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Residential Real Estate Agent · California


I'm putting my first offer on an investment property ever. This is a duplex currently listed for $149,900. Took a look at one unit today and it appeared to be in great shape. The other was not available. Based on my assessment, I believe it requires very minor touch up (Less than $100). This is a duplex with 2/1 on each side. Each unit is currently occupied by sisters with teenage daughters and rents at $750 each. Rents have been the same since 2 years ago. I used rentometer and it returned a median rent at $995. Both tenants would love to stay after purchase. One currently on month to month lease and the other is wanting to renew a yearly.

Gross Rents = 1500
NOI = 750

My offer would be $130,000 ... here we go

Monthly expenses:
Taxes = 109
Insurance = 113
Water/Sewer = 100 (tenants take care of (very small) lawn in lieu of seller paying water)
*Management = 100 (paid to me)
*Maintenance = 150
*Vacancy (10%) = 150
*Total expenses = 722

* my estimates

I asked an appraiser to do a look up for me and he will get back to me on Monday. The contract would be contingent upon partners approval, financing, appraisal and buyer to approve of second unit. Realtor says second unit is nicer and cleaner than the one I saw. I included info from the county appraisers office:

2007 Value
Comparable Sales value based on sales from 2005-2006: $148,100
F.S. 553.844 Just/Market Value: $122,700
Assessed Value/ SOH Cap: $122,700
History Taxable Value: $122,700

online value tools:
Realquest says 147,000
realestateabc says 209,000

Any help, advice, suggestions would greatly be appreciated.

PM_Broker


Real Estate Investor · Denver, Colorado


I find rentometer to be on the high side. So, basing your assessment on the existing rent is a good idea.

Be sure you actually do see the other unit before you make an offer, or make the offer contingent on seeing the unit.

Get the tenants to pay the water AND take care of the yard.

I calculate P&I at $864. So, at that, its just about break even with you managing it yourself for free. Your call if you think that's acceptable.

Small_flying-phoenixJon Holdman, Flying Phoenix LLC


Real Estate Investor · Atlanta, Georgia


Originally posted by "Wheatie"

I calculate P&I at $864. So, at that, its just about break even with you managing it yourself for free. Your call if you think that's acceptable.

That $864 appears to assume 0% down payment and 7% interest rate amortized over 30 years.

Assuming that's the case, Wheatie is right that you're breaking even, despite your " management fee" included in your expenses...

If one of those assumptions is incorrect (perhaps you're planning to make a down payment or would be getting an interest rate better than 7%), your cash flow may be higher. For example, with 20% down and a 6.25% interest rate, your P&I would be $640, so you'd be cash flowing about $140/month.

What's your plan?


Residential Real Estate Agent · California


Wheatie,

Thanks for your reply. The reason I included a breakdown of the expenses is to show that there is a little room to make profit. Am I correct to assume a 10% vacancy when these renters have been in place for over a year and show interest in continuing to stay or can that be reduced to make room for profit? Plus if I ask the tenants to pay water and do the lawn wouldn't that jeopardize my occupancy rate? Are my maintenance estimates high? Are you basing your calculations on the 50% rule? If this is based on the 50% rule then I don't think this is a wise investment. But if I can somehow use the real numbers then I think this may be a decent deal. Should I lower my offer to reflect a $100 per door cash flow based on the 50% rule?

Also, I am putting this offer with an " and or assigns" clause. Just in case my due diligence returns an unfavorable profit margin for me I can wholesale it. If I can get the deal at $130,000 my plan is to take on a partner (out of state family member) who will inject the down payment and I will manage the property for them locally. Which means I need this to cash flow with the management fee included. My other option is to wholesale it for a couple grand profit. What do you think? How can I make this into a deal?

PM_Broker


Residential Real Estate Agent · California


Jason,

I hope my previous post outlined my plan. I think my partner would put 30% down and based on current rates we'd be in the high 6's for an investment property. I've included that breakdown below:

Term 30 Years Fixed
Interest rate: 6.750%
Loan amount: $ 91,000.00
Monthly payment: $ 590.22 a month

Gross Rents = 1500
NOI = 750
MTG = 590

$160 Cash flow per month

Is this right?

PM_Broker


Real Estate Investor · Ohio


Monthly expenses:
Taxes = 109
Insurance = 113
Water/Sewer = 100 (tenants take care of (very small) lawn in lieu of seller paying water)
*Management = 100 (paid to me)
*Maintenance = 150
*Vacancy (10%) = 150
*Total expenses = 722

You left out a bunch of expenses. For example, damage done by tenants in excess of the security deposit, legal fees, evictions, capital expenses, advertising, etc, etc, etc. So, if the numbers above are correct, your actual operating expenses may be ABOVE 50% of the gross rents.

