5/25/12 IMPORTANT ANNOUNCEMENT: MAJOR BP Update Next Week!

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Forums » Off-Topic » Are you really feeling the recession?

Are you really feeling the recession? Subscribe to Are you really feeling the recession?

18 posts by 13 users

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Residential Landlord · Washington, DC


I'm not and most (if not all) of our friends (and relatives) aren't. Perhaps this is because of where I live (Northern Virginia). How about the rest of you?


Real Estate Investor · Austin, Texas


The recession is long gone in Austin. Things are currently booming and I expect for them to boom even more in '12.

We certainly felt it in '09 and '10 though.

Small_bullseye_capital_logoBryan Hancock, Bullseye Capital Real Property Opportunity Fund
E-Mail: b.hancock@bullseyecap.com
Telephone: 1-800-577-0401
Website: http://www.bullseyecapfund.com
I help busy people profit from real estate


Real Estate Investor · Little Rock, Arkansas


My JOB has come to a stand still over the last couple of months after a record breaking first 3 quarters. But, my wife were noticing last night the standing room only waiting line to get into the restruant last night @ 7 PM. I am a little confused by my observations. It seems the Christmas shoppers are off a little this year.
Don


Commercial Real Estate Broker · Canton, Georgia


Don that's just for a few days and a few hours which means nothing for a restaurant to survive.

Many see restaurants packed at the peak time window of 1 to 2 hours but don't see all the costs involved.It's those in between the busiest times that will make you float or fail as a restaurant.

I think except for a few parts of the country many are still feeling the recession.Some hot markets had a minor dip and are recovering first.

Many areas it will be years before a recovery comes.The election will play a big role in what happens next.



If you have significant money in the stock market you are most likely feeling it. And the stock market is almost always a leading economic indicator! With that said I am optimistic real estate in general is going to bounce along a bottom here and ultimately turn up sooner than later.


Wholesaler · San Diego, California


If you are doing the same things you did in 2007 you are probably hurting right now. If you have evolved and adjusted your business model (no matter what industry) you are probably doing alright.


Residential Landlord · Washington, DC


Ah, the stock market. I gave up on that after the dot com implosion (although I have $$ there, I have no great expectations). I'm more interested in lay-offs, evictions, etc. I haven't had any evictions or occupancy problems. Other than late 2008, when there was alot of concern among people I know, the Great Depression is below the radar.


Real Estate Lender · Fort Pierce, Florida


"The stock market has predicted 7 of the last 3 recessions."

- Paul Samuelson, Economist & Nobel Prize Winner

paraphrased


Wholesaler · San Diego, California


With the right information and strategy you can make money in the market too. Its just like REI, you just need to know your stuff and have a solid strategy.


Real Estate Investor · Chicago, IL


Fortunately it hasn't affected me (with the exception of what I consider to be an ideal real estate investing market, in the positive). But I know many people that either are or have been affected negatively by the recession.


Real Estate Lender · Chicago, Illinois


Sounds like our President's economic policies are working for most of you guys then! Good to hear.


Real Estate Investor · Austin, Texas


Originally posted by Eric Michaels
Sounds like our President's economic policies are working for most of you guys then! Good to hear.

LMFAO!

Small_bullseye_capital_logoBryan Hancock, Bullseye Capital Real Property Opportunity Fund
E-Mail: b.hancock@bullseyecap.com
Telephone: 1-800-577-0401
Website: http://www.bullseyecapfund.com
I help busy people profit from real estate


Commercial Loan Officer


I'm down here in Florida for vacation and I saw no less than 10 empty stores in the local mall. I couldn't believe it given it's located in a good sized town.

Back home in southern Maine the economy isn't that bad, but I did notice while doing some shopping how some of the clerks were discussing how slow things had been.

Overall, I do think things are better/getting better, but considering where we were, I also think a lot of areas of the country have a loooong ways to go before things can be called good.

