Anatomy of a market crash

Anatomy of a market crash

Specialist · Manhattan, NY · Member since 2013 · 116 posts · 192 votes

It's getting increasingly difficult to find positive news for the Real Estate market...or the economy as a whole:

  1. 80% of commercial tenants missed April Rent. May will be worse
  2. 3 million residential mortgages are already in forbearance. Many will fall into foreclosure
  3. Construction sites are quiet as more than 1,000 banks mark construction loans as "past-due". That's more than $100Bn of distressed loans.
  4. Forced sellers in the mortgage market and a risk-off approach to new lending means that only the most well-qualified borrowers will secure new loans.

We are about to enter the best buying opportunity since the great recession. This is the new greater recession

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  • Rental Property Investor · Erie, PA · Member since 2015 · 1k+ posts · 2k+ votes
    6y

    80%? Whaaaaa? Of my family's (we own warehousing together) commercial tenants all have paid April rent. It's primarily trucking and warehousing and so they're still all working as they're considered essential. 

    I can understand how non-essentials aren't paying rent as they're closed down and their income is zero (though some are receiving government money) but for essential businesses all should be paying rent. It would be interesting to have an idea as to what % of commercial is presently not shut down.

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