Specialist · Vancouver, BC · Member since 2016 · 63 posts · 7 votes
Has anyone had any experience in the Prince George market?
I searched the BP forums and it seems like virgin territory.
I took a look at CL rental prices for one bedroom it is around $550 - $675 (I'm assuming for forestry and UNBC students) for a 3br unit it costs around $850-$1200.
I did a quick analysis of a duplex on the market and it proved to be cashflow positive.
Developer · Vancouver, British Columbia · Member since 2014 · 122 posts · 26 votes
10y
Hey I've been up there quite a bit in a past life for work also. Apparently the population hasn't changed much in a while 70k ish so not seeing much population growth is likely.
Heard they are putting in a winery also over the river. Wondering what your capex is that your estimating, vacancy rates and appreciation rate?
When you go pro on BP there is a great rental calculator to use.
Developer · Vancouver, British Columbia · Member since 2014 · 122 posts · 26 votes
10y
Hey I've been up there quite a bit in a past life for work also. Apparently the population hasn't changed much in a while 70k ish so not seeing much population growth is likely.
Heard they are putting in a winery also over the river. Wondering what your capex is that your estimating, vacancy rates and appreciation rate?
When you go pro on BP there is a great rental calculator to use.
Specialist · Vancouver, BC · Member since 2016 · 63 posts · 7 votes
10y
I was told after doing my first analysis that the rental calculator is US market specific. I did it quickly and selected 50% rule. I set appreciation as 1%
Specialist · Vancouver, BC · Member since 2016 · 63 posts · 7 votes
10y
I updated the numbers on my analysis and went (in my opinion) super conservative with a 10% vacancy rate and 10% CapEx and it is still looking cashflow positive.
Developer · Vancouver, British Columbia · Member since 2014 · 122 posts · 26 votes
10y
that's pretty good then if you also included 10% for property management. I prefer the okanagan as many students, young workers etc who will be renting for a while. I know there are a lot of rent to own deals up there and I guy I used to work with did a rent to own.
Investor · Westbank, British Columbia · Member since 2014 · 17 posts · 5 votes
10y
Rod Mcloed is an agent in Prince George that I know quite well. I'm not from PG but also know other builders in that area. The Prince George market is a funny one. There are opportunities if you purchase in the right area. I was told their vacancy rate is around 3%. If the LNG deal gets announced, Prince George will be a hot spot as will Fort St John where I'm located. The property in Fort St John is much higher but cap rates are still quite good.
Developer · Vancouver, British Columbia · Member since 2014 · 122 posts · 26 votes
10y
Hi Myron D. By "The property in Fort St John is much higher but cap rates are still quite good" do you mean vacancy rate is higher or purchase price is higher?
What's the average decent 3 up and two down property selling and then renting for?
Investor · Westbank, British Columbia · Member since 2014 · 17 posts · 5 votes
10y
Hi Pawan, The value of property/ selling price is much higher than PG is what I had meant. A 5 bedroom place is probably $2500 a month or so. The vacancy rate has certainly increased in the area over the past 10 months but the selling price has also dipped down probably around 5% or so. I've seen that dip mostly on newly built duplex properties. A 3 bed 2 bath duplex that is brand new will set you back around $330,000 per side, it will rent for somewhere around $1800-$2000 per month. Those rates a year ago were somewhere between $2200-$2400. We saw a very similar curve in 2008/2009 and vacancy rates dropped below 1% (essentially turn over only) a year later.
Investor · Westbank, British Columbia · Member since 2014 · 17 posts · 5 votes
10y
@Pawan J. There are a few variables that have lead to this slump. I would say the biggest cause is certainly the oil price. However, most of production in this area is Natural Gas. NG is also down as it obviously tends to follow the oil price. A positive investment decision on PNW LNG would certainly have a positive effect in this area. I believe we're in for another boom up here, possibly as soon as 2017. I just spoke to my real estate agent this morning, houses/duplexes and condo's are selling even investors are buying. Theres a lot of positive signs out there right now!
Might sound like a stupid question. In terms of the LNG project.. How does Prince Rupert correlate with Prince George and Fort St. John? They are 8-12 hours away from each other.
Is there something that I am missing in my thought process? (ie. secondary job creation?)
Contractor · Terrace, B.C · Member since 2014 · 10 posts · 0 votes
10y
Not too sure what you mean by the question? There is a proposed lng terminal in Prince Rupert. I don't think it will affect the Prince George market at all. It will be huge for Prince Rupert and Terrace.
Developer · Vancouver, British Columbia · Member since 2014 · 122 posts · 26 votes
10y
Hi Iaian Maccormac
What is planned for terrace? The LNG
Are you seeing prices rise in P.Rupert already?
What's your typical rent for a 3 bd rm up and 2 down house?
Contractor · Terrace, B.C · Member since 2014 · 10 posts · 0 votes
10y
Prices have gone crazy over the last 2 years. Prince Rupert has gone up big time in the last year. It's slowing down a bit now. There's a bunch of big projects proposed for the area, a bunch of long terminals in kitimat and Prince Rupert. Terrace is centrally located between the two so whatever happens anywhere terrace is well off. Rentals depending on the area are 1800 to 2200
Specialist · Vancouver, BC · Member since 2016 · 63 posts · 7 votes
10y
I just did a quick kijiji search $1600 for 4bed/2bath. posted 3/14/2016
What concerns me with prince rupert and terrace at the moment as a new investor is the fact that the population is so low 11k in Terrace and 12k in Prince Rupert, vacancy rate would be a concern.
True that if the LNG goes thru you will truly be at the basement level of the opportunity for both equity and cashflow, but it's quite a risk for a novice investor with limited capital.
Investor · Westbank, British Columbia · Member since 2014 · 17 posts · 5 votes
10y
Hi @Stanley Kong , the coast is where the plant's are being built to ship overseas. the Gas itself is being pumped out from north eastern bc. In between including places like Prince George there would be pipe line construction. If this goes through it will be a big deal for all of northern BC
San Jose, CA · Member since 2015 · 4k+ posts · 3k+ votes
10y
I have a friend in Canada and her daughter used to live there. They have all moved to the Oyama area, by Lake Okanagan.
The closest I've ever lived is in Sumas, WA, and Bellingham, WA, so I'm not completely without a clue to the area, though.
The biggest problem with that area, is access year-round. It's remote. And unless you live nearby, I think investing there is, frankly, crazy. It would just be too difficult getting there and dealing with any problems.
I really believe that investing close to home makes the most sense.
Developer · Vancouver, British Columbia · Member since 2014 · 122 posts · 26 votes
10y
Sue Kelly they all have airports and flights all year round. I used to fly to Prince george in the middle of winter many times. They are certainly not places you would drive to from Vancouver anyway.
In saying that it would always be preferred to invest closer to home!
San Jose, CA · Member since 2015 · 4k+ posts · 3k+ votes
10y
@Pawan J. But, would the cost of flying in the middle of winter, assuming there isn't an ice storm, etc., ruin your bottom line? I can't imagine investing in property you have to fly to, and yet make a profit, or one big enough to justify the remoteness.
Now, if you lived in Prince George, that's another matter.