{"id":95363,"date":"2019-09-01T05:00:29","date_gmt":"2019-09-01T11:00:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/renewsblog\/?p=95363"},"modified":"2021-03-16T13:46:39","modified_gmt":"2021-03-16T19:46:39","slug":"colossal-fail","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/colossal-fail","title":{"rendered":"The Colossal Fail: How a Hard Landing Can Make You a Better Investor"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>When I was 16 years old, I aspired to become an airline pilot. Using the money I\u2019d earned from a week of bagging groceries, I took one flying lesson a week at our local airport after school. Learning to land an airplane was an incredible experience. After you complete your first unassisted landing, you feel like you are at the top of your game.<\/p>\n<p>One day, my instructor set up the airplane on final approach to the runway. He intentionally set up the plane so that we came in too low with an airspeed that was too slow. It\u2019s a condition called \u201cbeing behind the power curve\u201d\u2014a concept I had not yet been introduced to.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cYou have the airplane,\u201d my instructor told me. It was time for me to take over the controls and complete the landing.<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Related:<\/strong> <a href=\"\/renewsblog\/what-newbies-need\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">3 Things All Rookie Investors Need Before Diving Into Real Estate<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<p>As I crossed the runway threshold I cut the throttle, just as I had done on every other landing (not that I had done many in my whopping five hours of experience). And then, almost immediately\u2026WHAM!<\/p>\n<p>The plane literally fell out of the sky. Fortunately for me, we were only about 10 feet up or so, so instead of a crash it was just a very hard landing. <em>Surely I must have damaged the airplane<\/em>, I thought. I\u2019d never felt such an impact before.<\/p>\n<p>We assessed the damage: there was none. I \u00a0had dodged a bullet this time.<\/p>\n<p>What happened? What did I do wrong? Well, a lot. And also nothing.<\/p>\n<p>I failed to recognize what was going on because I\u2019d never experienced this particular configuration before. I didn\u2019t realize that I should have gone full throttle to get the heck out of there and start over. On the other hand, I did nothing wrong because I did what most students do when they are learning and lack experience. We make mistakes. And we learn from them.<\/p>\n<p>Never again will I get behind the power curve on a final approach. Never again will I cut the throttle when I\u2019m going too slow for the airplane to keep flying. The point is, you learn these things in training so you don\u2019t learn them with passengers.<\/p>\n<h2>What Does This Have to Do with Real Estate?<\/h2>\n<p>Everybody wants to talk about their successes. But talk about their failures? <em>No way! What failures?<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Come on. We all have them, so just be up front about it. Here\u2019s why.<\/p>\n<p>Other people\u2019s money fuels the growth of our real estate businesses, right? Attracting that money requires that you have a spotless record and never make mistakes. It is perfection that impresses investors and makes them want to invest with you. No one wants to invest with someone who has screwed up. Right? <em>No; wrong!<\/em><\/p>\n<p>In just the past few years, I\u2019ve raised over $60 million, so you can imagine that I\u2019ve talked to my share of investors. I\u2019ve found that plenty of investors will trust you because of all of the things you\u2019ve done right. But nearly just as many have decided to invest with me only after hearing a story about one of my failures. Failure is where the best lessons are learned. Your true colors show when you fail. Investors don\u2019t want to get caught up funding the \u201crookie mistake\u201d phase of someone&#8217;s career. But they do trust their capital with those who act with integrity in the face of adversity.<\/p>\n<h2>The Rookie Mistake<\/h2>\n<p>If you\u2019ve read my articles on <a href=\"\/renewsblog\/2015\/08\/09\/multifamily-mythsreasons-multifamily-easy\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Multifamily Myths<\/a>, you know that there are many things about investing in income property that new investors don\u2019t yet know (think: student pilot). Proceeding under the assumption they have all of the knowledge necessary leaves them vulnerable to mistakes that lead to hard landings.<\/p>\n<p>Such was the case early on in my multifamily investing career.<\/p>\n<p>My rookie mistake was underestimating the power of an adverse economic cycle and its effect on economic vacancy. And overestimating the relevance of buying at a discount to the previous owner\u2019s basis.<\/p>\n<p>It was spring of 2008, and the real estate market had already seen a significant collapse. This allowed me to buy a 60-unit apartment building for half of the price the previous owner had paid. This (incorrectly) convinced me that I was getting a great deal, buying after a downturn at a steep discount. What could possibly go wrong?