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When The Next Real Estate Downturn Starts

Monday, May 15

"There are two kinds of forecasters: those who don’t know, and those who don’t know they don’t know." ― John Kenneth GalbraithSpoiler Alert: No one knows when or how deep the next downturn is. If you think you know, see part B of the Galbraith quote above (If you do actually know we should talk)....


Does a Hypersupply of Apartments Spell Real Estate Disaster Charts

Monday, July 13

These charts are related to my comment on the "Do Sky-High Rents & a Hypersupply of Apartments Spell Real Estate Disaster?" post here: http://www.biggerpockets.com/renewsblog/2015/07/11/high-rent-hypersupply-apartments  Thanks to Bill McBride over at Calculated Risk Blog for the great charts ...


How to use your breath and Wonder Woman to perform amazing feats.

Wednesday, July 01

My lunchtime reading today was this article in the Harvard Business Review: Breathing Is the Key to Persuasive Public Speaking The author, a former opera singer explains how to give your voice that little something extra which listeners hear as confidence and charisma. A couple very simple things...


1 pager: Seattle, a CRE market on fire

Tuesday, May 12

If you're a multifamily, office or tech investor you've been hearing a lot about Seattle lately. Both apartments and office buildings are filling up with tech people in Seattle as quickly as developers can get them built. Maybe you're back East or in the South and wondering why anyone cares about...


How Long Can Apartment Cap Rates Stay This Low?

Wednesday, April 29

@Sean S. started a great thread warning about overpaying for real estate assets which included comments about the apartment market cycle. Because of what the Fed has (and hadn't) been doing to the economy I believe that the peak in this cycle could go on 'for an extended period' to use the Fedspe...


Spoiler Alert, The Answer Is 9: Understanding Cap Rates

Wednesday, April 22

Brad Thomas over at Forbes relates a great story about Bob Ellis, a Harvard professor who began his RE MBA courses with a big reveal: "The answer to the final exam will be nine”.Ellis would go on to explain that he would be teaching the students about real estate over the next few weeks and at so...