{"id":160834,"date":"2023-10-18T15:17:50","date_gmt":"2023-10-18T21:17:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/?p=160834"},"modified":"2023-10-18T15:17:53","modified_gmt":"2023-10-18T21:17:53","slug":"preferred-equity-can-improve-your-returns-in-this-environment","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/preferred-equity-can-improve-your-returns-in-this-environment","title":{"rendered":"Preferred Equity is One of the Best Ways To Earn Double-Digit Returns in This Economic Climate"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Do you know what Warren Buffett did when the financial world was gripped with fear and uncertainty? And what can you and I learn from it?&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">I want to be clear: I\u2019m not saying we\u2019re in a financial free fall. This is not 2008. But recent real estate and financial market news points to a downturn we haven\u2019t seen since that era. A significant amount of carnage is already unfolding, and many commercial real estate deals&nbsp;<\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/analyzing-the-multifamily-meltdown\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">are heading south<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">.&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">This is not a rosy moment in real estate paradise. We\u2019ve all seen some of the worst deals done in the best of times. Now, we\u2019re watching for some of the best deals to surface in some of the worst of times.&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">So, what types of deals are available right now? Honestly, they\u2019re not that great\u2014unless you know where to look.&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">The types of deals formerly penciling internal rates of return (<\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/internal-rate-return-irr\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">IRRs<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">) in the mid-to-high teens are now coming in at about 11% to 13% or less.<\/span><em><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">&nbsp;<\/span><\/em><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">That\u2019s if you can find them.&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">And economic uncertainties are causing some to sit this round out. While that\u2019s an option, we hate to see investors sitting on cash or Treasuries and breaking even or losing money to ravaging inflation.&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">If Buffett\u2019s actions in this downturn are a repeat of what happened last time, we expect to see him making similar moves to what he did in 2008.&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">So what did Buffett do then, anyway?&nbsp;<\/span><em><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">He hedged his portfolio by changing his position in the&nbsp;<\/span><\/em><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/multifamily-capital-stack\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><em><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">capital stack<\/span><\/em><\/a><em><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">.&nbsp;<\/span><\/em><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Berkshire Hathaway acquired $5 billion of Goldman Sachs stocks when most wouldn\u2019t touch them with a 39-and-a-half-foot pole.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">But Buffett didn\u2019t take the risk other investors took. Instead, he dramatically lowered his risk by buying preferred equity shares on Sept. 23, 2008.&nbsp; &nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">And we believe you should do the same thing right now\u2014<\/span><em><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">if you can get access to it.&nbsp;<\/span><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Why We Love Preferred Equity&nbsp;<\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Preferred equity is&nbsp;<\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.multihousingnews.com\/preferred-equity-is-pouring-into-multifamily\/?utm_source=newsletter.credaily.com&amp;utm_medium=newsletter&amp;utm_campaign=is-preferred-equity-multifamily-s-savior\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">a hot topic right now<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">. My investment firm,&nbsp;<\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"http:\/\/www.wellingscapital.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Wellings Capital<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">, is pursuing preferred equity deals to add to our fund. We believe the current financial situation creates a unique window of opportunity.&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">So, what do we like about preferred equity? While there is no lien, preferred equity may provide more upside and tax benefits than senior or mezzanine debt. Preferred equity sits between debt (first lien position) and common equity (which has no lien but most of the upside profit\u2014or potential loss). It has some of the advantages of both equity and debt.<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Like debt, preferred ongoing equity payments are established in advance, and all, or a portion of, these are paid before common equity distributions. At the time of sale or refinance, preferred equity holders are typically caught up (if behind) before common equity holders receive distributions.&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Here is a look at where preferred equity falls in the capital stack:\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"620\" height=\"601\" src=\"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/image1-1.jpeg\" alt=\"graph of the capital stack \" class=\"wp-image-160838\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/image1-1.jpeg 620w, https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/image1-1-300x291.jpeg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 620px) 100vw, 620px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Buffett invested in preferred equity when times were rocky. Likewise, we believe this is a uniquely strategic time to hedge some of our investments by adding preferred equity to our portfolio.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">We are pursuing preferred equity investment opportunities that provide 8% to 10% cash flow and total returns of 15% to 19%. Not only are these returns higher than most deals are penciling now, as mentioned, but the risk is also theoretically lower, and the payments should be far more reliable. However, clearly, there are no guarantees.&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">So What\u2019s the Catch? What Does This Cost Investors?&nbsp;<\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">The downside for investors is limited upside. The maximum total return is typically predetermined in exchange for higher certainty of payments and returns. And preferred equity is prioritized ahead of common equity.