Thursday, October 14
Thursday, October 29
Buyers Sue Trump as Miami’s Condo Prices Plummet? The article published in Bloomberg news on October 16. 2009, by John Gittelshon could not be further away from the truth. Quoting Peter Zalewzky unproductive opinions manipulate the information only to the best of his interest. Zalewzky should not be trusted as an independent, unbiased opinion, what else can you expect from somebody that calls himself a “vulture”? Media manipulation by presenting partial statistics just confuses consumers with doom and gloom news about the real estate market, with the purpose of making the property prices accessible to their own investors. Fortunately these “formulas” from big funds making offers for 30 cents on a Dollar did not work the way they planned. Their famous call for a real estate “Blood Bath” did not happen according to their predictions. Instead, the market is ripe for individual investors, first and second home buyers that can benefit from the price drop or “market correction” that we are experiencing, if only they could be provided with complete information. McCabe’s opinions are also outrageous, for a real estate consultant it makes me wonder who are his clients….? A few years ago McCabe said to the Miami Herald "I think our population growth is about zero right now” and "Who is going to live in these things?”. During the last couple of years, I have read quotes about “Zombies”, “At the Current 2007 sale pace it will take 30 years to sell all the apartments” and “there are over 25,000 apartments unoccupied in Miami”. When in-fact the apartments where not ready to be occupied yet! I can go all day mentioning these quotes, somebody should make a compilation of them with the original author reference, it would be hilarious! Today, the Brickell and Downtown areas that McCabe was referring to, have experienced an amazing growth in population. The MLS reports over 4,500 closed rentals in the Miami – Brickell area since Jan 2009. According to the US Census, there is an average household size of 2.61 in Miami, which means Miami has had over 11,000 new residents move into the city in the past year! You don’t have to be a market analyst to understand that we officially have a new vibrant urban area, with dozens of restaurants, shops offices and an amazing night-life. It is one thing to misquote predictions about the future market, I have to admit I was in denial about the real estate crisis until I experienced it. But, you can not close your eyes with today’s facts. Today, in the above mentioned article McCabe quotes “If you’re thinking you can come here and buy and sell condos for a profit in less than five years, you’re sadly mistaken,” and that “you better wait 10 years, before the property turns into profit or appreciates”. These quotes, in my opinion are irresponsible and cannot be further away from the truth. Thousands of new buyers, Realtors and - why not – Small Investors are profiting from this market and they will continue to do so as the real estate infrastructure continues to solidify and populate. The truth is that nobody is buying at the original pre-construction prices. Although developers had delivered the buildings, as promised, the whole real estate crisis began when people who had placed deposits into new developments did not close, technically bankrupting the developers. However, I do not blame them, I would not have closed at those prices either. Currently, the Miami market place is the best opportunity to make money, I represent clients who are buying property at 50 and 60 percent of the LOAN value. For years we have been hearing McCabe and Zalewzky misinform the consumers, but it is time that the consumers as a whole start hearing the real “market pulse” of other real estate professionals, that are active in the marketplace and provide unbiased information. That way, rather than a few individuals profiting from this marketplace, we can spread the wealth to all consumers that wanted a city like the one we have right now, and dreamed of accessible and realistic property prices. Whether you are buying a Miami residence to live, rent, or as Vacation buyers, everybody is welcome.Thursday, October 29
MIAMI IS FOR SALE, ONE BUILDING AT A TIME! Artech, a state-of-the-art new development in Aventura whose architecture resembles the shape of a luxury cruise ship, is following the $200 per Square Foot building sell-out trend that started with the Brickell developments such as Brickell on the River, Mynt, 500 Brickell, Ivy,etc. whose prices were also drastically reduced to be sold-out almost overnight.Thursday, October 29
IF YOU LOST MONEY IN THE REAL ESTATE MARKET
Where are really my deposits? How do I get them back?
How to profit from a group purchase approach.
If you made a commitment to purchase a property in pre-construction and you put down a deposit and did not go to the closing, technically you have bankrupted the Developer. The perception is that Developers, have big egos, are greedy and pushy, however there are some Developers that did deliver what they promised they would deliver. The market changed and affected every one of us the same. Most Developers, not only are not making money, they are already bankrupted or in reorganization and they can not reduce the property prices below what they owe to the bank.
