Real Estate Agent · Columbus, OH · Member since 2019 · 292 posts · 364 votes
How high do you think the interest rate would go? I am seeing 6.5% for commercial loans right now. What are you seeing? Are you still buying in this environment?
I just closed on a property with a 5.5% rate which was such a hard thing to do after a low 2% I got in the same area, almost same property, exactly a year before.
That being said, I don't plan to let me business/investments slow down because of a rate increase. Instead I just adjust my calculations and continue to make sure the numbers work.
If the numbers work out, I'd rather get the property with the higher interest rate to start cash-flowing today and refi in the future when rates drop than pass up the deal in an attempt to wait for lower rates (which will be who knows when and would make me miss out on a lot of deals in the meantime)
Inventory still remains extremely low so hopefully interest rates going up will slow demand. Either way if its a good deal I think buy. Rates may be higher but the chances of them going down at some point in the intermediate term (3-7 years) is high and refinance then.
Locked with better.com at 5.625% with 1.625 pts. They still make you download all tax returns and such even though they are touted as being "all digital." Quicken did it all for me when I did a refi last yr. Anyway, any tips on where to stash cash-out equity til I find my next rental? I've never taken out a loan only to pay interest on it thats more than I can make in any bank account. This makes me uneasy as I feel like the Maryland market is a good year away from normal pricing for rentals. Asking prices are ridiculous in my area-even for hovels.
I have seen 18% interest before. So while I don't like rising interest rates when I am borrowing, they are not enough to scare me at the moment. To be honest the strong increase in housing prices has been the hardest thing to overcome. I expect interest rates to climb to about 8% before the feds back off unless inflation drops off. I have normally calculated my purchases with also running them at a 2% increase in interest rates. I use 5 year ARMs and 15 or 20 year loans, so I have to be ready for a possible 2% increase. My past loans had a lock of not letting them increase by more than 2%. I noticed recently however that my last few loans have the rate increase capped at % not 2 %, so I am recalculating. While I want to keep buying it has been getting extremely difficult to buy even break even deals. I have had to modify what I am willing to take in risks. I buy properties with more problems than I used to, and I am taking slimmer margins, and I am doing some houses into STRs.
@Harrison Chow- present conventional rates in resedential marketplace are in the 5-6% range .....I wont be suprised to see the rate continue up another 1% fee and settle in the 6-7% range for home loans ....and fyi - there are still many buyers buying in the PNW
I like this graph in the link below that shows the average US mortgage rate since the 1970s. We are still in a really low-rate environment. I think it just feels bad since we're coming off historic lows and got used to crazy low rates.
Under contract right now on a SFH that will be converted to multifamily. My market suddenly had a dozen sub-500k houses (mostly small 1400 sqft or less SFHs, but some have been nicely renovated) show up in the past two weeks and we haven't had a decent looking sub-500k house on the market for the past 2 years (except for some hellholes) Houses staying on the market for a week or more, some selling for asking, one sold for less than asking, prices getting lowered--- non of which has happened for the past couple years. TBH it makes me nervous considering I'm about to buy a $471k house to BRRRR thru a conversion but I keep looking at my spreadsheets and the math. It works and that's what I keep telling myself as I fall asleep at night, haha
@Oliver De Ausen 6.1% is still pretty good! Are you investing in FL only? have you thought about OH? it's a great market to invest in! :)
Funny because all my investments are in OH, So I'm venturing off into new territory with this FL build. I personally don't want to put all my eggs in 1 basket (market)...