<\/p>\n<p>At first, nothing went wrong. The business plan was ticking away flawlessly. I was renovating the property, upgrading units, replacing roofs, you name it. Occupancy went from about 80 percent to 99 percent. I was getting higher rents on my new leases. Life was great. It looked like this multifamily syndication would go down as a success.<\/p>\n<p>But 2008 was offering up a double whammy. The earlier collapse in real estate prices finally made its impact on the greater economy, and by fall 2008, we suffered what can only be described as the Great Financial Collapse. In September, Bear Stearns and Lehman Brothers, both thought to be solid as a rock, came tumbling down in a subprime mortgage meltdown. Banks were failing. Companies were closing. Jobs were disappearing. And my apartment building had just hit 99 percent occupancy, and stayed there\u2014for about a week.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-110229\" src=\"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/04\/debtbad.jpg\" alt=\"Close up customer hand choose sad face and blurred smiley face i\" width=\"702\" height=\"336\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/04\/debtbad.jpg 702w, https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/04\/debtbad-300x144.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 702px) 100vw, 702px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Related:<\/strong> <a href=\"\/renewsblog\/2015\/08\/29\/3-biggest-mistakes\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The Top 3 Real Estate Investing Mistakes I&#8217;ve Made (&amp;\u00a0What I Learned)<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<h2>&#8220;People Always Need Somewhere to Live&#8221;<\/h2>\n<p>They say that residential real estate is a safe investment because people always need somewhere to live. While there is some truth in this assumption, the reality is that people will live wherever they must\u2014even if that means doubling up with friends or moving in with family. It could mean moving from apartment to apartment until the Eviction Grinch catches up to them. That&#8217;s where this old saying comes in: \u201cHalf of the units are empty, and the other half aren\u2019t paying.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blogs\/4426\/31017-there-are-two-types-of-vacancy\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Economic vacancy<\/a> is made up of several components:\u00a0<a href=\"\/renewsblog\/2014\/08\/05\/loss-lease-definitive-guide\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Loss to lease<\/a> (the difference between market rent and the actual rent on the lease), <a href=\"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blogs\/4426\/31017-there-are-two-types-of-vacancy\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">physical vacancy<\/a> (empty units), <a href=\"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/forums\/51\/topics\/164414-accounting-for-seller-concessions\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">concessions<\/a> (discounts or free rent given to attract a tenant), bad debt (the half that aren\u2019t paying), and non-revenue units (down units, models, employee units, etc.).<\/p>\n<p>During an adverse economic cycle, it\u2019s hard to raise your tenant\u2019s rent\u2014you don\u2019t want to rock the boat on those below-market leases. This way, your loss to lease doesn\u2019t burn off. Units go vacant so your physical vacancy loss goes up. You offer concessions to prospective tenants because you are in an all-out war with your competitors to fill units. Tenants are losing jobs, so your bad debt goes up and your eviction costs rise.<\/p>\n<p>If you don\u2019t appreciate all of those elements of economic vacancy, each of them can catch you off guard. They can also all team up to deal you a knock-out blow.<\/p>\n<p>I got hit by them all. By the middle of 2009, my property was collecting just enough income to pay for the operating expenses, but there was no money left over to service the debt. I was definitely behind the power curve now, and applying full throttle to go around and try again wasn\u2019t an option. The engine wasn\u2019t working.<\/p>\n<h2>Stuck Between a Rock and a Hard Place<\/h2>\n<p>This is a terrible position for a syndicator to find themselves. If you don\u2019t make the loan payments, the lender will foreclose. Your investors will lose all of their money. You can sell the property, but because the income is only enough to cover operating expenses, the net operating income is roughly zero. This means that the property\u2019s value is unlikely to exceed what would have been a conservative loan in the first place. So at this point, if you sell, you might pay off the loan (or perhaps the lender would agree to a short sale) but in either case, your investors would lose all of their money.<\/p>\n<p>Although this was my first multifamily syndication, I had already done many single family syndications and a couple of commercial (non-syndicated) deals. Up to that point, I\u2019d never had an investor lose their principal on any investment they had done with me. I wasn\u2019t about to start now. So I was looking for a third option, and I found it.<\/p>\n<p>I started paying the debt service out of my own pocket. At first I simply had to feed in a few thousand dollars. But it was only a matter of months before the situation deteriorated to the point where I was fronting the entire $15,000 monthly loan payment.