When Will We Hit Bottom?

When Will We Hit Bottom?

Real Estate Agent · San Diego, CA · Member since 2020 · 3 posts · 0 votes

When does everyone think the market will start dropping and for how long?

I work in the San Diego Market, and we haven't seen any sales comps yet to support depreciating prices. I believe that since interest rates are still extremely low, that is the only thing that is still driving this uncertain market. A lot of my investors I have worked in the past have stopped looking for deals, but the big, big players in our market are still bullish and looking for under market deals. 

There have been some sharks who have written lowball offers on some of my listings, and other agents in my office's listings as well, but we think it's still premature.

When will the impact of record unemployment, bankruptcies, loss of revenue, etc. be felt? 

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Russell BrazilBusiness Member
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Real Estate Agent · Washington, D.C. · Member since 2012 · 17k+ posts · 30k+ votes
6y

We should hit the bottom somewhere around 2010.

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  • Rental Property Investor · San Diego, CA · Member since 2010 · 366 posts · 314 votes
    6y

     
    It feels everyone is starting to scramble to plonk down in a chair before the music ends.
    The house across the street just went through a full rehab flip. I heard they were originally planning to bring it on the market for $1.1m, but instead sold it quickly for $998k (1970s larger tract home with a great view in a nice neighborhood). Pre-Covid I think they might have held out for more, with Covid probably glad to get out relatively unscathed.

    Strictly personal opinion; The Gov't is printing money through December. I expect the actual fire sales to start shortly after, gradually at first. Some of the effects are already starting, with investors dropping prices on rehabs/flips trying to get out before "whatever" happens (seeing this in far northern CA as well). Banks are getting jumpy & raising HELOC rates, even though Fed rates are low. CC lenders are getting jumpy & looking for any excuse to turn down applicants, since they can't tell if they actually still have a job. What happens after all this who knows.

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