&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Preferred equity, like every other investment, carries a risk-reward tradeoff. No one knows the outcome of any investment.&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">In an&nbsp;<\/span><em><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">underperforming deal<\/span><\/em><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">, common equity and general partners take the hit. (Hopefully, it is limited to them, but again, there are no guarantees.)&nbsp;<\/span><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">In a&nbsp;<\/span><em><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">better-than-projected dea<\/span><\/em><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">l, common shareholders, who bear the highest risk, are entitled to the highest return.&nbsp;<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Preferred equity deals with small check sizes (say, $1 million to $5 million) offer investors higher total returns than many common equity deals right now, with lower expected risk.&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">You may be wary of these two-tiered investment structures. We felt the same way. But when the economy shifted, we looked harder at what Buffett did in the crisis of 2008. (He went on to succeed wildly, by the way.)&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">We\u2019re not necessarily in a crisis&nbsp;<\/span><em><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">yet<\/span><\/em><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">, but a downturn for sure.&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">You are probably already familiar with preferred return hurdles as part of your syndication or fund investments. To be clear,&nbsp;<\/span><em><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">this is not that<\/span><\/em><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">. The preferred equity we\u2019re discussing here gives investors a higher priority in the capital stack and may provide strong projected cash flow right out of the gate.&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Preferred Equity and the Current Economy<\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Rarely a day goes by when we don\u2019t hear stories of big multifamily deals in trouble. Some have already foreclosed, and others are heading toward foreclosure. Some are pausing distributions or calling new capital. Many are looking for a quick exit\u2014some at a loss to equity investors.&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">This environment strengthens our conviction about changing our place in the capital stack to invest in handpicked preferred equity opportunities.&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">The fact is that common and preferred equity investors can\u2019t know the outcome of any investment with certainty. Any deal could be an underperformer or outperformer. All investors are cheering the sponsor on, but preferred equity investors are hedging their bets\u2014<\/span><em><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">and<\/span><\/em><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">&nbsp;getting potential upside as well. This makes sense to us in an uncertain economy.<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">A Preferred Equity Case Study<\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Earlier this year, we reviewed an opportunity for a preferred equity investment into a flagship commercial-grade single-family rental portfolio. This puts the investor behind senior debt in the capital stack and ahead of the common and GP equity.&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Investors expect to receive 10% \u201ccurrent pay\u201d cash flow out of the gate. This should accrue on a compounded basis of 5% annually, which is structured to be paid out upon a recapitalization or sale. An \u201cequity kicker\u201d was also negotiated in the amount of 2.5% (of the preferred equity investment).&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Opportunities like these can benefit investors by providing current cash flow and the potential for appreciation. We calculate the total annual return on this investment to be ~16%, which is meaningful in light of the safer position in the capital stack and the economic environment. However, this is not guaranteed.&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">We are evaluating several other similarly structured preferred equity opportunities right now.&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">How Can You Get Involved?&nbsp;<\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Some of you could make these preferred equity investments on your own. But it\u2019s hard to see how most investors could do that.&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">First, you would need to find an operator with a deal. You\u2019d need to invest about $1 million or much more. In addition, you\u2019ll want to undertake a rigorous&nbsp;<\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/rookie-190\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">due diligence<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">&nbsp;process on both the operator and the deal. Then, you would need to draft or edit a lengthy legal agreement.&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">And you may have a hard time finding the best projects. We\u2019ve all seen preferred equity opportunities from well-known multifamily sponsors as of late. These investments typically cap you at 8% to 10% total return, with no chance of upside. Nothing is wrong with them, but you might do better if you can access the deals I\u2019m discussing here.&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">We are seeing an ongoing stream of preferred equity deals with returns in the mid-to-high teens. You may be able to get additional upside through points, MOIC floors, equity kickers, promote participation, and conversion rights.&nbsp;<\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wellingscapital.com\/blog\/preferred-equity-terms\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">You can check out an expanded list of preferred equity terminology here<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">.&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">We think this is an opportune time for investors to hedge their portfolios with preferred equity. Dedicating a portion of your portfolio to this different spot in the capital stack should provide more safety amidst uncertainty and pay dividends for years.