tales of realtors and mortgage professionals pressuring and even bribing appraisers to up the value of a property.

Home Valuation Code of Conduct – HVCC

After the scapegoats were identified the legislation followed. One prime piece of legislation aimed at appraisers was the Home Valuation Code of Conduct (PDF). The intent of the HVCC was to achieve more appraiser independence to reduce the amount of pressure placed on appraisers by lenders and Realtors. Well, if their had once been undue pressure on appraisers to inflate values it now pails in comparison to looming threat hanging over appraisers and it’s compelling them to keep prices down.

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Commentary

The Perfect Storm Continues for Real Estate and the Economy

by Peter Giardini | September 15, 2009

I am sure you recall the movie some time back entitled The Perfect Storm?  It was a great movie, about the interaction of several storms meeting up to create one giant storm.  For an old Navy guy and licensed Coast Guard captain… it scared the hell out of me!

perfect storm housing, real estate, economy

Throughout the past several years we have been experiencing this same situation – first with the housing market, and then starting at this time last year, with our financial markets: The perfect storm of over priced homes, rampant speculation, poor lending practices, and I am sure more then a little fraud.  Every one of the previously mentioned occurrences contributed to a complete crash and the current recession we are still in.

In a previous article written for BiggerPockets, I shared a graph that showed how Option ARMs are the next part of the storm to materialize.  You can revisit that chart by heading over to this link

In spite of the recent good news regarding sales (increasing in most areas) and prices (declining at a slower rate, again in most areas) we are about to experience the second wave… kind of like we are in the eye of the storm… and the backside is barreling down on us.

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Commentary

Government America vs. “Real” America

by Brendan O'Brien | September 14, 2009

Researching the Washington, DC real estate market, I came upon some facts that shocked me.  I started looking at federal government employment, knowing that the government is the biggest employer in the Washington Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA). 

In fact, the federal government is the biggest employer in the country, with about 1.8 million civilian employees. While times get tougher for those of us who don’t work for the government, life for those in government continues to be pretty peachy.  In fact, things have gotten a lot better over the last ten years.

The growing discrepancy between the government economy and the “real” economy is causing many problems, but one is a growing disconnect between the government mindset and the private industry mindset. 

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Commentary

Las Vegas: Record Sales & Dwindling Supply – So Why Are Prices Still Falling?

by Richard Warren | September 14, 2009

Welcome_to_vegasThe economic law of supply and demand says that when demand increases and supply falls, prices are sure to rise. Apparently that law has an asterisk that says “except for Las Vegas.”

For months now I’ve been hearing about how brisk sales have been, especially in the REO, or foreclosure, market. Looking at the numbers you will see that the available supply has been steadily trending down and sales have been setting all-time records. A bank puts an REO on the market and within days there are multiple offers on the property. So why are prices still falling?

On The Street

One realtor that I know specializes in these REO properties. What he sees are a lot of cash buyers from other areas stepping in. That would seem to mean that investors are seeing the value while local buyers are still gun-shy. Are they missing a golden opportunity?

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Commentary

Our World Has Rolled Over

by Tom Koziol | September 11, 2009

I realize I am not the only guy on this planet who reads the “news” as presented both in the newspapers and on the Internet. Even if I didn’t read the news, I’d get a good dose of what people are calling reality. That dose comes from the mix of clients our insurance agency serves. Lucky me…

Here are two sentences taken from two separate news stories:

“The coffers of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. have been so depleted by the epidemic of collapsing financial institutions that analysts warn it could sink into the red by the end of this year.” – AP

“Pending U.S. home sales rose more than expected in July to the highest level in more than two years as first-time buyers rushed to take advantage of a tax credit that expires this fall.” – AP

Is it me or are these two sentences sending conflicting messages. If it is me, I apologize upfront. However, I don’t think it is me.

Failure Ahead

According to published reports, so far this year, 81 banks have failed. Last year only 25 went down the toilet while in 2007, if you’re counting, only three went south. These same sources project hundreds of more banks are expected to fall. The primary reason given is due to souring loans for commercial real estate.

