Hello Everyone,
2026 lending outlooks show tighter underwriting but steady private money demand for flips, BRRRR, and rentals as banks stay cautious. Investors are prioritizing cash‑flow coverage, shorter terms, and stronger covenants amid higher insurance/replacement costs.
Question for lenders/borrowers:
Borrowers: How do you shop/evaluate private vs bank? What makes a lender a repeat partner?
Let’s share intel on what’s working (or not) in this cycle.
Great question, Victoria.
What I'm seeing play out most consistently right now is DSCR becoming the default lane, not because it's trendy, but because it fits where the market actually is.
Cash-flow coverage, realistic insurance numbers, and clean exits are getting deals done faster than income-heavy or overly structured loans. The near-misses I’ve seen this year almost always come back to optimistic ARVs or thin margins that didn’t leave room for today’s underwriting.
Looking ahead to 2026, early indicators point to:
Continued DSCR focus
Slightly tighter LTVs
More emphasis on durability vs. max leverage
That lines up with recent commentary from groups like the MBA, AAPL, and broader private credit analysts showing banks staying cautious while non-QM and DSCR demand holds steady.
Feels like a market that’s rewarding clarity and discipline more than creativity right now.
Great question, Victoria.
What I'm seeing play out most consistently right now is DSCR becoming the default lane, not because it's trendy, but because it fits where the market actually is.
Cash-flow coverage, realistic insurance numbers, and clean exits are getting deals done faster than income-heavy or overly structured loans. The near-misses I’ve seen this year almost always come back to optimistic ARVs or thin margins that didn’t leave room for today’s underwriting.
Looking ahead to 2026, early indicators point to:
Continued DSCR focus
Slightly tighter LTVs
More emphasis on durability vs. max leverage
That lines up with recent commentary from groups like the MBA, AAPL, and broader private credit analysts showing banks staying cautious while non-QM and DSCR demand holds steady.
Feels like a market that’s rewarding clarity and discipline more than creativity right now.
Great question, Victoria.
What I'm seeing play out most consistently right now is DSCR becoming the default lane, not because it's trendy, but because it fits where the market actually is.
Cash-flow coverage, realistic insurance numbers, and clean exits are getting deals done faster than income-heavy or overly structured loans. The near-misses I’ve seen this year almost always come back to optimistic ARVs or thin margins that didn’t leave room for today’s underwriting.
Looking ahead to 2026, early indicators point to:
Continued DSCR focus
Slightly tighter LTVs
More emphasis on durability vs. max leverage
That lines up with recent commentary from groups like the MBA, AAPL, and broader private credit analysts showing banks staying cautious while non-QM and DSCR demand holds steady.
Feels like a market that’s rewarding clarity and discipline more than creativity right now.
Thanks for the sharp take @Christian Wamsley and spot‑on about DSCR becoming the practical default with its focus on real cash flow coverage and realistic underwriting. The emphasis on durability over max leverage matches what MBA/private credit reports are signaling for 2026 too.
Great question, Victoria.
What I'm seeing play out most consistently right now is DSCR becoming the default lane, not because it's trendy, but because it fits where the market actually is.
Cash-flow coverage, realistic insurance numbers, and clean exits are getting deals done faster than income-heavy or overly structured loans. The near-misses I’ve seen this year almost always come back to optimistic ARVs or thin margins that didn’t leave room for today’s underwriting.
Looking ahead to 2026, early indicators point to:
Continued DSCR focus
Slightly tighter LTVs
More emphasis on durability vs. max leverage
That lines up with recent commentary from groups like the MBA, AAPL, and broader private credit analysts showing banks staying cautious while non-QM and DSCR demand holds steady.
Feels like a market that’s rewarding clarity and discipline more than creativity right now.
The repeat partner question is huge. Best private lenders I work with don't just fund the current flip - they'll reserve capital for your next 2-3 deals because they know exactly how you source. Like this one lender who sees I'm pulling 15-20 motivated seller leads weekly, skip tracing the hot ones within 24 hours, then following up 7 times in 7 days. He knows my conversion rate is predictable, so he pre-approves me for $500k credit lines instead of deal-by-deal approval. What's been your experience - do lenders care more about your current ARV or your lead generation process?
The repeat partner question is huge. Best private lenders I work with don't just fund the current flip - they'll reserve capital for your next 2-3 deals because they know exactly how you source. Like this one lender who sees I'm pulling 15-20 motivated seller leads weekly, skip tracing the hot ones within 24 hours, then following up 7 times in 7 days. He knows my conversion rate is predictable, so he pre-approves me for $500k credit lines instead of deal-by-deal approval. What's been your experience - do lenders care more about your current ARV or your lead generation process?
That’s the repeat partner gold standard—trust in execution velocity and conversion rates lets them scale with you
As a long-time hard money lender, I believe the best hard money lenders are the ones who have have been or still are active investors in rentals and flips. I am mostly concerned about the viability of the project, your experience, and my relationship with you. I can evaluate the viability and your experience through the lens of my own activities. Our relationship grows from our interactions while participating in organizations of like-minded investors/landlords, so I encourage you to seek out whatever area groups you can find. The hard money lenders will be there...watching.