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Robin J.
  • San Francisco, CA
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First rental investment in a "rougher" neighborhood in Oakland

Robin J.
  • San Francisco, CA
Posted Jan 14 2018, 14:59

Hi all,

New Oakland investor here and was hoping to get some advice/thoughts from experienced multifamily experts in the Oakland area. I've been looking to house-hack my first investment, as a means of utilizing max leverage, and looking for properties where cash flows cover debt service and operating expenses. However, unsurprisingly most properties in generally nicer/safer areas don't meet these cash flow requirements for me to house-hack and the ones that DO have cash flow are generally run-down and in lesser housing quality neighborhoods. 

My question to folks here is: if these multifamily properties meet cash flow requirements, should I forego owner-occupant/first-time home buyer benefits and buy them at 20% down? I'm excited by the prospect of buying a cash flow positive property out in Oakland, but I'm well aware that there is no such thing as free lunch and that these properties are priced like that for a reason. My thoughts organized below and I'd welcome any input or challenges against my assumptions/questions:

Key Question: "Should I invest in a positive cash flow MF rental property in a C-class Oakland neighborhood (where I'm assumed to not live in the unit)?"

Cons:

  • C-class neighborhood and the downsides of having to get involved as an owner, even with a property manager
  • Risk of rent control expansion, limiting upside
  • Unknown tenant quality --> assumes greater vacancy risk/lower stability/increased maintenance costs
  • Using 20% down, rather than owner-occupant 5% down, limiting ability to utilize leverage for additional investments sooner

Pros:

  • Cash-flow positive at day 1, even at current rent control rates and assuming property manager expenses
  • Speculation: Bay Area macro-trends where housing supply is limited in the Peninsula, driving renters and homeowners eastward --> long-term Bay Area appreciation bet

Ultimately, I know for deals I find on the MLS, most properties will cost me more and provide less cash flow for the benefits I'd want:

  • Better neighborhood and more appreciation potential
  • Better quality tenants and less management headache
  • Lucky to hit breakeven on operating expenses and debt service

Given this, should I be focusing my efforts on finding better deals in B-B+ neighborhoods, rather than trying make the sole criteria "cash flow from day 1"? I'm leaning towards being patient with deals rather than pulling the trigger on a C-class neighborhood because I do understand that I'm purely speculating an appreciation in neighborhood/tenant quality. I'm also aware of a case where I'd have to sacrifice cash flow and optimistically hope that even making $1 per unit in a great neighborhood is better than making $300/unit in a C-class neighborhood out here in Oakland.

Welcome, again, any thoughts/challenges you'd have on my thought process. I'd love to have an active and productive discussion amongst the BP community. Thanks for taking the time to read this post.

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