So What If Airbnb Is Crashing Right Now...

So What If Airbnb Is Crashing Right Now...

Real Estate Consultant · Colorado Springs, CO · Member since 2017 · 354 posts · 386 votes

I'll try to limit my rant here, but since the Wall Street Journal published a somewhat nasty article about Airbnb investors in late April and I represent a lot of Denver Airbnb Investors and Colorado Springs Airbnb investors, I think it's important to point out a few things, and see if my fellow BP-ers are of the same opinion or a totally different opinion. 

  • Airbnbs (and short-term rentals) have classically been a good investment, with returns that were often 2-3 times that of traditional long-term investments. By that standard, even with the downturn, you have a 2-3 year pocket against a long-term investment 
  • Yes, a lot of short-term investors leverage their properties to buy more properties (utilizing a HELOC), but that's not any different than what many standard long-term investors do
  • This situation is awful for a lot of reasons, and may keep short-term rental numbers depressed for the next year- but a lot of short-term investors already know what a depressed season is like because rentals don't do as well October-March. In that case, they get converted to medium-term rentals, and that can and has been happening here as well
  • We're a little vulnerable right now, but not making decisions because a once in a lifetime pandemic might show up does not seem like a wise investment strategy to me 
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    Rental Property Investor · RVA · Member since 2016 · 5k+ posts · 4k+ votes
    6y
    Originally posted by @Erin Spradlin:

    I'll try to limit my rant here, but since the Wall Street Journal published a somewhat nasty article about Airbnb investors in late April and I represent a lot of Denver Airbnb Investors and Colorado Springs Airbnb investors, I think it's important to point out a few things, and see if my fellow BP-ers are of the same opinion or a totally different opinion. 

    • Airbnbs (and short-term rentals) have classically been a good investment, with returns that were often 2-3 times that of traditional long-term investments. By that standard, even with the downturn, you have a 2-3 year pocket against a long-term investment 
    • Yes, a lot of short-term investors leverage their properties to buy more properties (utilizing a HELOC), but that's not any different than what many standard long-term investors do
    • This situation is awful for a lot of reasons, and may keep short-term rental numbers depressed for the next year- but a lot of short-term investors already know what a depressed season is like because rentals don't do as well October-March. In that case, they get converted to medium-term rentals, and that can and has been happening here as well
    • We're a little vulnerable right now, but not making decisions because a once in a lifetime pandemic might show up does not seem like a wise investment strategy to me 

       Disclaimer: I'm not an Airbnb investor and I probably never will be.

      Remember that mainstream financial journalism is not exactly pro-real estate. Most of the Main stream news was saying it was "a bad time" to invest in real estate in the early 2010s, when in reality, that was one of the best times in the last 100 years to be a net buyer of real estate. We may not see a better time to buy real estate in the rest of our lifetimes, but they kept telling people to sit out.

      You're right to push back on them, but remember that internet journalism is all about getting clicks. They get the most clicks by getting people riled up enough to share it, which gets more clicks.

      I just opened WSJ's real estate section, and the top stories are all on celebrities' mansions. Great, I'm very happy for them. That has nothing to do with what most people need to know about the state of the real estate investing market. Just take articles like this one in perspective. 

      See this reply in the discussion

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      • Jerry W.Pro Member
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        Investor · Thermopolis, WY · Member since 2012 · 4k+ posts · 4k+ votes
        6y

        @Erin Spradlin, I thought I would provide my own update.  A Lot has happened in only 2 weeks.  My state has opened back up and moved to phase 2.  I actually saw a massive surge for the month of June.  This June was better than June of last year which was was a very good year I thought.  The local motels have recovered a bit, but are probably only 60% of last year.  However my bookings for the rest of the summer are still soft.  I have a lot of folks who are maybe uncomfortable in booking for long term as they don't know if we will get a resurgence, or maybe everyone just wanted a few days out of the house in a solitary setting, not a crowded motel.  We are struggling a bit to meet dual turnovers due to increased cleaning and sanitizing, but that's OK.  Overall I only have 4 vacancies for the month of June, but that is in my best unit.  The other unit always lags behind.  Well I hope you are seeing a major increase as well.  Best wishes.

      • Real Estate Consultant · Colorado Springs, CO · Member since 2017 · 354 posts · 386 votes
        6y

        @Justin Thorpe - Thank you for your update. I have wondered if it would be soft simply because I know a lot of the travel has been local/staycations. While that fills rooms for a bit, it isn't the same as having demand from all of the US and world. I'll be interested to see where we are in late September. 

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