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help needed with deal analysis

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  • Posts 5
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Paul Pellegrin

posted 11 days ago

hello! I am completely new to this, so any and all suggestions much appreciated-

I am looking at purchase of 3 br/3 bath home in West Virginia for 139k to use as short term rental/airbnb. AirDNA shows projected rental income of $47,356 gross, with occupancy rate of 67%. for a "fix and hold" on this property, hard money lenders are offering me 12 month interest only loan with no prepayment penalties at 9.9%, and will provide up to 75% of the purchase and 100% of the renovations. The loan amount is capped at 65% of the after repair value. I estimate there a roughly 20k of repairs/rehab needed for kitchen remodel. Once these renovations are completed this same lender is offering to refinance this into a long term rental loan 30 year fixed rate amortized for 4.85%, for up to 75% LTV if the property is leased long term. 70% if it's unleashed or leased short term.

when I entered the numbers on the BRRRR calculator, there was no income positive cashflow/income on the deal, but I think that's because I don't know how to enter the numbers correctly yet.

anyone thoughts or comments welcome.

thanks

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Check Rosette Top Subjects:
Real Estate Finance and Residential
  • Posts 845
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Caleb Brown
Real Estate Agent

replied 11 days ago

Can you share the link to the report?

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  • Posts 5
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Paul Pellegrin

replied 11 days ago

hi Caleb, I am not an upgraded member yet, so looks like I don't have the ability to create a pdf and share a link

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  • Posts 2
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Mike Buscher
Rental Property Investor from Maryland

replied 11 days ago

I would be careful with those AirDNA numbers. I have used them elsewhere and I don't think they're entirely accurate. Maybe they are more accurate for WV, I don't know. Make sure you get numbers from other sources as well (local property manager?) to verify. 

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Check Rosette Top Subject:
Rentals
  • Posts 168
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Ika Sargeant
Real Estate Agent from Reston, VA

replied 11 days ago

@Paul Pellegrin I have to agree with Mike Buscher the rental income seems off the chart. I did a quick calculation and I am getting a daily rate of $197/day. I would call a B&B similar to what you are buying and ask them their daily rate/ vacancy rate and then project the income. Just a thought. 

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Paul Pellegrin

replied 10 days ago

thanks very much mike and ika for your comments. I intend to make some calls today!

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