News Shocker! Economist Actually Gets It. Why Existing Homes Fell in ’06


gasping.jpgFor years now, we’ve been hearing about how hot the housing market is. We’ve all seen it. During the great housing bubble of the past few years, economists have been throwing out a whole lot of bull. First, you need to know that existing homes fell 2% during 2006. Here’s a guy who actually gets it, and can explain things in a way that makes sense to the average guy/gal:

Ian Morris, chief economist at HSBC Securities in New York, believes housing sales fell because homes became unaffordable.

You’re damn right houses became unaffordable! Just look at housing prices across the country for the past few years! Its not too hard to see that teachers, cops, and most other middle class folks can’t buy houses in most major US big cities.

“What worries me is that valuations still look very excessive. You know, prices are too high relative to income, relative to rents, relative to interest rates,” he said. “Even though mortgage rates are still pretty low — around six percent for a 30 year fixed rate — that’s not bad at all. But house prices are still so high that it is stretching affordability even with such low rates.” (VOA)

I’m at least glad that Mr. Morris, unlike many of his peers, actually gets it!

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Joshua Dorkin

Joshua Dorkin (@jrdorkin, Google+) founded when he saw a need for free, trustworthy information about real estate investing online. Over the past 12 years, Josh has grown the site from self-funded hobby to full-time job and passion. Today, BiggerPockets brings together over 600,000 members, housing the world’s largest library of real estate content, iTunes’ #1 real estate podcast, and an array of analysis tools, all geared toward helping users succeed.


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