What factors affect the multifamily market the most, and how?

What factors affect the multifamily market the most, and how?

Fort Worth, TX · Member since 2018 · 8 posts · 0 votes
I’ve been doing a lot of research about the multIfamily market in my local area (Fort Worth, Texas). After listening to the BP podcast with Michael Becker, I realized I needed a better understanding of while the market moves as a whole. Anything helps!
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Developer · Tampa, FL · Member since 2016 · 118 posts · 61 votes
7y
Originally posted by @Charles Stanback:
@Armando Payano

Once you know those things, how do you interpret them?

 The good thing about these criteria is that they are mostly static as opposed to often changing.

Population: Look for population to be steadily growing = increasing customers.

Jobs: A stable job market = a stable tenant base.

Supply: Too much product = increase in concessions / decrease in rental income to attract solid, long term tenants.

Demand: Product type. How much would tenants prefer to live in one location vs another. 

This is a 30k foot view. Finding the right cocktail of these components, not sacrificing on jobs is key. Be mindful that, imo, real estate is a 'slow' moving vehicle when analyzing compared to say analyzing other business's.

Good luck. 

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  • Lender · Arlington, TX · Member since 2018 · 465 posts · 184 votes
    7y

    I'm no expert, but I think new construction is a decent factor,  population growth will be another big one, employment and industries locals work at.

  • Developer · Philadelphia, PA · Member since 2015 · 2k+ posts · 904 votes
    7y

    @Charles Stanback ,

    Population growth, job growth, crime, schools, taxes, occupancy levels, labor availability, etc. are just some of the factors that play into it.

    Larger macro-economic things like credit markets can also have an impact at a given time,

  • Developer · Tampa, FL · Member since 2016 · 118 posts · 61 votes
    7y

    Population. Jobs. Supply. Demand.

  • Fort Worth, TX · Member since 2018 · 8 posts · 0 votes
    7y
    @Caleb Jordan gotcha. How do you feel about the Arlington market?
  • Fort Worth, TX · Member since 2018 · 8 posts · 0 votes
    7y
    @Percy N. Appreciate the response, what do you consider the best way to analyze those thing for a particular area?
  • Fort Worth, TX · Member since 2018 · 8 posts · 0 votes
    7y
    @Armando Payano Once you know those things, how do you interpret them?
  • Lender · Arlington, TX · Member since 2018 · 465 posts · 184 votes
    7y

    I don't know about multifamily, but for sf rentals it a good market, rents are growing, population is growing, lots of new development, but prices are still lower in redeveloping neighborhoods  than other parts of dfw.  

  • Developer · Tampa, FL · Member since 2016 · 118 posts · 61 votes
    7y
    Originally posted by @Charles Stanback:
    @Armando Payano

    Once you know those things, how do you interpret them?

     The good thing about these criteria is that they are mostly static as opposed to often changing.

    Population: Look for population to be steadily growing = increasing customers.

    Jobs: A stable job market = a stable tenant base.

    Supply: Too much product = increase in concessions / decrease in rental income to attract solid, long term tenants.

    Demand: Product type. How much would tenants prefer to live in one location vs another. 

    This is a 30k foot view. Finding the right cocktail of these components, not sacrificing on jobs is key. Be mindful that, imo, real estate is a 'slow' moving vehicle when analyzing compared to say analyzing other business's.

    Good luck. 

  • Rental Property Investor · Glen Rock, NJ · Member since 2015 · 3k+ posts · 2k+ votes
    7y

    @Charles Stanback I would second what @Armando Payano said. You need to see some consistency in the market: 

    a) have the jobs been coming in for the last few years

    b) have the population been increasing in the last few years

    c) does the area have industries diversity

    d) who are the major players in the employment industry? are they considered permanent (f.e., Hospital), or temporary (f.e., military base)

    e) is there a major airport in the area

    f) how do people commute to jobs  - highways (is there access nearby) or public transportation (is there access in a walking distance)

    g) school ratings

    h) crime reports

    i) is there a supply versus demand for the type of rental housing I'm looking to buy

    And then you put it all together to see where you fit overall.

  • Rental Property Investor · St. Paul, MN · Member since 2016 · 3k+ posts · 3k+ votes
    7y

    On just the local level: Job growth and type of jobs, population growth and trends, government planning and development trends, crime, schools, current amount of new building and permits, rent affordability vs home affordability, vacancy rates, taxes.  Look for areas in your market that are trending or new initiatives by the gov't to help change/improve areas. Every city has opportunity

  • Fort Worth, TX · Member since 2018 · 8 posts · 0 votes
    7y
    @Caleb Jordan @Percy N. @Armando Payano @Alina Trigub @Todd Dexheimer I really appreciate all of the info! In my market as a whole population is definitely on the rise and has been for a while. Jobs are here and the city has put an emphasis on bringing and keep higher paying jobs. The first ever developmental plan for the city was released not too long ago, so I’ve been looking into that to focus in on on a sub market. I’ll definitely start paying more attention to schools/crime and the supply/demand in certain areas. Thanks again for all of the help!
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