<\/p>\n<p>After a couple of years, things started to turn around. Eventually I started generating some income beyond the expenses and was able to reduce the amount of money that I was feeding each month. By the time the property could stand on its own, I had put in over $400,000. I had loaned the entity more money (interest free) than my investors had invested in the first place.<\/p>\n<p>The property was originally forecasted to be a five-year hold. Five years turned into eight. We sold the property in 2016. Fortunately for me and my investors, the multifamily rebound was just as strong as the decline. We sold for a price that not only paid off the loan, but returned all of my investors&#8217; capital. We even made enough to pay back all of the funds I\u2019d loaned for servicing the debt. On top of all of that, we all managed to make a profit.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-109262\" src=\"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/worry.jpg\" alt=\"woman with hands on face looking concerned, worried, sad, scared\" width=\"702\" height=\"336\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/worry.jpg 702w, https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/worry-300x144.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 702px) 100vw, 702px\" \/><\/p>\n<h2>Apply These Lessons to Your Business<\/h2>\n<p>When underwriting income property, build all of the components of economic vacancy into your income forecast. Be sure to use conservative estimates so you don\u2019t get caught off guard when things aren\u2019t perfect (they never are). Don\u2019t underestimate the power of an adverse economic cycle. And don\u2019t let the concept of \u201ceveryone needs a place to live\u201d lull you into a false sense of security.<\/p>\n<p>So you want to syndicate real estate? First, know what you are doing. Make your rookie mistakes on deals that you fund with your own money\u2014or get an experienced partner so that you don\u2019t make rookie mistakes at all. Raising money from others is a serious responsibility. You don\u2019t want to practice on the back of the hard-earned cash of others.<\/p>\n<p>Your job as a syndicator does not end once you raise the funds and close the deal. That\u2019s just the beginning. A good syndicator can salvage the best outcome from a really tough situation. A bad one can ruin a perfectly good real estate deal and destroy relationships with investors.<\/p>\n<p>Always do right by your investors. When things aren\u2019t going according to plan, be honest with yourself about it. Come up with a new plan. Communicate with your investors. Tell them what is going right, what is going wrong, and what you are doing about it. Airline captains will tell the passengers to put their seatbelt on when there is turbulence ahead. You should do the same. Don\u2019t sugarcoat anything or make up excuses. And don\u2019t lie or say all is well when it isn\u2019t.<\/p>\n<p>Student pilots don\u2019t get a license to carry passengers until they\u2019ve had the necessary amount of practice and can demonstrate a specific level of skill. These rules are in place for the safety of the passengers, of course. But there are no similar rules in place for real estate operators who take \u201cpassengers\u201d (investors) on their real estate journey. Do yourself and your investors a favor: get enough practice to get past the \u201crookie mistake\u201d phase of your career before you put anyone&#8217;s money at risk. Your hard landings will make you a better operator and allow you to add extreme value to your investors.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/webinars?utm_source=renewsblog\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-91217\" src=\"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/08\/blog_ads-01.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"700\" height=\"85\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/08\/blog_ads-01.jpg 700w, https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/08\/blog_ads-01-300x36.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 700px) 100vw, 700px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><em>What mistakes have you learned from?<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Share your experiences below!<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Everyone wants to talk about success. But what about failure? When we fail, we learn the most important lessons. Here&#8217;s how to leverage your mistakes, turning the bad into something good.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":802,"featured_media":113878,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[20],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-95363","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-personal-development"],"acf":[],"comment_count":0,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/95363","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/802"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=95363"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/95363\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/113878"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=95363"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=95363"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.biggerpockets.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=95363"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}