Are inventory increases caused by new listings or slower sales?

Are inventory increases caused by new listings or slower sales?

Investor · Member since 2021 · 591 posts · 695 votes

As we're all aware, inventory is increasing in many markets (though, in many instances this just means the market is going from very, very, very low inventory to very, very low inventory.).  ...It's sort of like "upgrading" from a golf cart to a Yugo...

Inventory can increase as a result of more people listing their houses, and/or by a slowdown in how quickly houses sell (an increase in days on market).

Are current inventory increases more a product of an increase in people rushing to list their houses -OR- Are current inventory increases more a product of a slowdown in how quickly houses are selling? (or, are each of these factors contributing equally to current inventory increases?).

My own subjective (quite possibly inaccurate) opinion is that both factors are contributing to inventory increases, but I really don't have any idea how much each factor is contributing--are new listings responsible for 10% of inventory increases? 80%?, 45%?...are increased days on market responsible for 20% of inventory increases? 85%? etc., etc.?.

Interested to learn from BP folks about this topic!

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  • Realtor · Oklahoma City · Member since 2020 · 258 posts · 139 votes
    4y

    @Leo R., I believe both are. Especially since the fed has increased rates, we are seeing more stay on market a little longer as the raising rates knocked out some potential buyers or changed some of their criteria. Both are changing.

    I like how you did your comparison, and agree that there are more slowly coming more available too. In my market, within the last month or two we were averaging about 2200ish active listings on market and now just under 4500 across the entire MLSOK. 

    Some homes that are staying on market longer are either priced wrong, and or has something wrong with its condition or circumstance for price it was listed at. There are a lot of new listings in general now here, but the supply is still low compared to pre pandemic numbers. Some of the new listings may be because of life changing events.

  • Member since 2019 · 7k+ posts · 4k+ votes
    4y

    Both. As sales plummeted both old supply and the new listing is adding to the inventory. It's very fun to see this dynamic.

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