“Right now is the absolute BEST time to buy real estate!” - Shark
Wow. Incredible. It was also the best time last year. And the year before. And it’ll be the best time again after the next dip, the next rally, and the next time someone needs a closing fee.
If you’ve scrolled past that exact post today, congratulations, you’re a lead. The people screaming “buy the dip” and “get ahead of the guys controlling the market” aren’t doing it out of the goodness of their hearts. They get paid the moment your pen hits the paper. Whether you’re still solvent in 18 months is your problem.
Let’s meet the folks who are so worried about your financial future:
The Hard Money Lender. Your biggest fan. Rehab blows the budget? House sits empty for six months? Cute. They collected their points and 12% before you picked out a faucet. And if you tap out and foreclose, they get a freshly renovated asset at a discount, paid for with your money and your weekends.
The Wholesaler. Swears the house is worth $250k and graciously offers it to you for $70k. A steal! A gift! So why didn’t they buy it? Funny how the guy sitting on a “life-changing deal” always has an urgent need to hand it to a stranger for a $10,000 assignment fee. He’s not selling you a house. He’s offloading the risk and keeping the check.
The “Mastermind” Guru. Wants you to find “a new circle,” which conveniently starts at $5,000. If the system printed money, why is he selling PDFs? A man flipping 20 houses a month doesn’t have time to host webinars. His real business is selling you a dream about real estate, and business is booming.
Sales volume is near historic lows. Mortgage rates are strangling normal buyers. The sharks are circling, because nothing feeds a shark like a scared, rushed, over-leveraged amateur with a pre-approval letter and a fear of missing out.
Buy if the math works. Buy if you have real cash reserves and the deal cash-flows at today’s ugly rates. If it doesn’t, walk away. That costs you nothing.
But if your whole investment thesis is “a guy on the internet said I’d regret waiting,” the only thing you’re guaranteed to miss out on is your own money.
Everyone yelling “act now” gets paid whether you win or lose. Only one of you has to live with the mortgage.