{"id":186470,"date":"2026-01-12T11:13:04","date_gmt":"2026-01-12T18:13:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/?p=186470"},"modified":"2026-01-12T11:13:07","modified_gmt":"2026-01-12T18:13:07","slug":"bp-pulse-2026-state-home-price-growth-map","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/bp-pulse-2026-state-home-price-growth-map","title":{"rendered":"Our Home Price Growth Map is Out\u2014And the Results Are Not What You Would Expect"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">BiggerPockets members have spoken. Their verdict: cautious optimism.<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">In the <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">brand new<\/span> <a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/get.biggerpockets.com\/pulse\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">BiggerPockets Pulse<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> survey, BP members <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">were asked<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> to <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">fill out<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> their expectations for 2026.<\/span> <span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Despite a year of sluggish frustration <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">in<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> many markets, those surveyed feel generally good about doing deals in 2026, with hopes for lower interest rates and affordability <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">in stabilizing<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> markets, signaling a gentle <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">changing of<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> the winds in favor of investors looking to build their portfolios.<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">The Only Way Is Up<\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Make no mistake, this is not the frenzied euphoria of 2020-2022, but more of a \u201cthe only way is up\u201d sentiment following recent rate drops and news of increased inventory in the light of the affordability crisis.<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">BiggerPockets members\u2019 sentiments align with national forecasts of an overall steadier market.<\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.realtor.com\/research\/2026-national-housing-forecast\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> Realtor.com<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> expects interest rates to average around 6.3% in 2026, down slightly from 2025<\/span><strong><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">,<\/span><\/strong><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> while home price growth <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">is expected<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> to be modest. Practically speaking, that could <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">result in increased<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> buying opportunities for judicious buyers, but not a dramatic correction.&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1784\" src=\"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/BP_Pulse-Survey_Blog-Images_Page_03-scaled.jpg\" alt=\"mortgage rate expectations\" class=\"wp-image-186005\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/BP_Pulse-Survey_Blog-Images_Page_03-scaled.jpg 2560w, https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/BP_Pulse-Survey_Blog-Images_Page_03-300x209.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/BP_Pulse-Survey_Blog-Images_Page_03-1024x713.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/BP_Pulse-Survey_Blog-Images_Page_03-768x535.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/BP_Pulse-Survey_Blog-Images_Page_03-1536x1070.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/BP_Pulse-Survey_Blog-Images_Page_03-2048x1427.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2560px) 100vw, 2560px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">BiggerPockets members have read the market correctly, which is why most plan to build their portfolios rather than sit on the sidelines.<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">The Home Price Growth Map:<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> What\u2019s Up With Atlanta and Indianapolis?<\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">The BiggerPockets home price growth map for 2026 shows a noticeable divergence between markets expected to grow and those where momentum has stalled or reversed. Georgia and Indianapolis, real estate stars in past years, have fallen into the latter category, dropping over 5%. It has had a marked effect on how both residents and buyers feel about their local markets.<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"2560\" height=\"1784\" src=\"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/BP_Pulse-Survey_Blog-Images_Page_06-scaled.jpg\" alt=\"home price expectations by state\" class=\"wp-image-186002\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/BP_Pulse-Survey_Blog-Images_Page_06-scaled.jpg 2560w, https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/BP_Pulse-Survey_Blog-Images_Page_06-300x209.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/BP_Pulse-Survey_Blog-Images_Page_06-1024x713.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/BP_Pulse-Survey_Blog-Images_Page_06-768x535.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/BP_Pulse-Survey_Blog-Images_Page_06-1536x1070.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/BP_Pulse-Survey_Blog-Images_Page_06-2048x1427.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2560px) 100vw, 2560px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">\u201cHotlanta\u201d is no longer <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">hot<\/span><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Atlanta was once an investment rock star with an exuberant post-pandemic market. The forecast<\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.atlantanewsfirst.com\/2025\/11\/19\/atlanta-no-3-nation-falling-home-prices-report-says\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> drop in sales<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> is due to softening rents, higher insurance and <\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/property-tax-faq\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">property tax<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> costs, and a smaller pool of buyers able to afford peak-era prices. Investors in the Atlanta area could do well to wait for the market to bottom out before making a move, and <\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/rental-property-cash-flow-analysis\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">cash flow<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> at current prices could be <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">hard<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> to come by.<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Indianapolis: A confounding picture<\/span><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">BiggerPockets data estimates over a 5% drop in house prices in Indiana. However, <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">certain<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> markets will experience greater declines than others.<\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.housingwire.com\/articles\/indianapolis-housing-market-trends-2025\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> HousingWire<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> reported at the end of 2025 that Indianapolis saw sellers cut prices on 56% of homes amid rising inventory and low absorption rates.<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Despite the seemingly alarming numbers for both Atlanta and Indianapolis, the metros are a long way from crash territory. Instead, they are transitioning away from the frenzied price increases of 2020 to 2022 toward<\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbsnews.com\/news\/housing-market-forecast-2026-price-declines-real-estate-mortgage\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> a more mundane market<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> with slower <\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/what-is-appreciation-in-real-estate\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">appreciation<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">.&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">In both cases, waiting for the market cycle to run its course before jumping in seems prudent for investors.