You're a Realtor, You Must Be Super Busy Right Now

You're a Realtor, You Must Be Super Busy Right Now

Real Estate Agent · Hackensack, NJ · Member since 2014 · 321 posts · 412 votes

It's all over the news, real estate prices are jumping up. All the residents of New York City are escaping and moving to New Jersey. Homes are selling fast. So recently and often, my friends say to me, "you must be super busy right now". I wish I could say I was super busy juggling a ton of listings, writing up contracts for buyers, and closing deals left & right. I'm busy, just not with sales right now. I know this is strange, a Realtor not portraying themself rolling in commission checks and bragging on social media about their latest listings.

For one, I have become mainly an REO agent over the past 4 years. Due to COVID-19, the Bergen County Sheriff's department and throughout New Jersey, have put all foreclosures and evictions on hold. As of this writing, sheriff foreclosure sales have been delayed to at least mid-October 2020. I suspect this is going to get pushed back even further due to government intervention. Foreclosure rates have been way down so far in 2020. It takes a long time to foreclose in New Jersey, so the effects of mortgage forbearances, unemployment, overpaying in a hot market, and homeowners cashing  out all their equity will take a few years to show up on county sheriff's foreclosure dockets.

Another reason are sales are actually way down. Let's check out the statistics (from the New Jersey MLS). These are the stats from 2019 to June 2020 in Bergen County:

Total single family sales are down 12% (3126 sales down to 2,749)

Total 2-4 family sales are down 28%(!) (347 sales down to 249)

Total condo sales are down 28%(!) (1205 to 868)

The large decline in total sales is due to the lack of available inventory and that in part is helping to drive up prices. Simple lack of supply leads to increase in price. Mortgage rates are also very low. More Bergen County stats:

Average single family home price has increased by 12%.

Average 2-4 family home price has increased by 11%.

Average condo home price has increased by 4%.

Yes I am busy, but it's with lead generation. Contacting my database, writing blog articles, posting on LinkedIn, posting on social media, driving for dollars, creating direct mail to send to homeowners in default, and valuations. All dedicated to getting new listings, because there is an overabundance of buyers, but not enough homes to meet the demand.

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  • New to Real Estate · Butler, NJ · Member since 2017 · 8 posts · 2 votes
    6y

    Thanks for sharing all of this information Kevin. This jives with what I've been seeing in looking for a SFH for myself in the Butler/Bloomingdale/Kinnelon area. Houses are going over asking prices in mere days. The multi-family space in Hawthorne is seeking highest and best offers within 5 days. I've had to remind my wife and myself that we'll purchase a home when the dollar amount makes sense. We'll keep writing offers, and I'm sure we'll keep getting beat out.

    With foreclosures and evictions on what now seems an indefinite hold, what does that say about the market? When foreclosures can finally be executed, will there be a glut of REO properties for sale? Will this drive prices down?

    In the inflationary environment we seem to be getting in to, would purchasing a home 10% over asking price be a wise choice if this wave continues, or if we see inflation rise significantly?

    I'm not stuck in Analysis Paralysis, because we've been writing offers frequently - but at what point do you accept the change in your mental calculus to increase your budget?

  • Real Estate Agent · Hackensack, NJ · Member since 2014 · 321 posts · 412 votes
    6y

    @Joshua Moyer the numbers have to make sense for you. If you plan on being in the house for awhile and love the house, pull the trigger. Just don't buy for the sake of buying. Realize you'll probably need to ride out the real estate cycles and have to wait until another hot market to sell. My friend sold his house in Butler in a day. 2 families everywhere are going fast (if priced properly). 

  • Peter TverdovBusiness Member
    Developer · New Brunswick, NJ · Member since 2015 · 1k+ posts · 2k+ votes
    6y
    Originally posted by @Joshua Moyer:

    Thanks for sharing all of this information Kevin. This jives with what I've been seeing in looking for a SFH for myself in the Butler/Bloomingdale/Kinnelon area. Houses are going over asking prices in mere days. The multi-family space in Hawthorne is seeking highest and best offers within 5 days. I've had to remind my wife and myself that we'll purchase a home when the dollar amount makes sense. We'll keep writing offers, and I'm sure we'll keep getting beat out.

    With foreclosures and evictions on what now seems an indefinite hold, what does that say about the market? When foreclosures can finally be executed, will there be a glut of REO properties for sale? Will this drive prices down?

    In the inflationary environment we seem to be getting in to, would purchasing a home 10% over asking price be a wise choice if this wave continues, or if we see inflation rise significantly?

    I'm not stuck in Analysis Paralysis, because we've been writing offers frequently - but at what point do you accept the change in your mental calculus to increase your budget?

     I know someone who is thinking of selling their 3 bedroom in Haskel. That's in the same area, I think he was thinking 300k. DM me if you're interested, he's been thinking about it.

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