Orange County rental market note (Q2 2026): vacancy 4.3%, rents up 1.8%

Orange County rental market note (Q2 2026): vacancy 4.3%, rents up 1.8%

Leo SteinBusiness Member
Property Manager · Orange County, CA · Member since 2025 · 56 posts · 17 votes

Orange County apartment vacancy reached 4.3% in Q2 2026, up from 3.8% a year earlier, while average asking rent rose only 1.8% to $2,727 a month (source: Kidder Mathews, Q2 2026 Orange County Multifamily Market Report, CoStar data).

What it means for owners: OC is still one of the tightest markets in California, but renters have a few more choices than last year and rent growth has slowed. A 1.8% increase on a $2,727 unit is about $49 a month, or roughly $590 a year. One empty week costs about $630 in lost rent, so a single slow turnover can erase a full year of increases.

Practical tip: before setting renewal increases this fall, put the raise next to the real cost of turnover (vacant days, paint, cleaning, leasing). For tenants who pay on time and take care of the place, a modest increase often nets more than pushing to the top of the market.

What are you seeing on renewals across your OC doors?

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  • Real Estate Agent · Kansas City · Member since 2018 · 4k+ posts · 3k+ votes
    3d

    Is there certain bed/bats that are lacking in supply?

    • Leo SteinBusiness Member
      OP
      Property Manager · Orange County, CA · Member since 2025 · 56 posts · 17 votes
      3d

      Good question, Caleb. The Kidder Mathews report doesn't break vacancy out by bedroom count, so I can't point you to a hard number on which sizes are short.

      What it does show is average asking rent by size in Q2: studios $2,118, 1-beds $2,461, 2-beds $2,977 and 3-beds $3,373.

      The bigger supply story is where the new units landed. About 3,258 units delivered in the first half of 2026, led by two large Irvine Company communities (1,100 units at Irvine Spectrum and 831 at Lower Peters Canyon), and the construction pipeline is down about half from a year ago. So most of the new competition is in big Irvine apartment complexes, not single-family homes or small multifamily.

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  • Leo SteinBusiness Member
    OP
    Property Manager · Orange County, CA · Member since 2025 · 56 posts · 17 votes
    3d

    Caleb, curious which bed counts are moving fastest for you in Kansas City right now? Here in OC, with most of the new supply landing in big Irvine apartment communities, I'm watching whether smaller 2- and 3-bed rentals hold up better on renewals than the large complexes. For anyone else reading with OC doors, what are you seeing on days-on-market for single-family vs. small multifamily this fall?

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