Buying in the winter

Buying in the winter

Investor · Chicago, IL · Member since 2014 · 169 posts · 29 votes

Greetings everyone,

For those of you not here right now, I write this as temperatures in Chicago have gone from the 80's to the 50's in a matter of days. Given the winter we had last year reality is starting to set in.

That being said, I'm looking at buying my first place here in Chicago and was wondering what happens to prices as winter approaches. Is it worth waiting a few months to see if a seller is motivated enough to sell at a reduced price or does that generally not happen much?

I have no experience in renting properties yet but I can guess finding tenants in Chicago won't be easy here starting in a couple of months. I've lived here for 10 years and personally have never known anyone to move from November - February. Has anyone ever purchased property knowing there is a possibility that you may not be able to rent for the first few months? I'm starting to wonder if it's a good move to purchase my first place around this time of year or if I would be better off taking my time and maybe going to look at properties just to start getting a feel for the process. Then by the time Chicago's beautiful Spring weather hits I'll be in a better position to make my first purchase.

Any input or advice is welcome and appreciated. Thanks!

0Reply
35 views

5 Replies

Jump to latestLatest
  • Andrew SyriosPro Member
    Moderator
    Residential Real Estate Investor · Kansas City, MO · Member since 2014 · 10k+ posts · 5k+ votes
    12y

    Inventory certainly moves slower in the winter and I do think the prices go down a little, but I don't think there's usually a massive drop. It's not an advantage I would wait for, but when it comes, it can be helpful, at least that's my experience.

    And yeah, leasing in a really cold winter sucks.

  • Real Estate Investor · Flower Mound, TX · Member since 2014 · 59 posts · 31 votes
    12y

    It's a great question, but at the end of the day, you would assess deals using the same guidelines whether it's July or January.  Great deal can come along at any time, so it's always in your best interest to be on the lookout.

    The numbers work or they don't.

    That said, you bring up a great point about availability of renters.  The majority of people move in Q2, followed by Q3, Q4 and lastly Q1.  If you are buying properties at the end of Q3, you are going to have fewer "eyes" on your rentals; however, by purchasing early in the season (start of Q2), rehabbing and getting it onto the market (whatever you do to find renters) by mid-Q2, you have a lot of prospective tenants.

    Again, the numbers work or they don't, but if you are getting a great deal in December, make sure that the relative discount covers carry costs in the event you cannot get a wonderful tenant in the first 45-60 days.

  • Denver, CO · Member since 2014 · 11 posts · 7 votes
    12y

    Agree very much with everything above. Either there's enough cashflow built in to cover those periodic vacancies or there's not. 

    I would add one other element which is that vacancy rates and moving numbers typically are worse in colder weather but the difference is typically proportional to the average.

    This can be not so big a deal in a good area, but a very big deal in a worse one. e.g. A 10% increase in the average vacancy term in one part of town can mean another week. In another part of town, that can be two whole months. 

    Good luck!

  • Real Estate Investor · Buy & Hold Investor from Seacoast, NH · Member since 2013 · 63 posts · 15 votes
    12y

    What type of property are you trying to purchase?

    It is definitely true that you would have a smaller pool of renters looking to move in the winter, but people are always moving for various reasons and it doesn't mean you'll be forced to sit with it vacant. In almost all cases even if you have to list it a little cheaper to get it rented you'd be better off then keeping it off the market for 2-3 months just so you could charge a higher rent. 

    Its hard enough to find a good rental property without trying to game the market based on the seasons. I would just keep your nose to the ground and search hard for the right property. Then if you find it in December and are able to find a motivated seller maybe you can eek out a better deal for yourself. Best of luck. 

  • Investor · Chicago, IL · Member since 2014 · 169 posts · 29 votes
    12y
    Andrew Syrios Sam Elder Nathan Baumgart Adam K. Thanks for the responses and advice. I'm looking for multi-family properties right now. If I do find a good property that will cash flow during a full year I can afford a few months of vacancy up front if it comes to that. I do like the idea of month-to-month just to bring some money.
Join the conversationCreate a free account to reply, vote on answers and follow this thread.