Huntsville's Historic Price Changes & Housing Affordability

Huntsville's Historic Price Changes & Housing Affordability

Huntsville, AL · Member since 2019 · 7 posts · 8 votes

One of the biggest challenges of investing in rental property is to find markets where the demand from tenants is strong and where home prices have a steady and relatively predictable increase.

To help home buyers and investors forecast the likelihood of future housing price increases Freddie Mac publishes a monthly report of the historic change in home prices for all markets in the U.S. The most recent Freddie Mac House Price Index (FMHPI) report for the Huntsville MSA shows:

- Over the past five years home prices have increased in Huntsville by 40.4%

- Over the past year prices have increased by 14.3%

- Over the last month home prices in Huntsville have increased by 1.1%

    The Housing Affordability Index (HAI) is an indicator that investors can use to help predict the current and future demand for rental property. In general, the less affordable homes are the greater demand there is for rental property.

    However, in addition to price, factors such as demographics, lifestyle choices and available inventory also influence the demand for rental property. That helps to explain why in markets such as Huntsville where housing is relatively affordable, there are still a large percentage of renter-occupied households.

    The Alabama Housing Affordability Index (AHAI) from the Alabama Center for Real Estate uses 100 as a baseline affordability index number. The greater a market’s HAI is above 100, the more affordable a market is, everything else being equal.

    Based on the most recent AHAI report, the HAI for the Huntsville MSA was 208.0 in the third quarter of 2020. This means that families here have a little more than twice the median income needed to purchase a median priced, single-family resale home in the Huntsville metro area.

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    • Rental Property Investor · Madison, AL · Member since 2019 · 487 posts · 658 votes
      5y

      @Dennis N.

      Great insight into the Huntsville, AL market! as the AHAI is over double the national average, do you see a demand in rentals spiking or shifting to homeownership? Huntsville is unique with a military presence, but that presence is the minority to the more robust civilian sector. For example, I'm on active duty and work on Redstone Arsenal, which employes over 40,000 personnel. Of those 40K, only roughly 4K is uniformed military personnel. 

      Thanks 

      Josh 

    • Huntsville, AL · Member since 2018 · 577 posts · 864 votes
      5y

      Just my opinion, as I have no specific data to support this, but I think the rental rates in Hunstville/Madison are still greatly lagging behind home prices.  A year ago, A/B neighborhoods were at about 0.75% for rent/price ratio, and B/C were 0.75 to 1%.  Now, A/B is closer to 0.5% and B/C are tough to get 1% on new investment property acquisitions.  

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