{"id":188276,"date":"2026-06-17T11:29:17","date_gmt":"2026-06-17T17:29:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/?p=188276"},"modified":"2026-06-17T11:29:20","modified_gmt":"2026-06-17T17:29:20","slug":"stop-waiting-for-rates-to-drop-new-construction-investors-already-bought","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/stop-waiting-for-rates-to-drop-new-construction-investors-already-bought","title":{"rendered":"Stop Waiting for Rates to Drop\u2014New Construction Investors Already Bought at 4%"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">This article is presented by <\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.renttoretirement.com\/?utm_source=biggerpockets.com&amp;utm_medium=blog&amp;utm_campaign=send-2026-06a&amp;utm_id=%09+rtr2026_bp-blog\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Rent<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> to Retirement.<\/span><\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Half the investors I talk to are doing the same thing right now: nothing. They are sitting on cash, refreshing the rate trackers, and waiting for the Federal Reserve to hand them a 5% loan like a party favor.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">The logic feels safe. Why buy at 7% when 5% might be right around the corner?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Here is the problem with that plan: By the time rates actually drop, the discount disappears. Prices climb, and competition floods back in. The deal you could have grabbed quietly in a slow market turns into a bidding war the second money gets cheap.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">You did not save money by waiting. You just paid for it a different way.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Meanwhile, a smaller group of investors has stopped waiting. They are buying rentals today at rates that start with a 4. A few are touching the 3s.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">They are buying a specific kind of property and using it to manufacture a rate that the rest of the market thinks is impossible right now. Let me show you the move.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">The Rate Everyone Is Stuck Staring At<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">As of mid-2026, investment property <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">loans are running somewhere<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> around 7.1% to 7.6%. That is roughly half a point to a full point above what an owner-occupant pays, which has always been the tax on borrowing for a rental.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">At those numbers, <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">a lot of<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> resale deals <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">just<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> do not pencil.<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> You run the property at 7.5%, the <\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/rental-property-cash-flow-analysis\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">cash flow<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> limps in at $40 a month, and you decide it is not worth the headache. So you wait. (We have all done it.)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">But the rate on the sheet is just a starting point. And on new construction, you have a lever that resale buyers mostly do not.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">The Buydown Nobody Bothers to Ask For<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Here is the part that gets skipped. Builders hate sitting on finished inventory. Every month that a completed home goes unsold, it costs them.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">But they also do not want to slash the sticker price because a public price cut drags down <\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/real-estate-comps\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">comps<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> for every other home in the community. So instead, they hand out closing credits.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Most buyers treat that credit as free money for a fridge upgrade. Investors treat it as ammunition. Take that builder credit and point it straight at your interest rate.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">That is a buydown. Somebody pays an upfront cost at closing, and in exchange, the rate drops. <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">The trick is that <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">somebody<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> often is <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">not<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> you.<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> You redirect the builder&#8217;s concession into the buydown instead of haggling over price.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">There are two ways to structure it, and both have a place:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">A temporary buydown lowers your rate for the first couple of years, then steps it back up to the note rate. <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">It\u2019s good if you<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> expect rents to rise or plan to refinance.<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> A 2-1 buydown, for example, knocks two points off year one and one point off year two.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">A permanent buydown lowers the rate for the entire life of the loan. It costs more upfront, but if the builder is the one funding it, who cares? You get the lower payment forever, and you did not pay for it.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Pair a motivated builder with a smart buydown structure, and the results stop looking like the 2026 landscape. Some investors working new construction inventory have stacked builder credits with buydowns to land rates near 4%, and a few have slipped into the 3s. Same market and Fed\u2014completely different payment.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Why Does It Have to Be New Construction?<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">You cannot really run this play on a tired resale, for reasons that go beyond the rate.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Start with the <\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/down-payment\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">down payment<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">. <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">A lot of new build-to-rent inventory can be bought<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> with 5% down. Some programs go lower. Compare that to the 20% to 25% a bank wants on a standard investment property, and the gap is enormous.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">On a $280,000 home, 5% down is $14,000. At 25% down, it is $70,000. <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">This<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> means $56,000 you keep in your account, which is the difference between buying one rental and buying four. (Leverage is the entire game. <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">We <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">just<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> forget it, the second high rates spook us.)<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Then there is the stuff that quietly eats away at resale investors, such as deferred maintenance. You buy the charming 1980s ranch at a &#8220;discount,&#8221; and 18 months later, you are cutting checks for a roof, an HVAC system, and a water heater that all decided to retire in the same quarter.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">New construction does not have a year two capex cliff. Everything is new and under warranty, and your reserves stay in your pocket where they belong.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">New homes also tend to <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">have lower prices<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> because modern code <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">means a lower<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> risk <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">profile<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">.<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> And tenants do not pay a premium for vintage wiring or &#8220;character.