Here's where Americans moved to — Alabama #6

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Here's where Americans moved to — Alabama #6

Steve StinsonBusiness Member
Real Estate Agent · Huntsville, AL · Member since 2021 · 93 posts · 83 votes
Here's where Americans moved to — and away from — in 2021

Here are the top states people moved to and from last year

By Erika Giovanetti Sponsored by Credible - which is majority owned by our parent, Fox Corporation, and is solely responsible for its services.

Americans are moving from large metro areas to lower-density states as they adapt to lifestyle changes amid the coronavirus pandemic, according to the 2021 National Movers Study from United Van Lines.

The annual study, which has been conducted for the past 45 years, tracks the moving company's user data to determine state-to-state moving patterns. It found that Vermont is the state with the highest percentage of inbound moves (74%), while New Jersey has the most outbound migration (71%).

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Joe SplitrockPro Member
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Rental Property Investor · Sioux Falls, SD · Member since 2015 · 9k+ posts · 18k+ votes
4y
Just to clarify this is the number of inbound versus outbound based on United Van Lines moving company data. This does not reflect net population or percentage gain. For example in one state, 1000 people could move in and 100 move out. In another state, 100,000 could move in and 2000 move out. Even though one state had much larger net gain, the percentage of inbound versus outbound was lower. Looking at pure population growth, I believe Texas is the largest net gain winner for 2021, followed by Florida. If you look at percentage growth, I believe Idaho is the largest percentage gain in 2021. It is interesting, but doesn't paint the full picture, especially considering United Van lines only represents a portion of moving traffic.

Here is US Census Bureau data on actual population gain/loss in 2021:

https://www.census.gov/newsroo...



Top 10 States in Numeric Growth, 2020 to 2021
RankGeographic AreaApril 1, 2020
(Estimates Base)		July 1, 2020July 1, 2021Numeric Growth
1Texas29,145,50529,217,65329,527,941310,288
2Florida21,538,18721,569,93221,781,128211,196
3Arizona7,151,5027,177,9867,276,31698,330
4North Carolina10,439,38810,457,17710,551,16293,985
5Georgia10,711,90810,725,80010,799,56673,766
6South Carolina5,118,4255,130,7295,190,70559,976
7Utah3,271,6163,281,6843,337,97556,291
8Tennessee6,910,8406,920,1196,975,21855,099
9Idaho1,839,1061,847,7721,900,92353,151
10Nevada3,104,6143,114,0713,143,99129,920




Top 10 States (or Equivalent)in Numeric Decline, 2020 to 2021
RankGeographic AreaApril 1, 2020
(Estimates Base)		July 1, 2020July 1, 2021Numeric Decline
1New York20,201,24920,154,93319,835,913-319,020
2California39,538,22339,499,73839,237,836-261,902
3Illinois12,812,50812,785,24512,671,469-113,776
4Massachusetts7,029,9177,022,2206,984,723-37,497
5Louisiana4,657,7574,651,2034,624,047-27,156
6Pennsylvania13,002,70012,989,62512,964,056-25,569
7District of Columbia689,545690,093670,050-20,043
8Michigan10,077,33110,067,66410,050,811-16,853
9New Jersey9,288,9949,279,7439,267,130-12,613
10Ohio11,799,44811,790,58711,780,017-10,570


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  • Joe SplitrockPro Member
    Moderator
    Rental Property Investor · Sioux Falls, SD · Member since 2015 · 9k+ posts · 18k+ votes
    4y
    Just to clarify this is the number of inbound versus outbound based on United Van Lines moving company data. This does not reflect net population or percentage gain. For example in one state, 1000 people could move in and 100 move out. In another state, 100,000 could move in and 2000 move out. Even though one state had much larger net gain, the percentage of inbound versus outbound was lower. Looking at pure population growth, I believe Texas is the largest net gain winner for 2021, followed by Florida. If you look at percentage growth, I believe Idaho is the largest percentage gain in 2021. It is interesting, but doesn't paint the full picture, especially considering United Van lines only represents a portion of moving traffic.

    Here is US Census Bureau data on actual population gain/loss in 2021:

    https://www.census.gov/newsroo...