Just for the purposes of evaluation, let's assume that the operating expense will be 50% of gross rents. Here's how I see this deal:

Gross Rents: $1,500
Operating Expenses: $750
NOI: $750

Mortgage Payment ($130K, 30 yr, 7% NOO): $865

Monthly Cash Flow: $115 LOSS (OUCH!)

In my opinion, this is a TERRIBLE deal and I wouldn't do it. The purpose of running a business is to make money - not lose money. How will you make money on this deal? Even if you use a down payment, that money isn't free and the opportunity cost should be accounted for.

The reason I included a breakdown of the expenses is to show that there is a little room to make profit.

You're 100% right! There is NO PROFIT and as I explained above, you didn't even include all the expenses.

Mike


Residential Real Estate Agent · California


Thanks Mike for your input.

I'm quickly starting to see how this is not a deal I thought it was.

Mike, do you use percentages for the expenses you listed (expenses I left out) to evaluate your deals?

Thanks again for your help.


Real Estate Investor · Ohio


Mike, do you use percentages for the expenses you listed (expenses I left out) to evaluate your deals?

No, I don't try to break down individual expenses because it is just about pointless. How many evictions will you have in this duplex this year? Will one of the tenants file a lawsuit against you? Will one of the tenants get mad at you when you won't allow them to pay the rent late and do a lot of damage to your rental? Will the coming economic downturn cause a lot of excess supply in the rental business (due to distressed homeowners renting their houses) and cause vacancy rates to increase? Will a downturn in the economy cause people to lose their jobs and evictions to rise? What numbers will you put on these very real expenses?

I use the 50% rule and understand that over time and a number of rentals, the operating expenses will come out to about 50% of gross rents.

Mike


Residential Real Estate Agent · California


Mike, Very Good Stuff! I understand your point and it makes perfect sense. I am still learning and I'm taking in everyone input.

I'm sorry I keep stretching this but I still have a couple more questions. See if you agree ... If this is acquired through financing, I would skip the first months mtg payment and therefore the first months profits can be added into my yearly profits or towards expenses.

Second question is do you factor in the closing costs as an expense?

Oh ... one more question ... Am I allowed to talk to the current tenants about their current lease, how they pay, payment habit, etc? Another option is that I can possibly increase rents to make this a cash flowing property.

Based on what I have learned here ... I would say that I need to acquire this property at $80K then I could expect to cash flow $100 per door. Right?

Thanks for all your help guys .... I am slowly learning and soon I will get my hands on a good cash flowing property.


Real Estate Investor · Denver, Colorado


Not only can you talk to the current tenants, you should get an " estoppel letter" from them that reiterates the terms of their current leases. That avoids a situation where there is a written lease in place, but a verbal deal that's different and the tenants expect you to honor the verbal deal.

Given a chance, I always try to talk to the tenants about the place. Helps you get a feel for them, too.

Closing costs, plus anything you have to spend to get it rentable go into the acquisition cost. I would throw those in with the purchase price when evaluating a deal.

Also, if you are putting in down payments, you're cheating yourself if you say " at 100% financing, its not a deal. But if I put in 30% down, I get $100/mo cash flow and it is a deal." No, you're just putting in the down payment and getting a return on that. Assume 100% down and be sure its a deal. Or, do a " cash on cash" calculation to see what return you getting on your investment.

Small_flying-phoenixJon Holdman, Flying Phoenix LLC


Real Estate Investor · Atlanta, Georgia


A few more random thoughts from all these posts:

- Instead of just getting an " or assigns" clause in the contract, why not put in a contingency along the lines of, " If due diligence indicates that the investment return on the property is inadequate, buyer can back out of the deal?" This way you can back out if the numbers don't work *and* you can't get another buyer

- With a 30% downpayment (as you indicated), the place does look like it will cash flow about $160/month. The problem here is the following:

A 30% downpayment is $39,000 (plus there's closing costs, but we'll ignore those for now). You'll be cash flowing $160/month or $1920/yr. Your cash-on-cash return (your annual return on your cash outlay) will be 1920/39000 = 4.92%.

A high interest savings account will generate 4%...and that's a much safer and easier investment! My point is, even with cash flow, it's not a great investment

- It's very difficult to estimate things like maintenance, turnover expenses, eviction fee, etc. The 50% rule is good, and the nice thing is, if you do a great job of managing the property, and come in under 50%, you'll be pleasantly surprised at the end of the year. This is much better than making aggressive assumptions, and then making less than you thought

- In terms of vacancy, this is going to be highly location/property dependent. For example, if there are 10 other houses for rent on that street, you're going to have to be the cheapest (and also one of the best) to keep vacancy down. If your property is a 3/1 and the one for rent next door is a 3/2 at a comparable price, people are going to want that extra bathroom. To find out vacancy rates in your area, talk to property managers, other investors, etc. Also, get to know the area and see how long those For Rent signs tend to stay out given the rental prices being asked


Real Estate Investor · Ohio


I'm sorry I keep stretching this but I still have a couple more questions. See if you agree ... If this is acquired through financing, I would skip the first months mtg payment and therefore the first months profits can be added into my yearly profits or towards expenses.

