DOM and Price for Homes Flooded Multiple Times

DOM and Price for Homes Flooded Multiple Times

Houston, TX · Member since 2014 · 50 posts · 20 votes

Everyone knows the market right now is, um, indundated with homes damaged by Harvey. Lots of neighborhoods also took on water during Tax Day, Memorial Day, Ike, Allison etc etc etc....obviously Houston is no stranger to flooding. 

I know its very case dependent, but does anyone have any feedback/experiences/opinions with flipping or reselling homes that have flooded more than once? How has it affected DOM? Price? Other considerations? These day, I feel like a house that just got hit during Harvey doesn't affect buyers nearly as much as homes that have taken on water multiple times. 

My interest, obviously, is looking at a potential flip that has flooded twice and trying to gauge how to account for the impact of flooding in my analysis. FWIW, the events were 1" on Tax Day and 5" during Harvey. Moreover, I'm thinking a general discussion on the topic could be a resource for this ever-so-soggy investing community.

I have some experience, my previous home was located in oft-flooded Bear Creek neighborhood. It flooded in Tax Day and a few of my neighbors sold roughly 6 months after the flood. The neighborhood was in decent shape by that point and the homes were remodeled. In both cases, the sellers got near asking (0-5% less) but did have DOM of 30-45. Lots of lookers, many viewings, but many buyers that were scared away when they learned the house had flooded. After Harvey, most of my neighbors (including myself) sold As-is to investors but the neighborhood has been much slower coming back and many of those flips aren't completed yet, so I don't have a lot of info on how the market is rebounding this time. Again, FWIW, many of the investment offers came from international interests and/or through a local representative negotiating for international buyers.  

Cheers!

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  • Investor · Cypress, TX · Member since 2016 · 170 posts · 139 votes
    8y

    http://www.harriscountyfemt.org/

    We like this tool. 100 year flood zone Red light, 500 year flood zone Green light [with flood insurance]. We do mostly buy and holds. 

  • Rental Property Investor · Houston, TX · Member since 2015 · 117 posts · 55 votes
    8y

    @Travis White - We have multiple flood properties in different stages of getting rehabbed. We sold 2 properties recently which were 1st time Harvey floods close to 90%of Pre Harvey comps because they had been nicely upgraded. Properties are going to sit a lot longer if most of the neighborhood got flooded versus a small section.

  • Houston, TX · Member since 2014 · 50 posts · 20 votes
    8y

    @Brian Foster - that's fantastic link, thank you so much!

    @Sammy G. - thanks for sharing your experience. It sounds like there's still the ability to do a deal, just gotta be a little more careful. 

  • Jodi GauthierBusiness Member
    Real Estate Broker · Houston, TX · Member since 2016 · 87 posts · 47 votes
    8y

    I've sold two first time floods. One sold at 100% pre Harvey ARV and the other sold for 10k over what it was appraised at day before Harvey hit. I don't have experience with homes that have flooded multiple times and I've heard numbers ranging from 7-30% reduction of pre Harvey value in some areas such as Meyer land, Jersey Village, etc.

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