&#8221; They pay for a place where the dishwasher works and the AC does not sound like a propeller plane.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Charm does not cover the mortgage. A working house does.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">A Deal Teardown (Illustrative, Not a Promise)<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Let me put real numbers on it. These are example figures to show the mechanics, not a quote, and obviously, every market is different.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">The resale play:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Purchase price: <\/span><\/strong><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">$250,000<\/span><\/li>\n<li><strong><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Down payment at 25%: <\/span><\/strong><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">$62,500<\/span><\/li>\n<li><strong><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Rate:<\/span><\/strong><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> 7.25%<\/span><\/li>\n<li><strong><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Year two surprise: <\/span><\/strong><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Roughly $18,000 in roof, HVAC, and miscellaneous repairs<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">The new construction play:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Purchase price:<\/span><\/strong><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> $280,000<\/span><\/li>\n<li><strong><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Down payment at 5%:<\/span><\/strong><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> $14,000<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Builder credit redirected into a permanent buydown gets you to roughly 5%.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><strong><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Capex for the first several years: <\/span><\/strong><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Basically zero, plus a bu<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">ilder w<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">arranty<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">The resale looks cheaper on the sticker, but it is not cheaper to own. The new build has you in the door for a fraction of the cash, with a lower payment and no surprise repairs draining your account.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Run the <\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/cash-on-cash-return\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">cash-on-cash return<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">, and the &#8220;expensive&#8221; house wins, usually by a lot. The cheap house was never cheap. It just billed you later.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">One more financing note:<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> If your personal debt-to-income ratio is tight, <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">a lot<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> of these properties also qualify for a DSCR loan, which underwrites the deal on the property&#8217;s <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">own<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> rental income <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">instead of<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> your <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">W2<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> and tax returns.<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> New construction in a strong rental market tends to pencil cleanly on a DSCR basis, one more reason this inventory keeps moving while resale buyers stall.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">(Standard disclaimer and a real one: Real estate carries risk. Vacancy, market shifts, tenant issues, and the rest are all real. Run your own numbers on your own deal before you wire anything.)<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">The &#8220;And They Handle the Rest&#8221; Part<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Manufacturing a 4% rate on a new build is great, but doing it in a market 1,500 miles away that you have never set foot in is where most people tap out.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">This<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> is where a turnkey partner earns its keep. The whole point of <\/span><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/turnkey-real-estate-investing\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">turnkey properties<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> is that they are already built or renovated, have management lined up, and you are buying a finished income stream rather than a weekend project.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><a class=\"editor-rtfLink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.renttoretirement.com\/?utm_source=biggerpockets.com&amp;utm_medium=blog&amp;utm_campaign=send-2026-06a&amp;utm_id=%09+rtr2026_bp-blog\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Rent to Retirement<\/span><\/a><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> operates in more than 90 markets, with financing, buildout, and property management under one roof. You are picking a market and deploying capital, not flying out to interview contractors.<\/span><\/p>\n<h2><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Who This Is Actually For<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">I am not going to pretend this is for everybody. If you love the hunt and want to swing hammers and force appreciation on a distressed flip, a new construction turnkey property will feel slow and boring to you. <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Go<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> buy your fixer. Have fun. Send pictures.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">But if you are a busy W2 earner, an out-of-state investor, or someone who has the capital and the credit but not the time or the desire to babysit a renovation, this is close to the cleanest entry point in the game right now:\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Low money in<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">A rate you manufactured instead of one you waited for<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">No year two repair ambush<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Management has already <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">been handled<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">The Actual Takeaway<\/span><\/h2>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Stop pricing your entire strategy around a rate cut that may or may not show up and that every other investor on your feed is waiting for, too.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">The people who will look smart in two years are the ones moving now, while builders are still motivated <\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">and<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\"> handing out credits can turn into a rate that starts with a 4. The window for that is the slow stretch right before the day rates drop\u2014which happens to be the stretch we are in.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">The deal does not get better when money gets cheap. It gets more crowded. Buy the inventory while the incentives are still on the table.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This article is presented by Rent to Retirement. Half the investors I talk to are doing the same thing right now: nothing. They are sitting on cash, refreshing the rate [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":613755,"featured_media":181707,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-188276","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-real-estate-trends"],"acf":[],"comment_count":0,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/188276","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/613755"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=188276"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/188276\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":188278,"href":"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/188276\/revisions\/188278"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/181707"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=188276"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=188276"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=188276"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}