Realtor · Cerritos, CA · Member since 2018 · 15 posts · 1 vote
Unfortunately for those sidelined buyers, there’s more bad news. In the next 15 months—through the end of 2022—Goldman Sachs is forecasting U.S. home prices will soar another 16%. While that represents a slight deceleration in the growth of home prices—which are up 17.7% over the past 12 months alone—it’s hardly price relief for buyers. Simply put: The investment bank thinks the housing market frenzy set off during the pandemic has a lot more room to run. “The supply-demand picture that has been the basis for our call for a multiyear boom in home prices remains intact," the Goldman Sachs researchers wrote in their report. “Of all the shortages afflicting the U.S. economy, the housing shortage might last the longest.” They don’t see prices correcting anytime soon; in fact, they are forecasting another 6.2% jump in 2023.
If you gentlemen own or invest in real estate, then you should be happy about the news. If you don't own any, look into rent to own, or off market properties.
If people can't afford buying, then the market will change on the other direction. And I think we are at almost the top of affordability, if not very close. Only a fool will predict a 12 month in a REI market. Who knows what the outer factors will be within that term (Government power)?
It’s all about supply and demand. We’re 4 million houses short nationwide now. That’s a lot! Builders are a decade behind and won’t be able to keep up with this demand for years/decades. Millennials are the largest buying demographic. And they’re finally starting to buy. Lots of investors are jumping in for obvious reasons. I just don’t see a large supply of homes available to buy or rent. So that’s why I’m very bullish on RE even if they raise interest rates. They raised them in 1974 and home prices kept soaring. I just don’t see a drop off in demand anytime soon. So I believe a 10% + appreciation will happen in 2022 and beyond.
It’s all about supply and demand. We’re 4 million houses short nationwide now. That’s a lot! Builders are a decade behind and won’t be able to keep up with this demand for years/decades. Millennials are the largest buying demographic. And they’re finally starting to buy. Lots of investors are jumping in for obvious reasons. I just don’t see a large supply of homes available to buy or rent. So that’s why I’m very bullish on RE even if they raise interest rates. They raised them in 1974 and home prices kept soaring. I just don’t see a drop off in demand anytime soon. So I believe a 10% + appreciation will happen in 2022 and beyond.
Also keep in mind your talking about B + to A inventory IE meaning very nice owner occ neighborhoods and or new construction.
there are plenty of houses but a huge amount of them are in areas that ONLY attract investors they do not attract owner occupants..
there by making this shortage even worse. U can go into almost any mid west rust belt city today and buy any number of houses for under 100k day one no problem thousands of them but these are not where owner occ's will buy.. neighborhoods are too sketchy to downright dangerous schools bad to terrible retail closed down becomes of decades of thefts etc etc.