Thoughts on RE market during COVID-19

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Member since 2020 · 201 posts · 118 votes
6y
Originally posted by @Andrew Bissada:

I am wondering the same! Was originally thinking prices would drop because of the covid recession, but that has definitely not been the case where I live (Austin). I wonder what is expected for this winter?

 The reactions of the real estate market are always, by its own nature, slower than the reaction of the stock market, a delayed reaction to events depending mainly on unemployment, bankruptcies etc. So it can take maybe 9-12 months to have an accurate idea about how COVID impacts real estate prices.

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  • Rental Property Investor · Northern NJ · Member since 2019 · 672 posts · 677 votes
    6y
    Originally posted by @Matthew McCormick:

    Here in NJ, the RE trend is astoundingly crazy right now. Being that we are right out of NYC (where the numbers were hit the hardest back in the beginning of COVID) we have a rush of buyers who were likely planning to head to the suburbs before the pandemic hit, who are now trying to close.

    As a few examples, I have a friend who had a listing for $975,000 in South Orange NJ. Her client's offer was #12 in the bidding war, and was at asking. The house just closed for $1,112,000. 

    Another house in the $375,000 listing price had 40 offers! 40!!! I don't know the selling price of it, but needless to say, it's well above asking. This is a trend for most homes here in North Jersey. It's very hard for buyers who were holding out, but phenomenal if you are selling. The fact that most people can work from home who have office jobs in the city, is the big push to flee to the suburbs. Why work in a tiny NYC apartment under complete lockdown, when you can do your work on a sprawling backyard and able to take walks around town in the afternoon? That's the motive here mostly. 

    I imagine things will settle once a vaccine comes out, the but net result is higher prices and a crazy summer market, especially in Essex/Bergen County. 
      

    It's out if control. Had my realtor check out a 2 family in Saddle Brook. He said no less than 15 people in line at the start with mostly NY plates. One guy said he was willing to pay $25k over asking! I didnt even offer as the numbers didnt work at list price. Looks like off market is the way to go. 

  • Rental Property Investor · Member since 2019 · 304 posts · 462 votes
    6y

    Real estate prices will be a mixed bag. In the large inner cities such as NYC, prices are dropping. Prices are rising in red states, suburban, and rural areas. The great migration has begun. As states and cities begin to raise taxes to make up for lost revenue as a result of the lock down, the migration will accelerate. In the longer term, prices will continue to rise as the money printing continues. However, the inflationary effect will be somewhat offset by the rise in unemployment. The end result; real estate prices will inflate at a lower rate than the general rate of inflation. 

  • Real Estate Agent · Dallas, TX · Member since 2020 · 28 posts · 28 votes
    6y

    Real estate is a very geographical thing - few one-size-fits-all. As a result, public forums tend to discuss specifics about real estate leading others in different markets to encounter information that might or might not apply in the same way to their market area. We (self included) must all be careful to discern between macro trends which affect all of us, and market specific data that affects some but not others. It is an interesting line of business/investment and the varied conversations are quite fascinating...!

  • NJ · Member since 2020 · 6 posts · 3 votes
    6y

    From where I sit, talking to multi family borrowers and sponsors across the country- The overall sentiment seems to be collections have been strong over the past few months and in turn there have not been many discounts on multi family assets to this point. This has lead to a little bit of a slow down in acquisitions as sellers still want top dollar for their product and buyers want a discount based ongoing risk (potential for stimulus checks ending and the uncertainty that may bring). There certainly still is action in the market just not to the level that there was pre-covid as of yet.   

  • Real Estate Agent · Dallas, TX · Member since 2020 · 28 posts · 28 votes
    6y

    @Mordy Geffner Yes, I agree there is still a COVID-19 slow down - in SFR as well. There is some offset that there are fewer "lookers" and more of those few are active "buyers."

  • Realtor · Wasilla Alaska · Member since 2019 · 129 posts · 94 votes
    6y

    Our market here in Alaska (Wasilla area within an hour of Anchorage) is a super hot sellers market. Not the hottest market in the country but hotter maybe than it’s ever been here. And from networking with other Realtors around the country it seems most areas are a sellers market, though there are always exceptions.

  • New to Real Estate · Dallas, TX · Member since 2020 · 94 posts · 20 votes
    6y

    Hi BP family 

    I agree with David Krebsbach analogy

    of the appreciative property markets, in it's fluidity. It's always sometime to consider when you're viewing your community growth or pause in growth. Even the down turn in property values can still earn investors great returns on their investments.   

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