Which brings us to our next point “When the Bank loses money you win.” The approach to negotiating with the bank has a lot to do with timing. Remember banks are not in the Real Estate business. Banks are in the money business and they do not want to lose more money by holding Real Estate for too long, since they prefer the cash to reinvest it, even if they have to take a big cut or a big loss. However with the same token they are not going to go down without a fight. They will try several approaches to get the most amount of people to purchase at higher prices and as they fail to attract enough buyers to come to close, they will gradually reduce their prices. When this happens, a big opportunity is created and individual buyers that put their deposits into these buildings at pre-construction can not compete with bigger investors that come to buy in bulk the whole property at a fraction of the price. These powerful investors are competing as we speak for a chance to make it big and get the next big deal.
So how can a single buyer win in these scenarios? One solution is to “mix and match” and group people together that share common interests such as type of property, place of residence, rental property vs. primary residence etc. The only problem is that grouping more that two individuals will not work in any given building. The reason is that the Developer is already holding and in most cases has spent your money, so it is better for them to keep four buyer’s deposits than to give one apartment away in exchange. However, groups of up to two people have been proven to work in some case-scenarios.
A second option is to acquire negotiation leverage by grouping buyers for individual purchases. This can be very effective. Grouping together Real Estate packages rather than people is the most accepted way in which the bank and the courts will make a quick decision in favor of the purchaser. In this case purchasers will be competing with sophisticated investors for the building. In my opinion, the original purchasers that defaulted and are having problems getting the money back from the Developers, should have the first right of refusal when making an offer in court. This initiative can be organized building by building (at least in the remaining buildings). If you purchased a property at $600-$800 per Sq.Ft. and today you can buy it for $400-$500 per Sq.Ft., you might be able to get away with $200-$300 per Sq.Ft., depending of course on the quality and location of the building. But pay attention this can not be accomplished by individual efforts.
Lets face it, you may not get your deposits back, you may only get a fraction of them or you may get this fraction in a year or two. But if you can acquire a property at half of the price that you originally purchased it for, is it worth more than the deposit that you originally put in place. So what are you going to do? Sit a year or two waiting for that fraction of your deposits and watch your cash depreciate? Or close at the right price and for the next five years sit on a Real Estate investment that will certainly appreciate.
Thursday, March 26
Thursday, October 30
I hear the same line of question from clients and Real Estate agents. The one that catches my attention the most is "Should I buy now or wait until the prices drop more?
"The answer is simple, if you find a great property with the right location and price and you have the means to buy it, go ahead and start enjoying it now. Exclusive and Unique properties in prime oceanfront areas are limited. Such a rare commodity that is available today might not be available tomorrow. Of course you may argue that there may be others in the future, but if you found "the one" and the price is right, then what are you waiting for?
There are not going to be so many properties that you will fall in love with. So, if you have already spent your time and effort to find the perfect property for you and your family, my advice is to act now.
If you wait, the market could suddenly turn around. It's a simple law of supply and demand, just like the price of gasoline!
Real Estate is highly fragmented, I cannot speak for every area, but I firmly believe that the prices of luxury oceanfront properties in South Florida have bottomed-out. This is my area of expertise, I am constantly analyzing and visiting properties in this area, getting input from hundreds of clients and real estate professionals on a 24/7 basis regarding the market conditions. This makes me a little more knowledgeable than your Attorney in Chicago, your Accountant in Wichita or your Swiss Banker. It seems to me, that some people are waiting for a subliminal sign or an official New York Times announcement that the market "has bottomed-out".
Meanwhile, at this very moment, shrewd investors are cherry-picking the best properties available. There are very good opportunities out there. Today's Real Estate marketplace is like a giant buffet ready to be eaten. So what are you going to do? Be first in line and get the lobster? Or wait, be second-in-line and get the leftovers?
Contact me now for a complete analysis of the best opportunities in prime South Florida's oceanfront locations.
Gustavo Farfan