Seriously, though, I like to keep it simple (market is high, about right, or low), position myself accordingly and while still covering myself for all reasonable outcomes ... beyond that, I think we can quickly pass the point of diminishing marginal returns on our analysis and into the realm of false precision.When I wore a younger man's clothes I used to do something similar, except back then I was working at JPL and running monte carlo analysis and every possible worse case I could throw at the spacecraft simulator.

Often times we get emotionally over-optimistic about a particular property and we lose sight of the potential downside.I'm not sure if youve ever heard of a Monte Carlo simulation, but what that does is take your projected numbers and runs them through a predetermined number of simulations, sometimes over 1 million different scenarios if you wanted it to.

You also simulate several years of time in one afternoon or evening.

Could you provide a little more detail such as:- Have you done any market research into what the rents in the area is and what simuler homes has sold for?

It comes in simulated wood and tile patterns.

I have found that even as an extrovert I make better conversations if I "simulate" what I will be doing before I do it.

I have started to do Monte Carlo Simulations on top of deal analysis to play out all the different scenarios from pessimistic to optimistic and everything in-between.

I'll start with a light that simulates a tv for when you have to leave a property unattended.

Load properties, load tenants, enter rent charges, simulate work order processing, run sample reports, etc.

(Private lending to rehab/flip simulates liquidity in that the transaction life should be relatively short.)