Yes, you can do that. However, just don't delude yourself that it changes the character of the deal. If you're successful, you won't just own this property for just one year and next year you certainly won't be skipping a mortgage payment. Personally, I wouldn't allow that to enter into my cash flow analysis.

Not only can you talk to the current tenants, you should get an " estoppel letter" from them that reiterates the terms of their current leases.

I agree 100% with Wheatie about the estoppel letter, however I do the estoppel letter a little differently. I make the previous owner sign an estoppel letter on the theory that the owner will have something to go after as opposed to the tenants who usually don't. You might even want to have both the tenants AND the owner sign an estoppel letter. Of course, you MUST also get a copy of the leases from the previous owner because you are buying those leases and their terms. I always do a criminal background and eviction check on the tenants before I buy to see who I'm getting.

Good Luck,

Mike


Residential Real Estate Agent · California


Thank you guys very much for your help. I am going to back out of the contract if it is accepted. I doubt they will accept the offer the way it is.

I think I need to keep learning and studying but most importantly LOOK at more properties. This is the 5th place I looked at and put in the offer because the last two places I waited too long to act. This duplex has been on the MLS for less than 3 days.

I'll use the 50% rule as my foundation and work from there.

Thanks again Wheatie, Mike and Jason!


Property Manager


Hi Wheatie.
My 1st deal that I closed was a 7 unit Building for 155,000 and after exp is bring in a cash flow of 1,300.00. I also put a good Excel spread sheets that calculates your risk and shows you the bottom line. I am located in Ohio and I am working with a seller on negotiating on price on a 10 unit building in the ball park of 200k and a ruff guess of 50k in repairs needed. (What I do as well as manage the property. I am in Ohio.

[EDITED BY MODERATOR - Solicitation aspects removed]


Real Estate Investor · Denver, Colorado


$250K all in for a 10 unit building. $25,000/unit. Assuming rents are $500/unit or better, that seems like a pretty good deal. What kind of rents are you expecting?

Small_flying-phoenixJon Holdman, Flying Phoenix LLC


Property Manager


The Repairs are most like less than 50k. I just like to over guess to be on the safe side. Believe it or not I use to live across the street from this place and I was renting at 500$ a month 3 years ago before I bought my house. Also Next year the place I am talking about will be the #1 spot for employment allot companies are building up around the area so that is good news. I am new to the Real-estate aspect but not new to make deals and working with companies. My 8-5 job is a Business Coordinator For Verizon Wireless. About the last remark I was not trying to sell anything so if I came across that way, I apologize.


Real Estate Investor · AZ


PM Broker,
If you are in a part of the country where sale prices roses farther than rents, it is hard to get big ROI even with 20-30% down. Our Phoenix market is like that too. But you still have someone paying for your asset for you and (hopefully) the property will appreciate over time. Two things you don't get with a savings account.

Two long term tenants in place who have taken care of the place and want to stay. Sweet! If they like you they may stay a long time. Don't make them pay for water if it has a yard they won't water as much on their dime as on yours. You want the property to look nice.

All these other potential costs to factor in (like extra damage, eviction, lawsuits, etc) don't have to apply to every property or every landlord. In the buyer's market most of Florida is, you may be able to make a deal that works.
More units, triplex or 4plex might cash flow a little better, but for a first property this duplex sounds good. I don't hate it.
Good luck!


Residential Real Estate Agent · California


Thank you all for your replies.

I have decided not to pursue this property as my appraiser told me it may be only worth $100k based on recent sales for similar properties. I have asked my Realtor to propose that the seller reduce her price due to the value of the property likely to return $50k difference in asking price and market value. The seller is reluctant to lower the sale price to less than $145k. According to the sellers Realtor, this is not a distressed sale. I believe it is - why would anyone want to sell in a down market especially if she has both units rented out?

I will wait a couple of months and try to present another offer if the property is still available.


Real Estate Investor · Ohio


I believe it is - why would anyone want to sell in a down market especially if she has both units rented out?

Because they are losing money on the property and the tenants are making their life a living hell. That causes a LOT of landlords to sell.

Mike


Real Estate Investor · Indiana, Indiana


What Mike said, plus....there are crazy deals in the SFR market right now that I just haven't been able to find in the multi market. I'm trying to sell my multi now at about 70fmv to reinvest in multiple SFRs.


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