With an ARV of 150k, a typical fix and flip loan will go up to 75% max — so 112k.
Typically 10% of the purchase price is required for down payment, so 8K down + 10k est closing costs. Round up to 20k from pocket for easy math.
Typically a fix and flip loan will give 100% of the renovation cost up to the 112 k cap.
So buyer comes to the table with approx 20k to close. Gets 30k back at closing for the rehab.
Sells for 150k. Pays off the 112k loan. Walks away with 28k. But remember he put in 20k so he really only got back 8k. And that’s assuming no realtor commisison, seller taxes or capital gains tax.
Without financing, the gain is only 18k, still seems on the small side. However, this was assuming that you actually need 30k rehab to get it to 150k arv.
If the rental comps are good in this market, this would probably be better for a long-term old cash flow investor rather than a fixing flip investor.
However- if the renovation is mostly cosmetic and only needs 10k of work to get to the 150k value, then the gain could be 20k more.
The key will be assessing the rehab time and cost involved to get to to 150k arv.