    Top 10 States in Numeric Growth, 2020 to 2021
    RankGeographic AreaApril 1, 2020
    (Estimates Base)    		July 1, 2020July 1, 2021Numeric Growth
    1Texas29,145,50529,217,65329,527,941310,288
    2Florida21,538,18721,569,93221,781,128211,196
    3Arizona7,151,5027,177,9867,276,31698,330
    4North Carolina10,439,38810,457,17710,551,16293,985
    5Georgia10,711,90810,725,80010,799,56673,766
    6South Carolina5,118,4255,130,7295,190,70559,976
    7Utah3,271,6163,281,6843,337,97556,291
    8Tennessee6,910,8406,920,1196,975,21855,099
    9Idaho1,839,1061,847,7721,900,92353,151
    10Nevada3,104,6143,114,0713,143,99129,920




    Top 10 States (or Equivalent)in Numeric Decline, 2020 to 2021
    RankGeographic AreaApril 1, 2020
    (Estimates Base)    		July 1, 2020July 1, 2021Numeric Decline
    1New York20,201,24920,154,93319,835,913-319,020
    2California39,538,22339,499,73839,237,836-261,902
    3Illinois12,812,50812,785,24512,671,469-113,776
    4Massachusetts7,029,9177,022,2206,984,723-37,497
    5Louisiana4,657,7574,651,2034,624,047-27,156
    6Pennsylvania13,002,70012,989,62512,964,056-25,569
    7District of Columbia689,545690,093670,050-20,043
    8Michigan10,077,33110,067,66410,050,811-16,853
    9New Jersey9,288,9949,279,7439,267,130-12,613
    10Ohio11,799,44811,790,58711,780,017-10,570


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  • Bruce Lynn
    Real Estate Broker · Coppell, TX · Member since 2011 · 5k+ posts · 4k+ votes
    4y

    @Steve Stinson   While some people never like statistics, one thing probably positive for AL is who is moving.  I would expect likely high paying workforce moving in to work at universities, NASA, FBI, etc.   

    How's the Huntsville market?   

    Do you have enough multi?  How's single family?  What are the hot spots?   Any hidden opportunities?   I keep hearing good things about your city.

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  • Steve StinsonBusiness Member
    OP
    Real Estate Agent · Huntsville, AL · Member since 2021 · 93 posts · 83 votes
    4y

    @Bruce Lynn Lots of great paying jobs here. Take a look:

    Local employers with 1000+ employees (in descending order).
    US Army, Huntsville Hospital, NASA, Huntsville City Schools, Boeing, Dynetics, SAIC, Madison County Schools, City of Huntsville, Northrop Grumman, University of Alabama in Huntsville, ADTRAN, Polaris, Toyota, Hexagon, Alabama A&M University, Crestwood Medical Center, Madison County Commission, Science and Engineering Services (SES), Madison City Schools, AT&T Alabama

    We're weak on multi-family. Haven't built any in thirty or forty years. Our sweet spot is SFH rentals. With immediate positive cash flow and a conservative 35% appreciation over the next five years, this category should produce total returns in excess of 15% per year.

    Unfortunately, since we've been on every Top 10 list over the past few years, it's hard to find any hidden treasure.

    Now Alabama’s largest city, Huntsville’s military (Redstone Arsenal), space (NASA), telecommunications (ADTRAN, AT&T), biotechnology (Hudson Alpha), diversified manufacturing (Toyota/Mazda, Polaris) and a variety of emerging specialties provide challenging work (#5 Best Places for Career Opportunities) in delightful surroundings (#3 Best Places to Live in the US). The area enjoys a favorable cost of living (#1 Most Affordable Places to Live in US) and quality of life. Mountains, lakes, woodlands and the Tennessee River accommodate numerous recreational activities. A temperate climate enhances the season for outdoor sports, including world-class golf, hiking, biking, and fishing. Major concerts, Broadway and symphony performances, extensive permanent collections and traveling exhibitions contribute to a wonderful way of life. All of this makes Huntsville/Madison County the #10 Hottest US Rental Markets.

    Let me know if I can help with some local investments.




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  • Bruce Lynn
    Real Estate Broker · Coppell, TX · Member since 2011 · 5k+ posts · 4k+ votes
    4y

    Sounds like the secret is out.....I invested in some new build apartments there.
    https://bhamnow.com/2021/12/07...

    Under construction now and hope to be leasing in Spring of 2022.

