Has anyone else been following the new federal housing legislation?

Has anyone else been following the new federal housing legislation?

Alicia SierraBusiness Member
Real Estate Agent · Saint Louis, MO · Member since 2015 · 132 posts · 70 votes

I'd be curious what everyone else is thinking with  the new federal housing legislation.

Here in St. Louis, I watched that increased competition from institutional buyers.  For several years, a lot of the starter homes in roughly the $150k–$350k range weren't just competing against other families or local investors. They were getting cash offers from institutional buyers. A lot of those homes that used to become owner-occupied—or ended up in the hands of an individual landlord—are now part of large rental portfolios.  I think that changed the market more than people realize but it's still only one of many factors.

I'm not saying this new legislation is going to suddenly flood the market with inventory or make homes more affordable overnight. I don't think that's realistic. Interest rates and inventory are still going to drive most of what happens.  I don't think we'll see any changes short term from any part of the bill, including the parts that pave the way to build more inventory.  How much impact do you think the bill will have over time? 

Curious what everyone else is seeing.

  • Did institutional buyers have much of an impact where you invest?
  • Do you think this legislation actually changes anything?
  • Or do you think it's mostly business as usual?

I'd love to hear perspectives from other markets because I know St. Louis isn't the only place that experienced this.

Alicia Sierra - EXP REALTY4.953 Reviews
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Greg ScottPro Member
Rental Property Investor · SE Michigan · Member since 2014 · 4k+ posts · 6k+ votes
2mo
Quote from @Steven Osborne:

It changes alot I think. its not just institutional buyers, it seems like its everyone is limited to 350 homes they can own across the board. @Greg Scott correct me if I'm wrong but the legal draft said only SFH not MF properties. correct?

It doesn't matter whether you are talking SF, small multis or apartments.  The large institutional investors represent a tiny fraction of property ownership.  Almost every other industry you can think of has a much, much higher concentration of share.  The idea that there are SF oligarchs controlling housing prices is garbage politics designed to get support from the uninformed.
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  • Greg ScottPro Member
    Rental Property Investor · SE Michigan · Member since 2014 · 4k+ posts · 6k+ votes
    2mo

    Jay Parsons has largely debunked the rumor that large institutional buyers are consolidating inventory into a few hands.  It just isn't true.

    The top 50 owners of SF or MF properties in any given city still own a tiny fraction of total inventory.  This is a very fragmented industry, despite what the media says.

  • Specialist · United States · Member since 2016 · 19 posts · 12 votes
    2mo

    It changes alot I think. its not just institutional buyers, it seems like its everyone is limited to 350 homes they can own across the board. @Greg Scott correct me if I'm wrong but the legal draft said only SFH not MF properties. correct?

    • Greg ScottPro Member
      Rental Property Investor · SE Michigan · Member since 2014 · 4k+ posts · 6k+ votes
      2mo
      Quote from @Steven Osborne:

      It changes alot I think. its not just institutional buyers, it seems like its everyone is limited to 350 homes they can own across the board. @Greg Scott correct me if I'm wrong but the legal draft said only SFH not MF properties. correct?

      It doesn't matter whether you are talking SF, small multis or apartments.  The large institutional investors represent a tiny fraction of property ownership.  Almost every other industry you can think of has a much, much higher concentration of share.  The idea that there are SF oligarchs controlling housing prices is garbage politics designed to get support from the uninformed.
  • Alicia SierraBusiness Member
    OP
    Real Estate Agent · Saint Louis, MO · Member since 2015 · 132 posts · 70 votes
    2mo

    Greg - I tend to agree. I'm sure it does not feel that way to the buyers who were outbid / are outbid on SFRs - what do you think is the highest impact? Do you think the other parts of the bill will have any positive outcomes? 

    To me, the elephant in the room is subsidized renter influx through NGO paid rents - that has to have impacted the market.  Also, is there any data on short term rental impact ? 

    thoughts? 

    Alicia Sierra - EXP REALTY4.953 Reviews
  • Greg ScottPro Member
    Rental Property Investor · SE Michigan · Member since 2014 · 4k+ posts · 6k+ votes
    2mo

    It took me a minute to find these.  I've loaded Jay Parson's graphics as well.

    Post on apartment ownership concentration.

    Post on institutional single family concentration.

    A company with a 1% share can't move the market. A group of companies with a 1% share can't move the market.  Short-term rentals make up a portion of that orange bar.  They are a nit.

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