Cash Flow vs. Equity Growth: What's more important?

Cash Flow vs. Equity Growth: What's more important?

Investor · San Antonio, TX · Member since 2013 · 88 posts · 44 votes

I've invested in both Cash flow markets and equity returns markets for the last 15 years.  The cash flow markets were in Kansas and Texas. The equity markets were in California.  While the cash flow markets (Texas and Kansas) produced solid returns with good cash flow, the equity growth were modest. For example, homes that I purchased in 2013-2014 have appreciated 50-60% Texas. Respectable at best.   Compared to California homes which appreciated closer to 80% during this same time period.   The big different is that homes in California were about 5X the cost of homes in Texas and so on the front end they seemed much more risky.  Investing in 1 California home of $750,000 created  more wealth than buying 5 Texas homes for $150,000.  

Cash flow properties are safer but I don't think investing in equity growth is "gambling" as many people state in REI forums. I think that if you can break even, investing in equity rich areas like the coastal areas might be the smarter long term play. Cash flow properties give you money to live on, but equity growth is what will really accelerate your wealth. I realize there are players on this forum who have gotten rich on just Cashflow investments alone. However, for the medium size investor, investing on equity growth might be the smarter long term bet. Your thoughts?

5Reply
103 views

Most Popular Reply

Mike D'ArrigoPro Member
Turn key provider · San Jose, CA · Member since 2010 · 4k+ posts · 3k+ votes
6y

@Dan K. the answer is going to be different for everyone based on where they are in life and their objectives. Think of cash flow and equity as the goose and the golden egg. For someone who wants long term cash flow and income then obviously cash flow markets are the better, especially if they are older. I've lived in CA my whole life so I have seen first hand the appreciation potential. Unfortunately, the barriers to entry are prohibitively high due to the high cost of real estate. I remember the days when people would brag that they only have a $200 or $300/mth negative on a rental property when home prices were going through the roof but it didn't work out so well for them in 2008, The big problem with investing for equity is that real estate goes in cycles (even in CA) and you can't control when a downturn will happen. It's actually possible to have the best of both worlds. As you mentioned, Kansas City is a good cash flow market but it has also been a good equity market. Rental properties that we were selling for $80-$85K 3 or 4 years ago now sell for $100K-$110K. Indianapolis has also seen a lot of appreciation. In fact, median prices in Indy are up over 10% YOY. It is possible to have both.

See this reply in the discussion

28 Replies

Jump to latestLatest
  • Investor · San Antonio, TX · Member since 2013 · 88 posts · 44 votes
    6y

    @Matthew Stallings

    I own STR in Cali a Texas. Cash flow is great on STR however I did suffer some setbacks when covid hit but the market is bouncing back.
       However the time it takes to manage an STR is probably 5-6 x more than what it takes to manage a passive rental property. 
    when you factor in time value of money the ideal way is to own an STR with high appreciation. 
       Also if you average stay on an STR is less than 8 days , then you will be paying higher taxes than a traditional rental so you have to factor that in. 

  • Rental Property Investor · Alpharetta GA · Member since 2018 · 29 posts · 11 votes
    6y

    @Brian G. Nice, yea all we can do is buy more to get our incomes up.  @Dan K. That makes complete sense and good call on STR with high appreciation. Where are your STR's in CA and TX if you don't mind me asking? I am a newbie to RE with just one STR property under my belt, a larger one that is 7 bedrooms and nets a bit over $40k yearly. The plan is to buy maybe 3-4 more with same net hopefully in the next 10 years then just manage them as my full-time job. One right now is no problem doing and keeping my full-time w-2 job but not sure at what number it will be unsustainable.

    Problem is, where I bought my first STR property, appreciation like you said has gone through the roof and the market is very inflated there so I can't scoop up another property there at the moment. Looking at other markets where I could get the same net through cashflow or appreciation whatever.

Join the conversationCreate a free account to reply, vote on answers and follow this thread.