help needed with deal analysis
5 Replies
Paul Pellegrin
posted 11 days ago
hello! I am completely new to this, so any and all suggestions much appreciated-
I am looking at purchase of 3 br/3 bath home in West Virginia for 139k to use as short term rental/airbnb. AirDNA shows projected rental income of $47,356 gross, with occupancy rate of 67%. for a "fix and hold" on this property, hard money lenders are offering me 12 month interest only loan with no prepayment penalties at 9.9%, and will provide up to 75% of the purchase and 100% of the renovations. The loan amount is capped at 65% of the after repair value. I estimate there a roughly 20k of repairs/rehab needed for kitchen remodel. Once these renovations are completed this same lender is offering to refinance this into a long term rental loan 30 year fixed rate amortized for 4.85%, for up to 75% LTV if the property is leased long term. 70% if it's unleashed or leased short term.
when I entered the numbers on the BRRRR calculator, there was no income positive cashflow/income on the deal, but I think that's because I don't know how to enter the numbers correctly yet.
anyone thoughts or comments welcome.
thanks
Caleb Brown
Real Estate Agent
replied 11 days ago
Can you share the link to the report?
Paul Pellegrin
replied 11 days ago
hi Caleb, I am not an upgraded member yet, so looks like I don't have the ability to create a pdf and share a link
Mike Buscher
Rental Property Investor from Maryland
replied 11 days ago
I would be careful with those AirDNA numbers. I have used them elsewhere and I don't think they're entirely accurate. Maybe they are more accurate for WV, I don't know. Make sure you get numbers from other sources as well (local property manager?) to verify.
Ika Sargeant
Real Estate Agent from Reston, VA
replied 11 days ago
@Paul Pellegrin I have to agree with Mike Buscher the rental income seems off the chart. I did a quick calculation and I am getting a daily rate of $197/day. I would call a B&B similar to what you are buying and ask them their daily rate/ vacancy rate and then project the income. Just a thought.
Paul Pellegrin
replied 10 days ago
thanks very much mike and ika for your comments. I intend to make some calls today!