I can definitely say that in my area of New England we are far better off than this area of Florida where I'm staying.


Real Estate Investor · Toledo, Ohio


I am making significantly less money on flips than I was pre-2009. It is very difficult to convince consumers that this is a great time to buy...even though it is really is! In 2009 I could sell a house to a person with a 530 credit score for no money down with a "grant" from Ameridream. My average flip hold was 100 days from purchase to sale and my average profit was $30k. Appraisals always came in at least at the purchase price, usually higher.

Now my buyers have to have put 3.5% down and have a 600 credit score. My average flip hold is 180 days and my average profit is $10k. Appraisals may come in at purchase price, but I oftem have to come down in price a little because the appraisal came up short.

On the other hand hand, rents are rising and its really easy to fill vacancies. Apartments and SFR rentals are incredibly cheap. However I have to be careful about what long-term holds I buy because banks are very cautious about lending. Money Center and Regional banks have a "no investment real estate" policy so I have to suck up to local banks to get any financing. But rates are low so my ARM payments are really low and cash flow from rentals is great!

So, yes, I am feeling the recession. Anyone who isn't either wasn't in the game during the boom times or has their head in the sand.


Commercial Real Estate Broker · Canton, Georgia


"I'm more interested in lay-offs, evictions, etc. I haven't had any evictions or occupancy problems"

Cheryl I would suspect this is for a few reasons.

Washington D.C. is a anomaly with unemployment a little over 1 percent last time I heard.So with all the government bloat and red tape,and programs that aren't working there is money to be made working close to the Capitol.

We are a a spending economy so it stands to reason in Washington with employment so low and people having jobs they will spend.This will lead to stability and less evictions and lay offs and more jobs.

They are feeding the machine up there but with a high cost to everyone else in the future.Anything will work for a time before imploding. The things that make sense will last long term and that is the difference.

Most of the rest of the United States except for a few hot spots is in the crapper still in recovery mode and will be for years.The real rate of unemployment is still in the high teens when you factor in all the data.

Some of my tenants have had to pick up a second job and get charities to help them out to pay the full rent.Some jobs out there but hundreds applying for a few positions.We are recovering but it is a slow,long,grind.

So I think Washington is a bubble and is not relative to the United States as a whole.


Residential Landlord · Washington, DC


Ryan, I don't think my head was in the sand. I saw a big correction coming and didn't buy after early 2003 until late 2008 - I just didn't anticipate the magnitude. I took advantage of the mania to unload some under-performing properties and 1031 into some great deals with better upside (no new $$$ into the market, though). I have a strong memory of my misteps in the late 80's.

Joel, we absolutely benefit from the gov't, tech and other factors; but we weren't unscathed. Case-Shiller went from a high of 251 to a low of 165 (in March 2009). We now stand at 188. Many investors bought into the hype and lost everything but the cash investors (experienced?) have been out in full force for 2 or 3 years. I have had 2 tenants need aid in various forms.


Accountant · Garden Grove, California


I live in Southern California. What the Bush policies injured, the Obama policies are finishing off. I talk to HR managers, they post a $40K a year job and get 400-500 applications. I drive past MILLIONS of square feet of Commercial, Retail, Industrial and Office space that is EMPTY. I also drive past unfinished home tract after unfinished home tract. Many of the roads here are in such dis-repair that you have to watch carefully to avoid all the potholes. The current winds are causing many power outages because the cities/counties cannot afford to trim back the trees that have grown into the power lines.

Personally, I am fine with my rentals. But just looking around, you can see that the recession is heading towards a depression. I am so glad I sold my only commercial property a couple of years ago, because it has gone down another $200,000 to $300,000 in value since I sold it.

Whoever said that the Obama policies are working is wearing rose colored glasses. $15T+ in National Debt! It was only at $10T when W Bush left office!


· Bismarck, North Dakota


North Dakota is absolutely booming with all the oil. Its growing way too fast. Its crazy. People are building hotels and paying them off in 4 years.




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