What happens if the SFHs don't rent and lose value?
I ask this because I like poking holes in things.
I'm seeing a lot of over exuberance on maxing out leverage on rental portfolios, but not much consideration on what happens on the flip side when the market turns.
Consider this - your rental units are not the only rentals likely in your area. In fact, it's very likely that you are one of many rentals in your area. When the market turns, all of that plentiful rental demand may dry up. Then it becomes a game of supply, not demand.
The one trend I'm seeing a lot of likely is the desire to buy, rehab and airbnb. There are soooo many airbnbs. In economic downturns, travel slows considerably.
I can certainly see how multi unit complexes are a safer long term purchase, but SFHs seem like s terrible risk reward endeavor.
My strategy is still evolving, everyday I tweak my investment thesis.
I've been looking very closely at markets that have seen steadier, less boom and bust cycles. I'm looking for more unique locations, builds and hoods with a more balanced rents to own %, if not more own.
These hoods tend to keep their value over the long term ups and downs, as foreclosures can be less frequent and community more responsive to wear and tear on infrastructure. They also tend to be more rich in culture, demanding more loyalty.
I'm continually weighing financing options as well. For now, I still think a fixed long term loan is the way to go. Sure you could save some money short term by taking an ARM, but the future is a fickle beast.
I'll update my progress as I continue my journey, although I'll likely start a different thread.
Guess people aren't interested in how to reinvest $1M in the real estate market...oddly enough.
Let me know how you're doing as well. Always helpful to get additional perspectives.