&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">The current economic situation and real estate market will not routinely provide the 40% returns many investors experienced over the past decade. We believe it\u2019s prudent to hedge our portfolio with preferred equity to minimize risk while maintaining solid projected returns. We believe the trade of upside for protection doesn\u2019t have to sacrifice total returns, especially in the $1 million to $5 million range, where there can be less competition.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n    \n  <div id=\"visibility-group-block_8c82bd96c2a5fdeff9b27b65971851ec\" class=\"visibility-group  hidden\">\n        \n\n<div id=\"hero-block_26fde6dde7a672bfa17f08491733f326\" class=\"first:mt-0 hero-block py-4  alignwide   has-background has-theme-gold-light-background-color has-text-color has-theme-gold-color\">\n    <div\n        class=\" flex flex-wrap lg:flex-nowrap max-w-screen-xl mx-auto px-4 relative lg:items-center \">\n\n        <div class=\"relative z-30 w-full \">\n            <main class=\"py-4\">\n                \n\n<p class=\"has-theme-gold-color has-text-color has-large-font-size\" style=\"font-style:normal;font-weight:800\">Get the Best Loan Today<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"my-3 md:my-5 lg:my-8 has-slate-900-color has-text-color\" style=\"font-size:16px\">Find trusted, <em><strong>investor-friendly<\/strong><\/em> lenders who specialize in your strategy. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div id=button-custom-event-block_7748f699f63c3f529cda8a86e0f4c5ba class='button-custom-event'>\n      <a href=\"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/business\/finder\/lenders\" x-on:click=\"window.analytics.track(&#039;Blog Block | B2C Marketplace Lender Finder&#039;, {\n      referrer: &#039;https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/preferred-equity-can-improve-your-returns-in-this-environment&#039;,\n    });\" class=\" btn-shape inline-block no-underline has-background has-theme-gold-background-color has-text-color has-white-color\" target=\"_blank\">Find a Lender<\/a>\n  <\/div>\n\n            <\/main>\n        <\/div>\n\n                <div class=\" first:mt-0 relative h-full lg:flex lg:items-center\">\n            <img decoding=\"async\" class=\"object-cover w-full relative z-20 my-0  rounded-md hidden lg:block\" src=\"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/Marketplace-Blog-Blocks-Lender-v3.png\" alt=\"investor friendly lender, investor friendly real estate loans\" title=\"\">\n        <\/div>\n            <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n  <\/div>\n  \n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-group\"><div class=\"wp-block-group__inner-container is-layout-constrained wp-block-group-is-layout-constrained\">\n    \n  <div id=\"visibility-group-block_64dd31c79f00f\" class=\"visibility-group  \">\n        \n\n<div style=\"height:10px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div id=\"hero-block_64dd2875dba9d\" class=\"first:mt-0 hero-block py-4    has-background has-slate-100-background-color has-text-color has-theme-slate-color\">\n    <div\n        class=\" flex flex-wrap lg:flex-nowrap max-w-screen-xl mx-auto px-4 relative lg:items-center \">\n\n        <div class=\"relative z-30 w-full \">\n            <main class=\"py-4\">\n                \n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading my-0 tracking-tight font-extrabold has-theme-slate-dark-color has-text-color has-large-font-size\">Join the community<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"my-3 md:my-5 lg:my-8 has-theme-slate-color has-text-color\" style=\"font-size:16px;font-style:normal;font-weight:400\">Ready to succeed in real estate investing? Create a free BiggerPockets account to learn about investment strategies; ask questions and get answers from our community of +2 million members; connect with investor-friendly agents; and so much more. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<div id=button-custom-event-block_64dd2888dba9e class='button-custom-event'>\n      <a href=\"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/signup\" x-on:click=\"window.analytics.track(&#039;Blog Block | Acquisition | Free Membership Signup&#039;, {\n      referrer: &#039;https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/preferred-equity-can-improve-your-returns-in-this-environment&#039;,\n    });\" class=\" btn-shape inline-block no-underline has-background has-theme-blue-background-color has-text-color has-white-color\" target=\"_blank\">Sign Up<\/a>\n  <\/div>\n\n            <\/main>\n        <\/div>\n\n            <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<div style=\"height:10px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n  <\/div>\n  <\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"><em>*Mr. Moore is the co-founder and partner of The Wellings Real Estate Income Fund, which is available to accredited investors. Investors should consider the investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses before investing. For a Private Placement Memorandum (\u201cPPM\u201d) with this and other information about the Wellings Real Estate Income Fund, please call 800-844-2188 or email\u00a0<\/em><\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"mailto:invest@wellingscapital.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><em><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">invest@wellingscapital.com<\/span><\/em><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"><em>. Read the PPM carefully before investing. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. The information contained in this communication is for information purposes, does not constitute a recommendation, and should not be regarded as an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be in violation of any local laws. All investing involves the risk of loss, including a loss of principal. We do not provide tax, accounting, or legal advice, and all investors are advised to consult with their tax, accounting, or legal advisers before investing.<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Warren Buffett made the switch to this strategy in 2008 when the economy was falling apart. If you can get access to the same assets now, you&#8217;re in for a great return.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":214608,"featured_media":160837,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4433,5527],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-160834","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-opinion","category-commercial-real-estate-investing"],"acf":[],"comment_count":0,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/160834","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/214608"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=160834"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/160834\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/160837"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=160834"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=160834"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=160834"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}