<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Growth Markets: Slow, Steady, and Still Affordable<\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">If you\u2019re trying to formulate an investment strategy, the Northeast, Midwest, and pockets of the interior South could prove a happy hunting ground, according to the BiggerPockets home price?growth map. States expected to appreciate by more than 5% are:<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Arkansas<\/span><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Connecticut<\/span><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Kansas<\/span><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Massachusetts<\/span><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Minnesota<\/span><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Mississippi<\/span><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Missouri<\/span><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Montana<\/span><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Virginia<\/span><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">West Virginia<\/span><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Wisconsin<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Chilly Northeast Markets Present Long-Term Opportunities<\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Realtor.com shares a similar opinion with New York markets such as Rochester and Syracuse, which are close to Rhode Island and Connecticut, where Hartford, Connecticut, another fast-appreciating metro, is located, where appreciation <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">is expected<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> to be in the double digits. These markets <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">are highlighted<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> by their relatively low housing prices, population growth, and limited housing supply.<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Many of these cities are benefiting from <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">big<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> investments from the<\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.syr.gov\/News\/City-News\/City-2023\/2023-10-23-Mayors-Office-News\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> tech sector<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">. For careful buyers, these markets can offer the holy trinity of affordability, steady growth, and cash flow\u2014so long as you buy right.&nbsp;<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Certainly<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">, compared to many metros, these cities offer a safer option. However, many sections of these cities have not yet \u201cturned the corner,\u201d with high crime still an issue, <\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/spectrumlocalnews.com\/nys\/central-ny\/public-safety\/2025\/12\/19\/community--local-businesses--lawmakers-come-together-to-fight-crime-on-syracuse-s-south-side\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">such as in Syracuse<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">, which means buyers need to be wary of stepping into a tenant landmine.<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Why Ownership Rates Affect Rental Inventory<\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.doorloop.com\/blog\/renter-and-homeowner-statistics\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">National data shows<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> that as of Q2 2025, 65% of U.S. homeowners own their homes, while 35% rent, with variations by state. States in the Midwest and South often have higher homeownership rates, and thus tighter sales inventories\u2014factors that support price stability and moderate appreciation.<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Lower prices here equate to greater affordability for both homeowners and renters. <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">This<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> contrasts with some <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">of the<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> South and West markets, where rapid construction and price escalation have <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">resulted in<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> flat or declining rents, stagnant or negative price growth, and affordability issues for many would-be buyers.<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">In short, it\u2019s hard to invest in many Sunbelt markets compared to more stable markets elsewhere, where the numbers still work, demand is diversified, and forecasts indicate slower, durable appreciation.<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Renters, Owners, and the Costs<\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Deciding where to invest has to be balanced with stats concerning rental demand. Just because a city is affordable and appreciating does not mean there will be a high demand for rental housing.<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">While the average homeownership numbers around the country is 65%, in states such as West Virginia, Maine, and Minnesota, ownership spikes to over 70%, according to DoorLoop, while pricey states such as California, New York, and Nevada see <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">real<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> percentages approaching 40%, far above the national average of 35%. In the more expensive states, it\u2019s much harder to make cash flow numbers make sense.<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Stable Single-Family Rental Markets<\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">High ownership, lower-cost states and metros such as West Virginia, Delaware, Michigan, Maine, and Vermont tend to support stable <\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/single-family-rents-are-falling-as-btr-becomes-a-mainstream-trend\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">single-family rentals<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> because residents prize homeownership, according to<\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.visualcapitalist.com\/renters-vs-homeowners-in-every-u-s-state\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> visualcapitalist.com<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">, but not everyone can buy initially.<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">These renters <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">have a greater likelihood of eventually becoming<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> buyers, but start <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">out<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> by renting a single-family home\u2014the next best thing.<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> As prices rise in single-family markets, the <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">likelihood<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> of renting for longer increases, but the risks of investing also rise due to greater leverage.<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Final Thoughts<\/span><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Placing BiggerPockets Pulse responses alongside national forecasts, a coherent investment strategy emerges for 2026. In the face of a spectacularly unspectacular housing market, BiggerPockets members are focusing on long-term rentals and portfolio building, rather than speculative appreciation or <\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/short-term-rental-investing\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">short-term rentals<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">.<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">For depreciating markets such as Atlanta and Indianapolis, adjust underwriting accordingly and buy right, below recent comps, anticipating the markets to bottom out or wait for them to do so. In falling home price markets, sellers are desperate, creating opportunities for savvy buyers.<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">In home-price growth markets, investors cannot afford to let the same disciplined protocols slip. Identifying solid, gradually increasing\u2014mid?single digits\u2014rather than exuberantly <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">increasing<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> markets is the key to long-term growth. Coupled with this is the need for healthy sales activity, affordability, and income and employment ratios below 30% for both renters and homeowners.<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Layering savvy investment strategies, such as forcing <\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/what-is-home-equity\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">equity<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> through rehab and holding long enough to benefit from gradual appreciation, on top of other metrics, will ensure the one thing BiggerPockets investors covet most: a dependable, long-term cash-flowing rental.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>BiggerPockets members have spoken. Their verdict: cautious optimism. In the brand new BiggerPockets Pulse survey, BP members were asked to fill out their expectations for 2026. Despite a year of [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":613725,"featured_media":186472,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[7381],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-186470","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-housing-prices"],"acf":[],"comment_count":0,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/186470","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/613725"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=186470"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/186470\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/186472"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=186470"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=186470"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=186470"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}