Investors not fazed by likely hike ininterest rate

Investors not fazed by likely hike ininterest rate

Wholesaler · Indianapolis, IN · Member since 2014 · 137 posts · 40 votes

The Federal Reserve is expected to raise interest rates next Wednesday. This will mark the third time it has done so in fifteen months, and is an indicator that further increases may be in store. In the past, an increase in the rate caused investors a great deal of worrying. However, the current reaction from investors is less sanguine. Instead, Wall Street remains excited and confident. Investors are still thrilled over the possibility of tax cuts, reduced federal restrictions, and increased spending on transportation and roads expected with the election of Donald J. Trump in November's presidential election. Investors are 91% sure of a rate hike given a February report showing 235,000 new jobs and a drop in unemployment to 4.7 per cent. Investors are not as worried about the rate hike now, as the country's economy is better and is almost at one hundred per cent employment. An economist at Moody's Analytics noted that in 2013, investors were worried about the state of the economy. Now, they are more confident in the ability of the economy to handle rate hikes. Indeed, economic experts predict the country can withstand four rate increases this year, versus the old estimate of three. Rate hikes in 2018 are expected to slow down activity.

Key Takeaways:

  • The Fed's benchmark rate is historically low for the year 2016
  • The benchmark rate ranges from .5-.75% after modest increases in the year
  • A continuation of hikes in 2018 will result in a downward turn for economic activity

"The Fed’s benchmark rate, after modest increases in December 2015 and December 2016, ranges from 0.5 percent to 0.75 percent, quite low by historical standards. But if the Fed ends up raising rates three or four times this year and adds more hikes in 2018, its benchmark rate would be left at a level that might start to dampen economic activity"

Read more: http://www.journalgazette.net/business/Investors-not-fazed-by-likely-hike-ininterest-rate-18243731

0Reply
35 views

1 Reply

Jump to latestLatest
  • Investor · Boston, MA · Member since 2015 · 1k+ posts · 3k+ votes
    9y

    Everyone seems really surprised that the market doesn't react when the Fed Funds rate goes up. The market has already accounted for a FF rate higher than it is. Due to QE I, II, III et al everyone knows that rates must go up. Having rates at or near zero limits the Fed's ability to enact monetary policy, which no one wants.

    The plus side to higher rates is that many large investors will move out or lessen their invesmtents in Real Estate and back into more traditional securities.

Join the conversationCreate a free account to reply, vote on answers and follow this thread.