What’s Up -- Spike -- FHA Foreclosures?

What’s Up -- Spike -- FHA Foreclosures?

Real Estate Broker · Northeast PA · Member since 2017 · 2k+ posts · 2k+ votes

Over the past few years, a lot of homeowners who fell behind on their mortgages didn’t end up in foreclosure right away.

Why?

Because during and after COVID, the government rolled out a series of relief programs that gave people extra time and multiple chances to catch up. Payments were paused, modified, or moved to the back of the loan. In many cases, homeowners were helped more than once.

And for a while, that worked.

But those programs officially ended on September 30, 2025.
As of October 1, 2025, the rules became stricter—and that’s when things started to shift.

A Lot of Loans Were “Held Together” for Years

During the COVID period, FHA loans (which are often used by first-time or lower down payment buyers) were given a lot of flexibility.

Many homeowners got multiple chances to modify their loan. They didn’t always need strong proof they could repay. And they were able to stay in their homes even after falling behind more than once.

Over time, that created a large group of loans that were still struggling, even after help.

To give you a sense of scale, about 70% of FHA borrowers had received some kind of help in the past 5 years. Nearly 40% of borrowers getting help in 2025 were on their third round, and many of those loans fell behind again.

In fact, a significant number of borrowers had been late multiple times.

Now That the Programs Ended… The Backlog Is Showing Up

Once those relief options expired, lenders had fewer ways to keep delaying the process.

So now, we’re starting to see the results.

As of late 2025, about 37,000+ FHA loans are already in foreclosure. Roughly 426,000 loans are seriously behind (90+ days late), and thousands more are entering foreclosure each month.

That’s a noticeable jump—and it’s the highest level we’ve seen since around 2020.

Even though FHA loans make up a smaller portion of the overall market, they're driving a large share of current foreclosure activity.

What This Means 

Here’s the simplest way to think about it:

For several years, foreclosures were delayed—not avoided.

Now that the delay is over, those loans are starting to move through the system.

And there’s a lot of them.

Some analysts believe we’re looking at several years’ worth of delayed foreclosures working their way out over a shorter period of time.

What Happens Next?

We're likely to see more foreclosure filings through 2026. We'll also see more pre-foreclosure and short sale opportunities, along with a gradual increase in bank-owned (REO) properties.

In some areas, this could put downward pressure on prices, especially in certain price ranges or neighborhoods.

That said—this is not 2008 all over again.
Overall foreclosure levels are still much lower than they were during the housing crash.

The Bottom Line

The COVID-era programs didn’t eliminate foreclosure risk—they pushed it down the road.

Now that those programs have ended, we're seeing more FHA loans falling into foreclosure, a growing pipeline of distressed properties, and a shift back toward more "normal" market behavior.

Are you seeing this in your area?  Please let me know.

0Reply
80 views

4 Replies

Jump to latestLatest
  • Jay TolugantiPro Member
    Investor · Clearwater, FL · Member since 2025 · 226 posts · 79 votes
    6mo

    Not really seeing spikes. Bought 4 bank properties in last year. In the last three months, did not find anythjng that penciled. Inventory also seemed to be less. Grapewine is, Trump Admin pushing HUD to carry lighter balancesheet. Not sure if institutional buyers are getting the first pick.

  • Real Estate Broker · Northeast PA · Member since 2017 · 2k+ posts · 2k+ votes
    6mo

    @Jay Toluganti  are you buying in FL or OOS?  Feels like FL West Coast is rolling over.  I was on the ground in Cape Coral this winter, found a lot of real estate folks were hurting.  Another cycle.   

  • Jay TolugantiPro Member
    Investor · Clearwater, FL · Member since 2025 · 226 posts · 79 votes
    6mo
    No. All my REO buys are in midwest. Florida, I buy from wholesalers in Tampa market. I filter a lot of leads here. Last time, found one deal in close to 500 leads.
  • Chris SeveneyBusiness Member
    Moderator
    Investor · VA · Member since 2015 · 21k+ posts · 19k+ votes
    6mo
    The main issue for the FHA Foreclosure is also they changed their waterfall rules
    7e investments53 Reviews
Join the conversationCreate a free account to reply, vote on answers and follow this thread.