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Bobby Paquette
  • Investor
  • Charleston, SC
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What data are you most looking forward too?

Bobby Paquette
  • Investor
  • Charleston, SC
Posted Sep 11 2023, 13:38

What data are you most looking forward too from now until the end of the year and why? 

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Abel Curiel
  • Real Estate Agent
  • Queens, NY
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Abel Curiel
  • Real Estate Agent
  • Queens, NY
Replied Sep 12 2023, 07:06

Jobless claims. 

Reason being, not sure how reliable the unemployment data is. I am mainly curious to see if/how joblessness/unemployment will impact RE inventory.

Looking forward to the other input on the thread.

Great question, @Bobby Paquette!

  • Real Estate Agent NY (#10401295960)

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Chris Seveney#3 All Forums Contributor
  • Investor
  • Northern Virginia
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Chris Seveney#3 All Forums Contributor
  • Investor
  • Northern Virginia
Replied Sep 12 2023, 07:16
Quote from @Bobby Paquette:

What data are you most looking forward too from now until the end of the year and why? 


 Jobless claims. We invest in distressed debt and jobs is the #1 factor on people's ability to pay their mortgage. 

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Bobby Paquette
  • Investor
  • Charleston, SC
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Bobby Paquette
  • Investor
  • Charleston, SC
Replied Sep 12 2023, 08:59
Quote from @Abel Curiel:

Jobless claims. 

Reason being, not sure how reliable the unemployment data is. I am mainly curious to see if/how joblessness/unemployment will impact RE inventory.

Looking forward to the other input on the thread.

Great question, @Bobby Paquette!


Love it!  You think it will increase inventory? 

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Bobby Paquette
  • Investor
  • Charleston, SC
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Bobby Paquette
  • Investor
  • Charleston, SC
Replied Sep 12 2023, 08:59
Quote from @Chris Seveney:
Quote from @Bobby Paquette:

What data are you most looking forward too from now until the end of the year and why? 


 Jobless claims. We invest in distressed debt and jobs is the #1 factor on people's ability to pay their mortgage. 

2/2 on the Jobless Claims!


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Abel Curiel
  • Real Estate Agent
  • Queens, NY
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Abel Curiel
  • Real Estate Agent
  • Queens, NY
Replied Sep 13 2023, 05:18
Quote from @Bobby Paquette:
Quote from @Abel Curiel:

Jobless claims. 

Reason being, not sure how reliable the unemployment data is. I am mainly curious to see if/how joblessness/unemployment will impact RE inventory.

Looking forward to the other input on the thread.

Great question, @Bobby Paquette!


Love it!  You think it will increase inventory? 


 I think it will. Whether or not it will be a statistically significant increase is another story. 

  • Real Estate Agent NY (#10401295960)

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Replied Sep 16 2023, 05:56
Quote from @Bobby Paquette:

What data are you most looking forward too from now until the end of the year and why? 


 zillow home index especially on Q3-Q4.

I don't care so much about jobless index because first that number is too vague, second , there's no strong correlation to real estate anymore and third, it doesn't display the distribution of the money.

I mean if tomorrow we have 8% unemployment, I hardly see the effect in real estate. Why ? because the number of money floating in the bank is still the same. 
If tomorrow we have 700% more unemployment but the Fed would acquire more securities and printing more money, RE price is going up even further.

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Benjamin Aaker
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Brandon, SD
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Benjamin Aaker
  • Rental Property Investor
  • Brandon, SD
Replied Sep 19 2023, 14:20

I cast my vote for unemployment. If it spikes, the effect on RE won't be immediate, but all those people who got a great rate, so they bought a way-too-big house and are affording it only because of their current income will need to sell quickly. If they stop paying the mortgage, it'll take some time for the foreclosures to go through, unless they put their house on the market sooner. I suspect at that time we will see increased inventory.