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Forums » Real Estate Deal Analysis and Advice » need somemore great advice

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Real Estate Investor · Bradenton, Florida


I don't want to keep bothering you guys but: Can you help with your thoughts som background. Property 10 plex purchase price
3yrs ago $ 1,995,000 on the market 2009 for $ 1,449,000 partners want out ( break up ) I asked if the loan is assumable lender says yes must quilifie. To assume the loan balance $ 927,285.00 rate
of 6.95% 2yr loan amortized 23yrs. Ok here is what I know annual
gross inc. 100% rented $ 107640,000 5 % vac.and collections
$ 5,382 other n/a taxes annual $18,000,insurance $6,483,
management $ 5,382, annual maintenance $ 10,716, utilities
$ 2,490,miscellaneous pool & sces $3,298.Oper. Exp.= $ 46,369
Net oper income=$ 61,271. I'm useing $ 200 pr/dr replacement.
When I did my work sheet I used $ 950,000 assum by 7% for 30yrs I got $ 34,000 annual dept +/-. Now the monthly rent collected comes to $ 8,790 the monthly expen come to $ 3,415.50
this does not include dept service. Now the cap rate is in the bucket 5% and the way I figure the property's value is less than what is owed I would say $ 700,000 I really think they are feeding the dragon. I believe that is all my question is to you is I want your thoughts and wise advice.I thank you in advance and I need your help yesterday. Thanks again I appreciate all your help !!!


Real Estate Investor · Denver, Colorado


This is seriously overpriced. You need to find a better deal. There's no way you're going to get this one for a decent price unless these guys are really, really desparate.

Here's my analysis. Its a bit hard to follow what you wrote, so please excuse me if I've read something incorrectly.
Annual gross scheduled rent: $107,640
Monthly rent: $8970
Average monthly rent: $897
Expenses, vacancy, capital: $4485 (50% rule)
NOI: $4485
Desired cash flow: $1000 ($100 per unit)
Max payment: $3485
Max price: $523,821 (30 year, 7%)

I think 30 year amortization and 7% is better than you're likely to get, but you'll also need a down payment.

If we use your $700K value, assume 30% down payment and 7%, 20 year amortization, I get:
Cash required: $210K
Loan: $490K
Payment: $3798
Cash flow: $684 per month
Cash flow: $8232 per year
Cash on cash return: 4%

Yuck!!!

At $524K, your cash on cash with a 30% down payment is 12.5%, which is a lot better, but still not exactly stellar.

Clearly, if someone paid two million for these they are losing money hand over fist.

Small_flying-phoenixJon Holdman, Flying Phoenix LLC


Real Estate Investor · Chemnitz, Saxonia


Frank, its the same object from last topic?

First: don´t take only 5% vac., 10% is the better way, for my calc I take even 15%.
Secondly: Go to http://www.a-l-a-g.com/realestate/clear.xls and fill out this excel file, then you have a better insight.
Thirdly: If you have a better insight then you see this deal is not so good for this price. My opinion.

-Uwe

P.S.: Jon was faster^^.


Real Estate Investor · Bradenton, Florida


Thanks Guys: I really appreciate all your thoughts. Problem where I'm located on The sun coast caps average 6/7%. You see I deal mainly with brokers and most of these units are owned by llc's they will not even call and say no. I keep an eye on the loopnet,and 2 other sites. Everyone I talk to want big cash which I don't have that is why I'm trying to do this creatively. Well that is enough wineing I want to thank the both of you for your advice. Thanks again and have a great wk/nd !!!


Real Estate Investor · Chemnitz, Saxonia


Frank,

Whats your maximal distance from you to a potential propertie? It gives some distressed Florida Apartment Buildings, is a Apartment Building with 40% may be 60% occupancy attractive for you?

-Uwe


Real Estate Investor · Bradenton, Florida


Hi Uwe: Yes in answer to your question
I'm retired auto worker I'm trying to do this with very little if any money out of my pocket. Distance 30 miles don't want
out of state not interested. 40/60% as long as it can turn around I'm ok with that as long as not in battle and drug zones. Thanks for asking and haqve a great wk !!


Real Estate Investor · Bradenton, Florida


Hi Jon: Just to keep you in the pipe line
the deal you analysed for me above.I e-mailed the agent I'm sure what might be going on is they are up-side down on their note if this is the fact I'm going to try a shot sale with the lender. They are very very motivated.They wanted to try and go for the gold that is why the property is way over priced. She admitted that to me. Let you know what happens I'm going to contact the bank. Thanks again for your grat advice !!


Real Estate Investor · Denver, Colorado


If that's going to turn into a short sale, you're going to need financing. Commercial financing and little cash out of pocket don't really go together.

Small_flying-phoenixJon Holdman, Flying Phoenix LLC


Real Estate Investor · Chemnitz, Saxonia


Frank,

With very little out of your pocket is an elastic term. Many a person means $5k and other means $500k, depending on his pocket ;).

Lets say: I saw now your $1,449m deal with an $927k assumable mortgage, that is $500k cash out of your pocket, price negotiable that much is clear. Is this the money what you can bring in a deal, then you should buy a propertie in cash for approx $500k. In your area gives many 10-12 units in this price range, distressed properties too. Please don´t answer what you will bring in a deal.

A propertie free of debt is the best. If you don´t have this money and you have really little money, then seek for a lease / rent to own propertie, it gives some in the Tampa area, but don´t begin with an multi million propertie.

-Uwe


Real Estate Investor · Bradenton, Florida


Thanks again guys for your advice I will let you know what happened. Thanks !!


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