Southern California home sales crash - Corelogic

Southern California home sales crash - Corelogic

Specialist · Paradise Valley, AZ · Member since 2018 · 3k+ posts · 2k+ votes

Southern California home sales crash - Corelogic (Nothing to see here, move along) ;-)

Are we at the tipping Point . . . ????

"Southern California home sales hit the brakes in June, falling to the lowest reading for the month in four years. Sales of both new and existing houses and condominiums dropped by 11.8 percent year over year as prices shot up to a record high, according to CoreLogic. The report covers Los Angeles, Riverside, San Diego, Ventura, San Bernardino and Orange Counties.

Fewer affordable homes

The median price paid for all Southern California homes sold in June was a record $536,250, according to CoreLogic, a 7.3 percent increase compared to June of 2017. While part of that is due to a mix shift, since there are fewer lower-priced homes for sale, it is becoming increasingly clear that fewer buyers are able to play in the higher price ranges.

“Sales below $500,000 dropped 21 percent on a year-over-year basis, while deals of $500,000 or more fell about 3 percent, marking the first annual decline for that price category in nearly two years,” said LePage. “Home sales of $1 million or more last month rose just a tad – less than 1 percent – from a year earlier following annual gains of between 5 percent and 21 percent over the prior year.”


LePage points to the rise in mortgage rates over the past six months, increasing significantly a borrower’s monthly payment. Rates haven’t moved much in the past month, but are suddenly moving higher again this week, pointing to even further weakness in affordability.

In the past, California, one of the largest housing markets in the nation, has been a predictor for the rest of the country. Home prices have been rising everywhere, amid a critical housing shortage. Prices usually lag sales by several months, and sales are beginning to crumble, even as more inventory comes on the market. The supply of homes for sale increased annually in June for the first time in 3 years, according to the National Association of Realtors, but sales fell for the third straight month."

0Reply
142 views

Most Popular Reply

JD MartinBusiness Member
Moderator
Rock Star Extraordinaire · Northeast, TN · Member since 2015 · 10k+ posts · 17k+ votes
8y

Just a general note here - disagree respectfully, please. Name calling, political attacks and use of profanity will get this thread shut down.

Skyline Properties
View Page
See this reply in the discussion

30 Replies

Jump to latestLatest
  • Flipper/Rehabber · San Diego, CA · Member since 2018 · 36 posts · 22 votes
    8y
    @Mike M. Sounds like great news! Been flipping since 2007 and i’ve been waiting eagerly for the next downturn. Monopoly Anyone?????
  • Olathe, KS · Member since 2018 · 148 posts · 207 votes
    8y

    I know this is unrelated to SoCal, but in my suburb area outside KC I've seen the market go cold.  It was white hot all spring, then it was like instantly cold second week of June, inventory is piling up.  I don't know why at all, prices aren't too high, and there's nothing from an economic standpoint that would have stopped anyone except for possibly the rate hike.  Nobody has really lowered prices much yet though, so it's kind of at a standstill for now.

  • Specialist · Paradise Valley, AZ · Member since 2018 · 3k+ posts · 2k+ votes
    8y
    Originally posted by @Aaron Taylor:

    I know this is unrelated to SoCal, but in my suburb area outside KC I've seen the market go cold.  It was white hot all spring, then it was like instantly cold second week of June, inventory is piling up.  I don't know why at all, prices aren't too high, and there's nothing from an economic standpoint that would have stopped anyone except for possibly the rate hike.  Nobody has really lowered prices much yet though, so it's kind of at a standstill for now.

     Interest rates went up. When rates go up, people get scared or since the payment is tied to rates, they may have maxed out their debt to income ratios and no longer can afford to buy. It usually gets to the point where houses sit on the market longer and people reduce their selling price which makes houses affordable again. 

  • Rental Property Investor · Seattle, WA · Member since 2014 · 1k+ posts · 1k+ votes
    8y
    Originally posted by @Sal Castaneda:
    @Mike M. Sounds like great news! Been flipping since 2007 and i’ve been waiting eagerly for the next downturn. Monopoly Anyone?????

    I too am stacking chips until the next crash. I have a few rentals that will go down in value, but it's better than paying capital gains taxes on them by selling them...

  • Flipper/Rehabber · San Diego, CA · Member since 2018 · 36 posts · 22 votes
    8y

    How long have you owned them? And whats WA ownership time frame of holding the property and max profitability amounts for single and married sellers before you can liquidate and avoid capital gains?

Join the conversationCreate a free account to reply, vote on answers and follow this thread.