Help me analyze this deal
5 Replies
Antwan Smith
Real Estate Investor from suitland
posted over 13 years ago
I found a apt complex which I ran through the property analysis tool but I want check with the experts here before I decide to pass since the numbers don't seem to work. I may or may not be doing it correctly.
Here is the info from the property:
Financial Summary Proforma
Year: 2007
Scheduled Gross Income: $89,100
Vacancy: $4,455
Effective Gross Income: $84,645
Maintenance: $8,800
Taxes: $8,015
Insurance: $3,500
Other Expenses: $5,925
Total Expenses: $26,240
Net Operating Income: $58,404
Debt Service: $49,500
Pre-Tax Cash Flow: $8,904
Expenses/Unit: $800.00
Unit Mix Information
One-story units
No. Units: 3
SF: 1,036
Avg. Mo. Rent: $675
Two-story units
No. Units: 8
SF: 1,026
Avg. Mo. Rent: $675
Building Size: 11,300 SF
Lot Size: 0.67 Acres
Occupancy: 100.00%
Price: $795,000
Price/Unit: $72,272.73
Cap Rate: 7.35%
Year Built: 2002
Tell me what you think
Tom C
Real Estate Investor from Ohio
replied over 13 years ago
Just looking strictly at the cash flow verses the debt, it appears that you are going to have 11 units to manage for around $700.00 bucks a month. That sounds like a full time job where you will be making around 4 dollars an hour if you are lucky. Now cut that $700.00 dollars a month in 1/2 for operating expenses and you are essentially making around $32.00 dollars a month per unit. I would never own a property and rent for $32.00 a month profit.
Unless I read your post incorrectly, I wouldn't touch this deal or touch it, but at a much reduced price. I need to get over $100.00 a month in cash flow before I would even consider buying.
Thanks
Antwan Smith
Real Estate Investor from suitland
replied over 13 years ago
TC,
I was thinking the same thing but needed a second opinion just in case I missed something. I am going to pass on this deal but I am curious for future reference what would you offer to make the numbers work for you and how would you come to that conclusion.
Thanks,
Michael Rossi
Real Estate Investor from Ohio
replied over 13 years ago
Scheduled Gross Income: $89,100
Vacancy: $4,455
Effective Gross Income: $84,645
Maintenance: $8,800
Taxes: $8,015
Insurance: $3,500
Other Expenses: $5,925
Total Expenses: $26,240
Net Operating Income: $58,404
Debt Service: $49,500
Pre-Tax Cash Flow: $8,904
Here's the way I see this deal: $7,424 per month
Operating Expenses: $3,712
NOI: $3,712
Debt: $4,125 per month
Monthly LOSS: $413 OUCH!
Obviously, this is a loser and I would not do it!
Mike
Gross rents:
Antwan Smith
Real Estate Investor from suitland
replied over 13 years ago
Thanks Mike,
That is why you are the Community Guru. I always value your opinion. I am glad I have guys like you to help me understand and possible save me from making too many mistakes.
Again thanks,
Antwan
Tom C
Real Estate Investor from Ohio
replied over 13 years ago
I am actually not very good at just running numbers and coming up with an offer. I have to walk through a property, pull comps, then look at the numbers. Just looking at your numbers lets say that you can get a 30yr fixed at 7.5% on a commerical loan, your PITI will be $6518.33 per month. Not sure where you got $49,500/ $4125 per month.
Actual Debit service = $78,216
Rents $89,100
OP expenses lets say $30,000 per year and this is on the low side.
Leaves you with $59K or $4961 per month. Current price leaves you at neg. $1557 per month.
So if you expect to make it successful you would need to get the place for $395,000. This would leave you with a PITI of $3721 and a cash flow of $1261 or $114.00 per unit per month.
Yes, that seems pretty nuts to walk in and offer 395K for a property that someone is asking 795K for, but do you see any where I am hosing up the numbers? Remember, you don't count the DP. You have to base it off what you are paying for the property.
You could do the 70% rule based on comps and see where that gets you, but only use that if I am going to flip the place.