    0Reply
  • Joe SplitrockPro Member
    Moderator
    Rental Property Investor · Sioux Falls, SD · Member since 2015 · 9k+ posts · 18k+ votes
    4y
    Quote from @Bruce Lynn:

    @Steve Stinson   While some people never like statistics, one thing probably positive for AL is who is moving.  I would expect likely high paying workforce moving in to work at universities, NASA, FBI, etc.   

    How's the Huntsville market?   

    Do you have enough multi?  How's single family?  What are the hot spots?   Any hidden opportunities?   I keep hearing good things about your city.


     Statistics are wonderful, but they can be used to distort information. You should read the book "How to Lie With Statistics". For example on this "Where Americans Moved in 2021", my state is listed as #2 on the list, so you could conclude it is more popular than Alabama. You would think my state is the number two destination in the country, but that is not what this ranking actually shows. It is simply comparing how many people take moving trucks in versus out. This isn't even all moving trucks, just United Van Lines. Vermont is the second least populated state in the country. It is one of the only states that has lost net population since 2010. Vermont actually lost 369 people between 2021 and 2022, so how can they be a top inbound state, yet lost population? There are many explanations, one is that people use United Van Lines trucks to get in, but don't use them to leave. It is more likely the reason is a small data set. For all we know, 2 trucks went in and 0 went out. 

    Uhaul also tracks data using their one way truck measure of migration. According to Uhaul, Alabama was 46th on their list for 2021, which was a drop from 22nd in 2020. It actually places Alabama as lower than NY and NJ. This just further reinforces my point that moving truck data is not a completely accurate measure of population movement or state desirability. Statistics can lie. 

    Here is the Uhaul data for 2021:

    https://www.uhaul.com/Articles...

    2021 U-HAUL GROWTH STATES

    1.

    TEXAS (2)

    2.

    FLORIDA (3)

    3.

    TENNESSEE (1)

    4.

    SOUTH CAROLINA (15)

    5.

    ARIZONA (5)

    6.

    INDIANA (12)

    7.

    COLORADO (6)

    8.

    MAINE (29)

    9.

    IDAHO (30)

    10.

    NEW MEXICO (39)

    11.

    SOUTH DAKOTA (25)

    12.

    VERMONT (26)

    13.

    WISCONSIN (13)

    14.

    OREGON (45)

    15.

    WASHINGTON (36)

    16.

    ALASKA (34)

    17.

    MINNESOTA (20)

    18.

    CONNECTICUT (43)

    19.

    NORTH CAROLINA (9)

    20.

    NEBRASKA (32)

    21.

    WYOMING (33)

    22.

    MONTANA (19)

    23.

    GEORGIA (10)

    24.

    OHIO (4)

    25.

    NEW HAMPSHIRE (23)

    26.

    WEST VIRGINIA (16)

    27.

    IOWA (24)

    28.

    UTAH (17)

    29.

    NEVADA (8)

    30.

    DELAWARE (27)

    31.

    VIRGINIA (28)

    32.

    RHODE ISLAND (35)

    33.

    NORTH DAKOTA (37)

    34.

    MARYLAND (46)

    35.

    WASHINGTON, D.C. (38)*

    36.

    NEW JERSEY (48)

    37.

    MISSISSIPPI (31)

    38.

    KENTUCKY (18)

    39.

    MISSOURI (7)

    40.

    KANSAS (21)

    41.

    ARKANSAS (11)

    42.

    MICHIGAN (40)

    43.

    LOUISIANA (44)

    44.

    OKLAHOMA (14)

    45.

    NEW YORK (42)

    46.

    ALABAMA (22)

    47.

    MASSACHUSETTS (47)

    48.

    PENNSYLVANIA (41)

    49.

    ILLINOIS (49)

    50.

    CALIFORNIA (50)

    2020 growth rankings in parentheses

    1Reply
  • Anna StrausbaughBusiness Member
    Real Estate Agent · Boise, ID · Member since 2018 · 119 posts · 70 votes
    4y

    Super interesting stats and articles, thanks for sharing! Like always, Idaho is right in the mix on all these lists. Thanks for all the info!

    [email protected]208-890-5236
    0Reply
  • Noa Parnas
    Member since 2021 · 12 posts · 0 votes
    4y

    I wold like to connect! im an investor

    0Reply
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