Investor · Philadelphia, PA · Member since 2019 · 24 posts · 10 votes
So I’m watching money literally be DUMPED into Philly. A triplex I went to see last month has star-bolts through the face of it to prevent more structural issues, and the back of the property is MISSING... just sold for $100k. Seller’s agents have been saying New Yorkers are overpaying for everything because of Philly prices compared to NYC. Being a NYC-native and Union Ironworker, I can see that. Philly’s market is WAY over saturated, in my little opinion!
In my opinion, Philadelphia is positioned between NYC and Washington in a way that Philadelphia is the logical choice for those seeking shelter from an unsustainable increase in cost of living. Philadelphia is in the midst of a renaissance …There is considerable investment being made by Colleges and Hospitals as well as public funds that are being directed to vacant site revitalization, in addition to, under-utilized current development (like the proposed Penn's Landing project and Waterfront development).This investment in combination with the fact that Philadelphia has the highest poverty rate per capita versus any other major metro area, creates conditions that are ripe for development. There is a desperately low supply of affordable housing for the impoverished and an abundance of dilapidated houses and raw land that need to be developed. I personally see a continuation of current demand for a considerable amount of time, or at least, until current housing demands are met (which is likely to be many years even at a high development rate). To the point made in the thread above about the market being saturated, this is simply not true. The current supply of housing in Philadelphia is around 2.5 months....a balanced typically has between 5-6 months. There may be a shortage of Duplexes and Triplexes, but there is definitely opportunity for those that know where to look. Personally, I love this city and will continue to invest!
Morning @Courtney Benson, it is definitely a seller's market here. New York money has definitely worked to pump the prices up in the area, especially for multis as they become harder and harder to find at good prices. My firm recently sold a triplex with structural damage in West Philly for $75k within an hour of putting it out for sale. I'll be interested to see how long this frantic market lasts or if it only continues as more New Yorkers move to Philly for lower costs of entry.
Hey, @Alex Uman. I have been wondering the same thing, as far as how long this will continue. N.Y. Went on for years. I’m thinking it will be the same in Philly. I’m getting the Episode 132, @Brie Schmidt fever. Considering a new market. She made a KILLING when she left Chicago and went to Milwaukee. Does your firm have any more listings like the one you just sold?
It's the same in Northern NJ and has been for a long time. Philly is getting hit even harder by NYC folks now because the deals are impossible to get in Northern NJ and the taxes are so high. I do think investors are buying too high in some parts of Philly, especially on properties discussed above, but I am still not sure it's a future loss, just not as high a profit margin long-term as they expect.
In my opinion, Philadelphia is positioned between NYC and Washington in a way that Philadelphia is the logical choice for those seeking shelter from an unsustainable increase in cost of living. Philadelphia is in the midst of a renaissance …There is considerable investment being made by Colleges and Hospitals as well as public funds that are being directed to vacant site revitalization, in addition to, under-utilized current development (like the proposed Penn's Landing project and Waterfront development).This investment in combination with the fact that Philadelphia has the highest poverty rate per capita versus any other major metro area, creates conditions that are ripe for development. There is a desperately low supply of affordable housing for the impoverished and an abundance of dilapidated houses and raw land that need to be developed. I personally see a continuation of current demand for a considerable amount of time, or at least, until current housing demands are met (which is likely to be many years even at a high development rate). To the point made in the thread above about the market being saturated, this is simply not true. The current supply of housing in Philadelphia is around 2.5 months....a balanced typically has between 5-6 months. There may be a shortage of Duplexes and Triplexes, but there is definitely opportunity for those that know where to look. Personally, I love this city and will continue to invest!
@David Vitarelli, great input and I share your optimism on the city. Such development projects have helped and will continue to help the city to grow. Definitely the most logical location between NYC and DC for real estate investment.
I'd love to know what data you're seeing that says our market is over-saturated. "Investors" have been saying this since 2017 here. Look at the demographics and data to understand the noise. Lack of housing supply, credit profiles of buyers now compared to previous years, and the macro trends of the rise of the 2nd tier city in America all point me to wanting to continue to buy. WFH trends all bode incredibly well in Philly's favor with being wedged between DC & NYC. I own here so I'm biased but looking at the data tells me the party is just getting started.
As someone who just bought and completely renovating a primary residence in East Passyunk, this thread is making very happy. And yes, I'm moving in from NY. I'll be ready to purchase an investment property Philly within a years' time so who can tell me is the next area that would be ideal for buy and hold?
I would agree with @Ryan D., although it is a sellers market I don't think Philadelphia is over saturated in a general sense. Especially when compared to NYC, DC, and Boston, Philadelphia real estate is still very affordable. Some neighborhoods like Fishtown are over saturated, but overall you can still find great deals. When you are finding houses that have a spread that is less than 70%, then the market can't be over saturated. But as @David Vitarelli was saying, there is so much potential in this city. In the commercial and residential sense, we still are far from our peak performance. There are so many pockets in this city that are just primed to explode over the next couple years.
@Courtney Benson well I would also say wholesaler took part of this. It worth it if you can find a cheap property fixed. Next let’s not for get the sheriff sales are helping this process . So why not . I got one property for 6k and sold it for 290k. Know Ohio is next .
@Max T. I’m with you! That WOULD be a deal!! Definitely needed more like $100k plus of rehab as well - moisture issues throughout, zoning wasn’t right.