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Commentary

A “New World Order” May NOT Be Good For Real Estate Industry

by Charles Feldman | September 9, 2009

real estate bailout mortgageAn article out of the McClatchy Newspapers group caught my eye today…in particular some numbers that may not bode well for a robust real estate industry recovery any time soon.

Bailout and Regulation Nation

The article, about how a new financial world order has emerged out of the wreckage of the sub-prime mortgage fueled disaster that exploded one year ago this week, explains why it may take many years to climb back even half way up that economic ladder most of us fell down from last September.

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Commentary

Home Prices “Turn Corner;” While Light At End Of Real Estate Tunnel Blinds Us!

by Charles Feldman | September 4, 2009

What’s that ahead? Is it….a corner? Is it…..THE corner? Are we about to turn it?
God, I hate cliches. But such is the case with a freshly minted Reuters dispatch headlined : “U.S. home prices turning the corner, up in 2010.”

I’m not sure if this differs from earlier reports that we were seeing the light at the end of the tunnel?

Actually, I sort of wonder whether the corner we are about to turn is right before we enter the tunnel, at whose end there is said to now be a light, or directly after we leave the tunnel, in which case ,wouldn’t that light at the end of it make it damn hard to see the freaking corner we are supposed to be turning?

Ok…this might be an academic question…but someone needed to raise it and it might as well be me.

Now, back to that corner we are turning.

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Commentary

My Entrepreneur’s Manifesto

by Justin Pierce | August 30, 2009

I am capable of limitless success. Success is within me. I will make no excuses nor accept them of myself. I am not at the mercy of other people. I am not at the will of random events. My only true impediment is that which exists at the end of my own resolve.

My resolve is determined by my enthusiasm and faith in a worthy pursuit. I will tap the unlimited well of passion and enthusiasm within myself through constant self education, and action which will lead to progressively larger victories thereby stoking my inner fire and fueling my progress. My self education will lead me first to my passion, then to my mission, and finally to a plan for success. My plan for success will illuminate my vision and measure my progress. I will be assured in my cause but I will always keep my eyes and mind open for new realities and different possibilities.

I know that the world is full of uninspired people and critics. I know there will be many people who will actively seek my failure and many more who will wish for it. I will strike down those miserable beings who seek to obstruct me out of pure jealousy and I will be indifferent to those less treacherous but like minded people who placidly watch me pass. I will be humble for I know I will take many lumps. I will not be discouraged by the lack of justice but I will be just. That is what will make me stand apart from the mob to be noticed by other proactive and honorable people.

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Commentary

How to Protect Yourself for the End of the World

by Jason Hanson | August 26, 2009

www.cachecoin.org/krugerrand.From many of the headlines and articles I’ve been reading lately, you really would think the end of the world is near. Now, I’m not that paranoid but there are certain things you need to do to protect yourself, specifically from the coming wave of inflation, thanks to the governments spending spree of trillions of dollars. If you don’t take the steps I’m about to share with you… you might find yourself with a lot less money.

First of course, is to continue to invest in real estate. Buy as many houses as you can while we still have these rock bottom prices. Most likely we won’t see these large of discounts for another 20 to 30 years. And when inflation finally kicks in, real estate is one of the best assets to own. There will be a run-up in prices in the next few years and the more houses you own, obviously the more money you will make.

Gold?

Second, buy some gold. Yes, I’m serious about this. Gold is another great hedge against inflation. As the value of the dollar erodes thanks to Uncle Sam’s spending, gold prices will have a huge increase. So where do you buy gold and what type? Personally, I like the South African Krugerrand. It’s one of the world’s most well-known gold coins, and each coin weighs one ounce of gold. So as I write this, gold is worth $954.10 per ounce. Which means each Krugerrand is worth $954.10. The best site I’ve found is kitco.com to buy these coins (no I do not have any affiliation with this site; it’s just based on a lot of research I have done).

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