Are Higher Rates Finally Slowing the Market, or Is Demand Still Holding Strong?

Are Higher Rates Finally Slowing the Market, or Is Demand Still Holding Strong?

Dale BeckerPro Member
Member since 2026 · 29 posts · 6 votes

I’ve been paying close attention to the latest housing data, and one thing stands out: even with higher mortgage rates and affordability pressure, the market still seems to have some staying power.

Pending home sales have shown that buyers are still active, even if they’re moving more cautiously. At the same time, inventory, pricing trends, and rate changes are all playing a big role in how fast deals are moving and what buyers are willing to pay.

From an investor’s perspective, this raises an important question: are we finally seeing the market cool off, or are we simply shifting into a more balanced environment where buyers and sellers have to be more strategic?

For those actively investing, I think this is a good time to pay attention to:

  • Inventory levels.
  • Days on market.
  • Price reductions.
  • Buyer demand in your local area.
  • How lending conditions are affecting deal flow.

I’d be interested to hear what others are seeing in their markets. Are you noticing slower activity, stronger demand, or just a shift in buyer behavior?

1Reply
82 views

3 Replies

Jump to latestLatest
  • Jaron WallingPro Member
    Rental Property Investor · Indianapolis, IN · Member since 2018 · 4k+ posts · 4k+ votes
    2mo

    @Dale Becker That data shows a pop in buyer demand but in my opinion the demand is short lived and coming from two groups of people. That's not a healthy market. 

    1. Upper class looking to upgrade or move into a new market. I've met numerous transplants who moved to my market from California and Texas. The cost of living is lower which allows them to maximize retirement and get debt free in one swoop. As local buyer/investor I would never pay the prices they deem as "cheap". 

    2. People who can't afford a house but buy one anyways. This category scares me. 

    The middle class is hardly buying houses. These people are renting. Some are sacrificing for the future but others can't save a dime. Perfect example is the house that's for sale across the street from us. It's priced good but it's not selling because it's a 3/1. Nobody in the upper class wants a one bathroom house. At the current list price nobody from the middle or lower class can afford it so it's stuck.

    As long as this political environment continues and the hyper wealth stays towards the top I don't see much change to buyer demand. 

    • Dale BeckerPro Member
      OP
      Member since 2026 · 29 posts · 6 votes
      2mo
      Quote from @Jaron Walling:

      @Dale Becker That data shows a pop in buyer demand but in my opinion the demand is short lived and coming from two groups of people. That's not a healthy market. 

      1. Upper class looking to upgrade or move into a new market. I've met numerous transplants who moved to my market from California and Texas. The cost of living is lower which allows them to maximize retirement and get debt free in one swoop. As local buyer/investor I would never pay the prices they deem as "cheap". 

      2. People who can't afford a house but buy one anyways. This category scares me. 

      The middle class is hardly buying houses. These people are renting. Some are sacrificing for the future but others can't save a dime. Perfect example is the house that's for sale across the street from us. It's priced good but it's not selling because it's a 3/1. Nobody in the upper class wants a one bathroom house. At the current list price nobody from the middle or lower class can afford it so it's stuck.

      As long as this political environment continues and the hyper wealth stays towards the top I don't see much change to buyer demand. 

      I noticed this too, I guess the 1% are the ones actually winning in these kind of situation.
  • Ryan SpathBusiness Member
    Real Estate Agent · Boise, ID · Member since 2017 · 554 posts · 374 votes
    2mo
    Quote from @Dale Becker:

    I’ve been paying close attention to the latest housing data, and one thing stands out: even with higher mortgage rates and affordability pressure, the market still seems to have some staying power.

    Pending home sales have shown that buyers are still active, even if they’re moving more cautiously. At the same time, inventory, pricing trends, and rate changes are all playing a big role in how fast deals are moving and what buyers are willing to pay.

    From an investor’s perspective, this raises an important question: are we finally seeing the market cool off, or are we simply shifting into a more balanced environment where buyers and sellers have to be more strategic?

    For those actively investing, I think this is a good time to pay attention to:

    • Inventory levels.
    • Days on market.
    • Price reductions.
    • Buyer demand in your local area.
    • How lending conditions are affecting deal flow.

    I’d be interested to hear what others are seeing in their markets. Are you noticing slower activity, stronger demand, or just a shift in buyer behavior?




    From what I'm seeing here in the Boise market, it feels less like a cooling market and more like a return to balance. We actually saw inventory pull back for the first time in months last week (1,310 to 1,282 existing homes), but we're still sitting at almost the exact same inventory levels as this time last year. The bigger difference is buyer demand existing-home pending sales have generally been running stronger than they were in 2025, despite mortgage rates hovering around 6.6%. Well priced resale homes are still going under contract in about 11 days, while new construction is taking much longer, which is why builders continue offering incentives and rate buydowns. Buyers have more negotiating power than they did a year or two ago, but quality homes that are priced correctly are still moving quickly. To me, that's not a weak market it's simply one where strategy and pricing matter much more than they did during the frenzy.
Join the conversationCreate a free account to reply, vote on answers and follow this thread.