Higher rates, harder to purchase a home if you are 1st time home buyer and per statistics this is still the main clientele out there, the supply chain issues will start to ease within the next 6 to 12 months. 

I believe the statistical probability is quite high that BP investors/syndicators who connect with an oversees investor is a target of a scam. 

@Christopher Rubio sigh, sometimes I feel like I'm in an endless loop of wash, rinse repeat...It all statistically depends on the Property Class => Tenant Class!

Emanuel, I have to respectfully disagree with your perspective.While operator experience absolutely matters, the neighborhood and price point themselves carry very real, measurable risks that should not be minimized.A $50K house is often located in an area with:• lower income tenant pools• higher turnover rates• higher crime statistics• fewer qualified tenants who can consistently meet screening criteriaThese factors exist regardless of how skilled the operator is.

Interest rates being at historical lows, and knowing that statistically the interest rates would higher at time of refinance, is a obvious knowable risk.

Statistically speaking you have greater odd's of being hit by lightning on the same day your mauled by a bear. 

I went to university for Criminology & Criminal Justice, and this is where I learned the basics of statistical regression.

They periodically aggregate and publish their resulting loan statistics.

Any return of principal- 10% would be a home run in my opinion.But that too seems statistically unlikely.

Statistics do show that houses that sit longer tend to sell for a little less.